Week 8 • October 24, 2026, 04:00 AM UTC
0-0
American
Power Rank: -0.4
@
0-0
American
Power Rank: -3.0

By · Last updated

UTSA (power rating: -0.4) carries a 2.6-point edge over Tulane (-3.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Tulane's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0) narrows that gap at Yulman Stadium. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Yulman Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 16 ft
HFA Rating: 3.0
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line UTSA -2.6

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Tulane -2.6
Implied value
Current line — edit to adjust
Tulane perspective
Power ratings — edit to adjust
UTSA
Tulane
Home field — Yulman Stadium
Weather: Patchy rain nearby
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect UTSA vs Tulane at Yulman Stadium?

Game-time forecast at Yulman Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby — 78.1°F, Heat Index 83.1°F with winds of 6.3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Patchy rain nearby

Patchy rain nearby

78.1°F

Heat Index: 83.1°F
Wind: 6.3 mph WSW
Gusts: 10.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.34"
Humidity: 85%
Rain Chance: 29%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UTSA (Away)

This Week: 504.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1118.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 23:00
Rest Days: 7

Tulane (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5413.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 23:00
Rest Days: 8

What are the key factors for UTSA vs Tulane?

UTSA: Key Factors

Offensive tempo and downfield passing

New OC Rick Bowie plans to push tempo and take more deep shots. QB Owen McCown, entering his third year as starter, is key to executing this attack. The receiving corps is deep with returning standouts David Amador II and AJ Wilson plus impact transfers TJ West and James Madison II. If McCown is fully recovered from sports hernia surgery, UTSA's passing game could be explosive against a first-year FBS opponent.

Defensive reload with experienced transfers

UTSA lost most of its defense but added key transfers: LB Brandon Tucker (FCS All-America), S Nate Robinson Jr. (Marist), and CB Asaad Chapman (JUCO). The defensive line returns anchors Tai Leonard, Johnny Bowens III, and Jameian Buxton. The unit's ability to gel quickly will be tested, but the talent infusion and home dome environment should help against UTRGV's offense.

Home dome advantage and rest

The game is at home in a dome (HFA 2.9), eliminating weather concerns and giving UTSA a comfortable environment. No travel and a full offseason of rest provide optimal preparation. This should allow the Roadrunners to execute their new schemes cleanly and maintain energy throughout the game.

UTRGV's inexperience as a first-year FBS program

UT Rio Grande Valley is playing its first FBS season, likely lacking depth and experience at this level. UTSA's veteran roster, led by a third-year QB and a seventh-year head coach, should have a significant edge in discipline and execution. The Roadrunners can exploit mismatches early to build a comfortable lead.

Running back depth and versatility

Will Henderson III (866 yards, 6 TDs in 2025) returns as the lead back, with Cal transfer Brandon High Jr. adding depth. This duo can control the clock and wear down a less experienced defense. Their ability to run effectively will open up play-action for McCown and keep UTRGV's offense off the field.

Tulane: Key Factors

Quarterback competition remains unresolved

Zeon Chriss-Gremillion and Kadin Semonza are still competing for the starting job. Neither has separated himself, and the offense's ceiling depends on consistent QB play. The decision will shape the game plan against Duke's defense.

Loaded backfield is the offensive engine

Jamauri McClure, Maurice Turner, and Jaylin Lucas give Tulane a deep, versatile rushing attack. Expect heavy reliance on the run to control the clock and protect an unsettled QB, especially on the road against a Duke team with a 2.9-point home-field advantage.

Defensive continuity but front-line turnover

Six of the top 10 tacklers return, led by safeties Jack Tchienchou and Kevin Adams III and linebacker Chris Rodgers. However, the defensive line lost five key players to Power 4 programs, creating a potential vulnerability against Duke's rushing attack.

Travel and weather factors favor Tulane

The 771-mile trip to Durham is manageable, and the forecast calls for clear skies and 58°F with light wind. No extreme weather or long-distance fatigue should affect performance, allowing Tulane to focus on execution.

Special teams are a mixed bag

Kicker Jackson Courville is reliable from long range, but punting is a concern. Jaylin Lucas provides a dynamic return threat. Field position battles could be critical in a low-scoring game, and Duke may exploit Tulane's punting weakness.

What do the matchup numbers say?

UTSA travels 504 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

How do UTSA and Tulane compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UTSA (-0.4) over Tulane (-3.0) by 2.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Tulane faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Tulane brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates UTSA as the stronger team by 2.6 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.