DraftKings · as of August 22, 2026
Iowa (power rating: 14.7) holds a 9.5-point advantage over Iowa State (5.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Iowa's home field adds 2.1 points to that advantage at Kinnick Stadium. The market line is Iowa -11.5 and our model shows Iowa -11.3; Model matches the market. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Kinnick Stadium shows Light rain shower, 71°F with winds of 11 mph. Gusts reaching 30 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Iowa -11.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Iowa -11.3; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.
Light rain shower
71°F
| Measure | Iowa StateAway | IowaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 110 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 110 miles | 0 miles |
| Body clock | 18:30 | 18:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Iowa State travels 110 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
