Week 2 •
Folsom Field

Weber State21 @FINAL 52Colorado , Week 2, Sep 12, 2026

0-0 Big Sky Power rating: -20.8
1-0 Big 12 Power rating: 1.8

How did the line hold up?

Market line
COLO -34.5
PM Implied
COLO -27.2
Blue Chip model
COLO -25.6
Edge
-8.9WEB
See details
◂ favors WEBfavors COLO ▸Market: COLO -34.5
22.6 › COLO
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
COLO
COLO
no impact
no impact
WEB
5 WEB5 COLO10 WEB10 COLOModel: COLO -25.6

Betting information

Spread
COLO -34.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
WEB 10.5 – 45.0 COLO
Prediction markets
COLO 98% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of September 12, 2026

Colorado defeated Weber State 52–21 in a dominant performance. Weber State covered by 3.5; Game went Over by 17.5. The market closed at Colorado -34.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Colorado -25.6 - a gap of 8.9 points toward Weber State, of which 7.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Weber State vs Colorado?

Weber State

Weber State's rebuilt offensive line faces a Colorado front that overwhelmed its first opponent offenseFavorsColorado

Weber State enters with a new-look offensive line that struggled in the season opener, allowing consistent pressure and failing to establish a run game against a lower-tier FCS opponent. Colorado's defensive front, which recorded multiple sacks and tackles for loss in its Week 1 win, will present a significant step up in athleticism and pass-rush ability. The Wildcats' quarterback will need quick reads and a short passing game to survive, but the line's inability to handle stunts and blitzes in the opener is a major concern.

Weber State's run defense, solid in the opener, will be tested by Colorado's explosive backfield defenseFavorsColorado

The Wildcats' run defense held its first opponent to modest yardage and showed good gap discipline, but that opponent lacked a dynamic runner. Colorado features a dual-threat backfield with breakaway speed, as evidenced by their Week 1 performance where they ripped off several long runs. Weber State's front seven, while physical, lacks the overall team speed to contain outside zone and screen plays, which Colorado will likely exploit to create chunk gains and control the clock.

The travel and altitude double-whammy in Boulder is a situational edge for Colorado situationalFavorsColorado

Weber State makes a 360-mile trip to Boulder, playing at altitude in an outdoor venue, a factor that has historically sapped visiting FCS teams' energy in the fourth quarter. The Wildcats are coming off a short week of preparation after their opener, while Colorado has had a full week to rest and game-plan. The combination of travel fatigue, altitude, and a raucous home crowd gives Colorado a significant stamina and momentum advantage as the game wears on.

The market's near-total dismissal of Weber State is justified by the talent gap, but the Wildcats' disciplined scheme could keep the game closer than expected early marketFavors neither

The prediction market gives Weber State only a sliver of a chance, reflecting the vast disparity in roster talent and Colorado's home-field edge. However, Weber State's coaching staff has a history of keeping games competitive in the first half with conservative play-calling and bend-don't-break defense, as seen in their opener. The market is heavily favoring Colorado, and while the final outcome is not in doubt, the Wildcats could cover a large spread if they avoid turnovers and force Colorado to earn points methodically.

Colorado

Colorado's rebuilt offensive line faces a far easier test than Georgia Tech's front, but must prove it can protect Julian Lewis offenseFavorsColorado

Against Georgia Tech, the Buffs' offensive line, with at least four new starters and eight transfer additions, was the biggest concern and Lewis was sacked three times while completing only 14 of 27 passes. Weber State's defensive front is far less formidable, as its power rating is well below Colorado's, so this is the ideal opportunity for the line to establish cohesion and for Lewis to build on his clutch game-winning drive. If the line struggles here, it signals deeper problems for the Big 12 schedule ahead, but the matchup strongly favors Colorado's offense.

Colorado's run game, led by Micah Welch and Damian Henderson II, should dominate a Weber State defense that cannot match their depth offenseFavorsColorado

In the opener, Welch rushed for 58 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries while Henderson added 65 yards on 12 carries, showing the two-back rotation that Colorado has lacked for years. Weber State, an FCS opponent with a power rating far below Colorado's, has no comparable talent or depth in the front seven. Expect Brennan Marion's Go-Go offense to lean heavily on the run to control the clock, wear down the Wildcats, and set up vertical play-action shots, making this a comfortable path to a lopsided win.

Colorado's entirely new defense, which held Georgia Tech to 13 points, should feast on a Weber State offense that lacks Power Four athletes defenseFavorsColorado

Chris Marve's overhauled defense, with only five returning scholarship players and none as full-time starters, was the biggest preseason question mark, but it delivered in the opener, limiting Georgia Tech to 13 points and blocking a potential game-tying field goal. Weber State's offense is a significant step down in competition, and the Buffs' FCS transfers like Toby Anene and Balansama Kamara, who were stars at that level, should be able to generate consistent pressure and force turnovers. This is a chance for the defense to build confidence before facing tougher Big 12 opponents.

Playing at home with a full week of rest and no travel gives Colorado a massive situational edge over a Weber State team making a long road trip situationalFavorsColorado

After traveling over 1,200 miles to Atlanta for the opener, Colorado returns to Boulder with zero travel this week and a full eight days of rest, while Weber State must make a long trip to altitude. The Buffs also enjoy a substantial home-field advantage, which was not a factor in the Georgia Tech game. This combination of rest, familiarity, and altitude should help Colorado start fast and avoid the slow first half they had against Georgia Tech, when Lewis completed just six passes for 41 yards before halftime.

The market's near-total confidence in Colorado is justified, but the spread may be too large given the Buffs' slow-start tendency and Weber State's ability to keep games close marketFavorsWeber State

The prediction market gives Colorado an overwhelming win probability, and the betting line is likely to be very large, reflecting the massive power rating gap. However, Colorado showed in the opener that they can be sluggish early, trailing for most of the second half against Georgia Tech, and Weber State, as a disciplined FCS program, could keep the game competitive into the third quarter if the Buffs' offense sputters early. The market is right about the winner, but the margin may be tighter than the line suggests, making the under or Weber State against the spread a plausible lean.

What were the weather conditions for Weber State vs Colorado?

At kickoff, conditions at Folsom Field were Overcast, 71°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Weber State travels 360 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Colorado won by 31 in a dominant performance.

Weber State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 17.5 points.

How do Weber State and Colorado compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Colorado (1.8) over Weber State (-20.8) by 22.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Colorado brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Colorado won and Weber State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 12, 2026 Game-time

Overcast

71°F

Rain9%
Precip0.00"
Humidity32%
Wind11 mph ESE
Gusts11 mph
Wind map for Weber State at Colorado: aerial view of Folsom Field, wind from the ESE at 10.5 mph, gusting to 11 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
01:30 PM MDT
Venue
Folsom Field
Capacity
50,183
Elevation
5,400 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Weber StateAway ColoradoHome
This week360 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week2,460 miles
Season total360 miles2,460 miles
Body clock13:3013:30
Rest6 days8 days