North Texas Mean Green

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North Texas Mean Green is 0-0 on the season, 0-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +2.2. North Texas Mean Green enters the season with a power rating of +2.2, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The North Texas Mean Green head to Indiana next in Week 1. In 2025, North Texas Mean Green went 11-2 overall, 10-3 against the spread, and 9-4 on totals.

Conference: American Athletic Conference
Stadium: DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX
Power Rating: +2.2
HFA Rating:2.8 pts
Record: 0-0
ATS: 0-0
O/U: 0-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 0 of 2026 the North Texas Mean Green Power Rating of +2.2 is 2.0 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. North Texas Mean Green have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,266 miles, ranking 86th heaviest in the FBS.

2026 Season Travel Profile

6,266 miles - ranked 86th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0Bye
Week 1Indiana722 mi1,445 mi
Week 2UNLVHome1,445 mi
Week 3Texas State233 mi1,910 mi
Week 4Houston ChristianHome1,910 mi
Week 5Tulsa214 mi2,339 mi
Week 6CharlotteHome2,339 mi
Week 7Bye
Week 8Navy1,219 mi4,777 mi
Week 9Florida AtlanticHome4,777 mi
Week 10RiceHome4,777 mi
Week 11UTSA272 mi5,322 mi
Week 12Tulane472 mi6,266 mi
Week 13UABHome6,266 mi
Week 14Bye
Week 15Bye
Week 16Bye

North Texas Mean Green Season Outlook

Offensive Overhaul Under Neal Brown

North Texas enters 2026 with a completely new offense after losing its record-setting coordinator, quarterback, top rusher, and leading receiver. Head coach Neal Brown, known for run-heavy schemes, will rely on transfers like running back Jahiem White (a Freshman All-American under Brown at West Virginia) and wide receiver TJ Chukwurah (a Division II All-American). The offensive line returns no starters but adds Georgia Southern transfer Chandler Strong with 30 career starts. The unit's identity will be built around the run game, but the lack of returning production makes early-season consistency a major question.

Defensive Rebuild with Baylor Ties

First-year defensive coordinator Matt Powledge, who held the same role at Baylor, inherits a unit that ranked 130th nationally in run defense last season (215.7 yards per game) but was strong against the pass (166.2 yards, eighth in FBS). Key additions include twin defensive backs Caden and Cameren Jenkins, who followed Powledge from Baylor, and linebackers Aaron Alexander (Arkansas State) and Zakye Baker (SMU). The defensive line returns Terrell Washington as its most experienced piece. The pass defense should remain a strength, but stopping the run will be the critical test.

Special Teams Turnover

The Mean Green lose their top kicker (Kali Nguma, 92.3% field goals) and return specialists Simeon Evans and Miles Coleman. Former Appalachian State kicker Dominic De Freitas (20-of-25 field goals, perfect on PATs) takes over placekicking. North Texas ranked fifth in kick returns and 14th in punt returns in the American last season, so finding reliable returners will be essential to maintaining field position advantages.

Sustaining Success After a 12-Win Season

Last year's team averaged 512.4 yards and 45.1 points per game, reaching the American Championship Game. With nearly every offensive starter gone and a new coaching staff, the Mean Green face a steep challenge in replicating that production. The defense, while improved on paper, must prove it can stop the run after being a glaring weakness. The program's recruiting base in Texas should keep them competitive, but 2026 is a transition year where 8-10 wins may be a stretch.

Early-Season Gauntlet and Road Travel

North Texas opens at Indiana, a team with a power rating of 27.7 and a 40.5-point spread against the Mean Green. The season includes 5,042 miles of travel, with the first trip alone covering 722 miles one-way. The early schedule will test a rebuilt roster against a Power Four opponent, and the long road miles could compound the challenges of integrating new starters on both sides of the ball.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is North Texas Mean Green's against-the-spread record in 2026?

North Texas Mean Green is 0-0 against the spread in the 2026 season.

What is North Texas Mean Green's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

North Texas Mean Green holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +2.2, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is North Texas Mean Green's home field advantage rating?

North Texas Mean Green's home field advantage rating is 2.8 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

How many miles does North Texas Mean Green travel in 2026?

North Texas Mean Green travels 6,266 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 86th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

North Texas Mean Green: 0-0 overall, 0-0 ATS, power rating +2.2.