Week 2
Michie Stadium

South Florida @ Army , Week 2, Sep 12, 2026

0-0 American Power rating: 2.3
0-0 American Power rating: -1.4

Is there value in the South Florida vs Army line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
USF -1.8
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors USFfavors ARMY ▸
‹ 3.7 USF
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1 USF1 ARMY2 USF2 ARMYModel: USF -1.8

South Florida (power rating: 2.3) carries a 3.7-point advantage over Army (-1.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Army's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 1.6) narrows that gap at Michie Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from South Florida's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect South Florida vs Army at Michie Stadium?

The latest reading for Michie Stadium shows Light rain shower, 69°F with winds of 4 mph. There is a 69% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do South Florida and Army compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Florida (2.3) over Army (-1.4) by 3.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Army faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Army brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this South Florida -1.8. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Light rain shower

69°F

Rain69%
Precip0.05"
Humidity98%
Wind4 mph SSE
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for South Florida at Army: aerial view of Michie Stadium, wind from the SSE at 4.3 mph, gusting to 8.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
Michie Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
348 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure South FloridaAway ArmyHome
This week1,043 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,043 miles0 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days7 days

South Florida travels 1,043 miles to this game, a significant road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.