Week 2
Fifth Third Stadium

Georgia State @ Kennesaw State , Week 2, Sep 12, 2026

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -18.6
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -11.1

Is there value in the Georgia State vs Kennesaw State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
GAST -0.1
Blue Chip model
KENN -10.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors GASTfavors KENN ▸
7.5 › KENN
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KENN
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KENN
1 GAST1 KENN2 GAST2 KENNModel: KENN -10.3

Betting information

Prediction markets
GAST 50% win chance (Kalshi)

Kennesaw State (power rating: -11.1) holds a 7.5-point advantage over Georgia State (-18.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Kennesaw State's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Fifth Third Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Georgia State vs Kennesaw State at Fifth Third Stadium?

The latest reading for Fifth Third Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 83°F, heat index 84°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Georgia State vs Kennesaw State?

Prediction markets on Kalshi price Georgia State as 50% favorites to beat Kennesaw State (48%). That implies a market-derived spread of Georgia State -0.1. The Blue Chip model makes it Kennesaw State -10.3, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.

How do Georgia State and Kennesaw State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kennesaw State (-11.1) over Georgia State (-18.6) by 7.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Kennesaw State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Kennesaw State -10.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

83°F

Rain10%
Precip0.00"
Humidity52%
Wind6 mph SW
Gusts13 mph
Heat index84°F
Wind map for Georgia State at Kennesaw State: aerial view of Fifth Third Stadium, wind from the SW at 6 mph, gusting to 13.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
Fifth Third Stadium
Capacity
10,200
Elevation
1,096 ft
Surface
Hybrid

Travel and rest

Measure Georgia StateAway Kennesaw StateHome
This week23 miles3 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total23 miles-3 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest8 days9 days

Georgia State travels 23 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.