Week 2
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

New Mexico State @ Hawai'i , Week 2, Sep 13, 2026

0-0 CUSA Power rating: -18.1
0-0 MW Power rating: -6.3

Is there value in the New Mexico State vs Hawai'i line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
HAW -16.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NMSUfavors HAW ▸
11.8 › HAW
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2 NMSU2 HAW4 NMSU4 HAWModel: HAW -16.0

Hawai'i (power rating: -6.3) holds a 11.8-point advantage over New Mexico State (-18.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Hawai'i's home field adds 3.8 points to that advantage at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Beyond home field, the model also charges New Mexico State's westward trip and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect New Mexico State vs Hawai'i at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex?

The latest reading for Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex shows Patchy rain nearby, 76°F with winds of 22 mph. Wind of 22 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 25 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do New Mexico State and Hawai'i compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Hawai'i (-6.3) over New Mexico State (-18.1) by 11.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Hawai'i brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Hawai'i -16.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

76°F

Rain22%
Precip0.00"
Humidity80%
Wind22 mph ENE
Gusts25 mph
Wind map for New Mexico State at Hawai'i: aerial view of Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, wind from the ENE at 21.5 mph, gusting to 25.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
05:59 PM HST
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity
16,909
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure New Mexico StateAway Hawai'iHome
This week3,215 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total5,875 miles4,802 miles
Body clock21:5917:59
Rest7 days7 days

New Mexico State travels 3,215 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 4 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.