Navy Midshipmen is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +2.3. Navy Midshipmen enters the season with a power rating of +2.3, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Navy Midshipmen head to Florida Atlantic next in Week 2. In 2025, Navy Midshipmen went 11-2 overall, 5-8 against the spread, and 8-5 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Navy Midshipmen Power Rating of +2.3 is 2.3 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Navy Midshipmen have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 10,779 miles, ranking 24th heaviest in the FBS.
Braxton Woodson QB, Vic Listorti RB, Charles Robinson SB, Luke Hutchison WR, Hoke Smith II OL, Isaiah Bryant SB
MarcAnthony Parker LB, Coleman Cauley LB, Giuseppe Sessi S, Phillip Hamilton S, Nick Bell CB, Irabonoise Oniha CB
Jacob Carlson P, Justin Welch K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Week 5 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Week 6 | 5-0 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Week 7 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 5-1 |
| Week 9 | 7-0 | 2-5 | 6-1 |
| Week 10 | 7-1 | 2-6 | 6-2 |
| Week 11 | 7-2 | 2-7 | 7-2 |
| Week 12 | 8-2 | 3-7 | 8-2 |
| Week 14 | 9-2 | 4-7 | 8-3 |
| Week 16 | 10-2 | 4-8 | 8-4 |
| Postseason | 11-2 | 5-8 | 8-5 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +1.2 in the preseason and finished +3.2 after the postseason, a move of +2.0 points. High +5.4 (week 15), low -1.2 (week 1).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +0.7 is regressed to +2.1 before it is applied, a difference of 1.4 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| UAB | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Air Force | 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Tulsa | 8 | 7-1 | 7-1 |
| North Texas | 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Notre Dame | 9 | 1-8 | 2-6-1 |
| Temple | 9 | 5-4 | 3-6 |
| Memphis | 10 | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Charlotte | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Army | 10 | 4-6 | 3-6-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Towson, UTSA.
Week 010,779 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Towson | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Florida Atlantic | 894 mi | 1,787 mi |
| Week 3 | - | Bye | |
| Week 4 | UAB | 687 mi | 3,161 mi |
| Week 5 | Air Force | 1,519 mi | 6,199 mi |
| Week 6 | Tulsa | Home | 6,199 mi |
| Week 7 | UTSA | 1,415 mi | 9,030 mi |
| Week 8 | North Texas | Home | 9,030 mi |
| Week 9 | Notre Dame | 349 mi | 9,729 mi |
| Week 10 | Temple | Home | 9,729 mi |
| Week 11 | - | Bye | |
| Week 12 | Memphis | Home | 9,729 mi |
| Week 13 | Charlotte | 345 mi | 10,418 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | Army | 181 mi | 10,779 mi |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
The defense must replace first-team All-America nose guard Landon Robinson, which raises questions about the pass rush. However, inside linebackers MarcAnthony Parker and Coleman Cauley are back after combining for 176 tackles last season. Safety Giuseppe Sessi, who called the defensive signals and finished second on the team with 81 tackles, also returns. The secondary improved late last year after Phillip Hamilton moved to safety, and corners Nick Bell and Irabonoise Oniha bring starting experience. The unit will need to generate pressure without Robinson to avoid repeating last season's early pass defense struggles.
Punter Jacob Carlson returns after averaging 44.5 yards per punt in his first season as the starter. At placekicker, Justin Welch enters training camp atop the depth chart, but the job is not settled and could remain contested into the opener. Slotback Isaiah Bryant, who has been a productive kickoff returner, may also take on punt return duties. Solid special teams play could be crucial in close conference games.
Head coach Brian Newberry, now in his fourth year with a 26-12 record, has built a program that relies on player development rather than the transfer portal. An opposing American assistant coach noted that Navy benefits from knowing exactly who will be on the roster, given the academy's unique student body. This continuity helps on both sides of the ball, as the offense remains difficult to prepare for and the defense shows multiple looks. The challenge is replacing proven production with unproven players, but Navy has a history of unknowns stepping up.
Navy opens at home against Towson as a heavy favorite, which should allow the new offensive pieces to gain confidence before facing tougher competition. The season will test whether Woodson can lead the option attack and whether the defense can compensate for the loss of Robinson. With a manageable travel schedule early, the Midshipmen have a chance to build momentum. The key will be how quickly the new playmakers adapt and whether the pass rush can hold up in American Athletic Conference play.
Navy Midshipmen is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Navy Midshipmen holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +2.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Navy Midshipmen's home field advantage rating is 2.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Navy Midshipmen's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -200 over and +150 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Navy Midshipmen travels 10,779 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 24th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Navy Midshipmen: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +2.3 (2026 records).
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