Rice Owls

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Rice Owls is 1-6 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -15.9. Rice Owls is covering at just 40% since the start of last season (8-12), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The Rice Owls head to Florida Atlantic next in Week 8.

Conference: American Athletic Conference
Stadium: Rice Stadium, Houston, TX
Power Rating (most current): -15.9
HFA Rating:2.7 pts
2026 Win Total:3.5
2026 Record: 1-6
2026 ATS: 3-4
2026 O/U: 3-4

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Rice Owls Power Rating of -15.9 is 15.9 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Rice Owls have logged 7,170 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 12,304 miles, ranking 18th heaviest in the FBS.

Rice Owls Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachScott Abell
Tenure1 season
Record at school5-8
Career record91-60 (14 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorVince Munch
Defensive coordinatorJon Kay

Offense

Jacurri Brown QB, Gael Ochoa QB, Quentin Jackson RB

Defense

Jo Chavez LB, Joseph Mutombo EDGE

Special teams

Enock Gota K, Charlie Durkin P

2025 Season in Review

Record5-8 ATS5-8 O/U7-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 21-11-11-1
Week 32-11-22-1
Week 43-12-23-1
Week 53-23-23-2
Week 63-33-33-3
Week 73-43-44-3
Week 94-44-45-3
Week 104-54-56-3
Week 115-55-56-4
Week 135-65-67-4
Week 145-75-77-5
Postseason5-85-87-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -15.3 in the preseason and finished -15.9 after week 8, a move of -0.6 points. High -12.4 (week 6), low -15.9 (week 8).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -15.3 to -15.9.

PreW8

Rice Owls SP+ Profile

Offence+17.0118 of 138higher is better
Defence+32.2110 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.529 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.0 pts
HFA measured+3.2 pts
HFA applied+2.7 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.6 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
UTSA91-82-7
East Carolina11-01-0
Tulsa11-01-0
Florida Atlantic41-31-3
North Texas81-73-5
Tulane20-22-0
Army40-41-3

No meeting on record since 2016: Houston Christian, Notre Dame, Western Michigan, Fresno State, Temple.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home23-3425-31-1 ATS · 57 games
On the road12-4327-27-1 ATS · 55 games
Neutral site0-50-5 ATS · 5 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

12,304 miles - ranked 18th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 12,304 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 012,304 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Houston ChristianHome0 mi
Week 2Notre Dame973 mi1,945 mi
Week 3Western MichiganHome1,945 mi
Week 4Fresno State1,487 mi4,920 mi
Week 5UTSAHome4,920 mi
Week 6East Carolina1,125 mi7,170 mi
Week 7TulsaHome7,170 mi
Week 8Florida Atlantic962 mi9,094 mi
Week 9-Bye
Week 10North Texas262 mi9,617 mi
Week 11TulaneHome9,617 mi
Week 12Temple1,343 mi12,304 mi
Week 13ArmyHome12,304 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Rice Owls Season Outlook

Ground-and-pound identity, but one-dimensional

Rice's triple-option offense is the defining feature of the Scott Abell era, and it showed in the opener when the Owls ran 70 times for 465 yards in a 31-3 win over Houston Christian. Quentin Jackson and Tyvonn Byars have shouldered the load, and quarterback Jacurri Brown is a dangerous runner, ripping off a 78-yard touchdown against Tulsa and a 50-yard score against Fresno State. But the passing game has been almost nonexistent: Rice attempted only 10 passes in Week 1, and against Tulsa, Brown completed just 2 of 6 for 47 yards. When opponents load the box, the offense stalls, as it did in a 52-0 loss at Notre Dame and a 16-14 home loss to UTSA. The Owls have scored more than 24 points only once against FBS competition, and that was in a 38-24 loss at Fresno State. For Rice to stay competitive, it must find a credible passing threat to keep defenses honest.

Defense improved after a rocky start

The preseason concern was a rebuilt defense that lost its top seven tacklers and allowed scores on every red-zone trip last season. Early on, those fears were realized: Houston Christian drove into Rice territory six times, and Notre Dame scored on seven of its first eight possessions. But the unit has settled in, holding UTSA to 16 points and keeping East Carolina within reach until a fourth-quarter burst. Viper Jo Chavez and edge rusher Joseph Mutombo have stabilized the front, and the tackling issues that plagued the opener have not recurred. The Owls still aren't forcing many takeaways (only seven all last season), but they've become a bend-don't-break group that can keep Rice in games. That improvement will be tested by high-powered offenses like Tulsa's, which put up 38 points and 401 total yards last week.

Ball security is a lingering risk

Rice lost four fumbles in the Notre Dame game, including one on the first play that was returned for a touchdown, and quarterback Jacurri Brown acknowledged that ball security is solely on the players. The Owls only lost seven fumbles all of last season, so that game was an outlier, but it exposed how quickly the option exchange can unravel. Since then, Rice has not had a repeat, but the risk remains inherent in the scheme. In a game like the upcoming trip to Florida Atlantic, where the market has the Owls as a 7.5-point underdog, a couple of early turnovers could shrink their margin for error dramatically. Protecting the ball is paramount for an offense that struggles to come from behind.

Special teams provide a quiet edge

Kicker Enock Gota has been reliable, hitting 10 of 13 field goals last season and providing consistent touchbacks on kickoffs. Punter Charlie Durkin, a transfer from Kent State, has been a weapon, averaging 41.4 yards per punt with the ability to flip field position. In a run-heavy, clock-control offense, field position and hidden yards matter, and Rice's specialists have largely delivered. Gota's 22-yard field goal against Fresno State gave the Owls a halftime lead, and his leg could be the difference in a close game down the stretch. Special teams won't win games alone, but they help offset some of the offense's limitations.

Schedule lightens, but margin for error is thin

Rice has already faced a brutal slate: a road trip to No. 3 Notre Dame, a cross-country trek to Fresno State, and a conference opener against a solid UTSA team. The Owls are 1-6 but have been competitive in most games, with three of their losses coming by 14 points or fewer. The remaining schedule features opponents with power ratings closer to Rice's, starting with Florida Atlantic (4-2, power -6.9). The Owls have covered in three of seven games and have shown they can hang with teams outside the top tier. However, with a 0-3 conference record, bowl hopes are all but gone. The focus now shifts to playing spoiler and building momentum for next season. The biggest key is sustaining drives and avoiding the three-and-outs that have plagued the offense, because the defense, while improved, can't carry the team alone.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Rice Owls's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Rice Owls is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.

What is Rice Owls's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Rice Owls holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -15.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Rice Owls's home field advantage rating?

Rice Owls's home field advantage rating is 2.7 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Rice Owls's 2026 win total?

Rice Owls's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 3.5 wins, priced at -125 over and -105 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Rice Owls travel in 2026?

Rice Owls travels 12,304 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 18th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Rice Owls: 1-6 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating -15.9 (2026 records).