Week 2
Pitbull Stadium

Buffalo @ Florida International , Week 2, Sep 12, 2026

0-0 MAC Power rating: -14.4
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -12.7

Is there value in the Buffalo vs Florida International line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
FIU -4.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors BUFfavors FIU ▸
FIU
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FIU
BUF
FIU
no impact
FIU
1 BUF1 FIU2 BUF2 FIUModel: FIU -4.4

Florida International (power rating: -12.7) holds a 1.7-point advantage over Buffalo (-14.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Florida International's home field adds 2.2 points to that advantage at Pitbull Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges the heat, with a slighter reading for Buffalo's extra rest and Buffalo's trip. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Buffalo vs Florida International at Pitbull Stadium?

The latest reading for Pitbull Stadium shows Partly Cloudy, 85°F, heat index 93°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Buffalo and Florida International compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida International (-12.7) over Buffalo (-14.4) by 1.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida International brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Florida International -4.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

85°F

Rain7%
Precip0.00"
Humidity69%
Wind11 mph ESE
Gusts15 mph
Heat index93°F
Wind map for Buffalo at Florida International: aerial view of Pitbull Stadium, wind from the ESE at 11.2 mph, gusting to 14.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM EDT
Venue
Pitbull Stadium
Capacity
20,000
Elevation
30 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure BuffaloAway Florida InternationalHome
This week1,192 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game403 miles
Season total1,192 miles403 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest9 days7 days

Buffalo travels 1,192 miles to this game, a significant road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.