Week 2
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Ohio State @ Texas , Week 2, Sep 12, 2026

0-0 Big Ten Power rating: 32.2
0-0 SEC Power rating: 22.2

Is there value in the Ohio State vs Texas line?

Market line
TEX -1.5
PM Implied
TEX -0.8
Blue Chip model
OSU -6.2
Edge
-7.7OSU
See details
◂ favors OSUfavors TEX ▸Market: TEX -1.5
‹ 10.0 OSU
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TEX
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TEX
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5 OSU5 TEXModel: OSU -6.2

Betting information

Spread
TEX -1.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
OSU 23.0 – 24.5 TEX
Prediction markets
TEX 54% win chance (Kalshi)

Bovada · as of August 22, 2026

Ohio State (power rating: 32.2) carries a 10.0-point advantage over Texas (22.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4) narrows that gap at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. The market line is Texas -1.5 and our model shows Ohio State -6.2; Likely missing information - not a betting signal. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Ohio State's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Ohio State vs Texas at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium?

The latest reading for DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium shows Clear, 76°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Ohio State vs Texas?

Prediction markets on Kalshi price Texas as 54% favorites to beat Ohio State (48%). That implies a market-derived spread of Texas -0.8, in line with the bookmaker line of Texas -1.5. The Blue Chip model makes it Ohio State -6.2, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.

How do Ohio State and Texas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ohio State (32.2) over Texas (22.2) by 10.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Texas faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Texas brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Ohio State -6.2, 7.7 points toward Ohio State against the market.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

76°F

Rain26%
Precip0.01"
Humidity74%
Wind6 mph SSW
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for Ohio State at Texas: aerial view of DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, wind from the SSW at 6 mph, gusting to 9.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Capacity
100,119
Elevation
574 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Ohio StateAway TexasHome
This week1,067 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,067 miles0 miles
Body clock19:3018:30
Rest7 days7 days

Ohio State travels 1,067 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Ohio State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.