Week 2
Bobcat Stadium (TX)

UTSA @ Texas State , Week 2, Sep 12, 2026

0-0 American Power rating: 1.4
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -2.2

Is there value in the UTSA vs Texas State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UTSA -0.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors UTSAfavors TXST ▸
‹ 3.6 UTSA
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TXST
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TXST
1 UTSA1 TXST2 UTSA2 TXST3 UTSA3 TXSTModel: UTSA -0.4

UTSA (power rating: 1.4) carries a 3.6-point advantage over Texas State (-2.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9) narrows that gap at Bobcat Stadium (TX). Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect UTSA vs Texas State at Bobcat Stadium (TX)?

The latest reading for Bobcat Stadium (TX) shows Partly Cloudy, 81°F, heat index 84°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 25 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do UTSA and Texas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UTSA (1.4) over Texas State (-2.2) by 3.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Texas State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Texas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this UTSA -0.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

81°F

Rain9%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind14 mph SSE
Gusts25 mph
Heat index84°F
Wind map for UTSA at Texas State: aerial view of Bobcat Stadium (TX), wind from the SSE at 13.9 mph, gusting to 24.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity
27,149
Elevation
600 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure UTSAAway Texas StateHome
This week47 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game59 miles
Season total47 miles59 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest7 days7 days

UTSA travels 47 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.