Montana State (power rating: -12.0) carries a 3.5-point advantage over Nevada (-15.5) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Nevada's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1) narrows that gap at Mackay Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Mackay Stadium shows Light drizzle, 60°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Montana State as 74% favorites to beat Nevada (24%). That implies a market-derived spread of Montana State -7.5. The Blue Chip model makes it Montana State -1.4, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Light drizzle
60°F
| Measure | Montana StateAway | NevadaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 614 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Home game |
| Season total | 614 miles | 0 miles |
| Body clock | 20:30 | 19:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Montana State travels 614 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Montana State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
