Week 2
Scheumann Stadium

Stony Brook @ Ball State , Week 2, Sep 12, 2026

0-0 CAA Power rating: -28.0
0-0 MAC Power rating: -22.1

Is there value in the Stony Brook vs Ball State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BALL -8.8
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors STBKfavors BALL ▸
5.9 › BALL
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1 STBK1 BALL2 STBK2 BALL3 STBK3 BALLModel: BALL -8.8

Ball State (power rating: -22.1) holds a 5.9-point advantage over Stony Brook (-28.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Ball State's home field adds 3.2 points to that advantage at Scheumann Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Stony Brook's extra rest. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Stony Brook vs Ball State at Scheumann Stadium?

The latest reading for Scheumann Stadium shows Cloudy, 66°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Stony Brook and Ball State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ball State (-22.1) over Stony Brook (-28.0) by 5.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ball State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Ball State -8.8. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Cloudy

66°F

Rain23%
Precip0.00"
Humidity92%
Wind7 mph ESE
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for Stony Brook at Ball State: aerial view of Scheumann Stadium, wind from the ESE at 7.2 mph, gusting to 9.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM EDT
Venue
Scheumann Stadium
Capacity
16,319
Elevation
951 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Stony BrookAway Ball StateHome
This week648 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week256 miles
Season total648 miles256 miles
Body clock14:0014:00
Rest9 days7 days

Stony Brook travels 648 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.