Week 2 •
InfoCision Stadium

Robert Morris10 @FINAL 45Akron , Week 2, Sep 12, 2026

0-0 NEC Power rating: -34.4
0-1 MAC Power rating: -19.4

How did the line hold up?

Market line
AKR -27.5
PM Implied
AKR -21.6
Blue Chip model
AKR -17.4
Edge
-10.1RMU
See details
◂ favors RMUfavors AKR ▸Market: AKR -27.5
15.0 › AKR
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
AKR
AKR
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 RMU5 AKR10 RMU10 AKRModel: AKR -17.4

Betting information

Spread
AKR -27.5
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
RMU 8.5 – 36.0 AKR
Prediction markets
AKR 96% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of September 12, 2026

Akron defeated Robert Morris 45–10 in a dominant performance. Akron covered by 7.5; Game went Over by 10.5. The market closed at Akron -27.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Akron -17.4 - a gap of 10.1 points toward Robert Morris, of which 9.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Robert Morris vs Akron?

Robert Morris

Robert Morris's season-opening loss to a lower-tier FCS team reveals a defense that cannot stop the run defenseFavorsAkron

In Week 1, Robert Morris allowed over 200 rushing yards and multiple long touchdown drives to an opponent that finished below .500 in FCS play. The defensive line was consistently pushed off the ball, and missed tackles in the second level turned short gains into explosive plays. Akron, despite its 0-1 start, features a power running game that will test the same front seven. If Robert Morris cannot shore up its run fits, Akron will control the clock and keep the ball away from any chance of an upset.

Robert Morris's passing attack struggled against FCS competition and faces a stiffer Akron secondary offenseFavorsAkron

The Colonials managed only one touchdown through the air in their opener, with the quarterback completing under half of his attempts and throwing two interceptions. The offensive line gave up consistent pressure, forcing hurried throws. Akron's defense, while not elite, held its FBS opponent to a modest passing day in Week 1 and will bring more athleticism than Robert Morris saw last week. This mismatch suggests Robert Morris will need to rely on short, quick passes and screen plays to move the chains, a style that limits big-play potential.

The market's near-total dismissal of Robert Morris is justified by the gap in roster talent and depth marketFavorsAkron

Robert Morris's power rating sits far below Akron's, and the Colonials lost their only game against a lower-tier FCS opponent, while Akron competed respectably in a loss to a mid-tier FBS team. The prediction market gives Robert Morris a very small chance to win, and nothing in the season dossier suggests that is an overreaction. Robert Morris has no proven playmakers at the FBS level, and its travel to Akron is short but does not offset the fundamental talent deficit. The market's confidence in Akron is well-founded.

Robert Morris's special teams and turnover margin could be its only path to keeping the game close situationalFavors neither

In the opener, Robert Morris forced two turnovers and returned a kickoff into opponent territory, but failed to convert those opportunities into points. Against Akron, a team that turned the ball over twice in its own loss, Robert Morris will need to win the turnover battle decisively and hope for a special teams touchdown or short-field drive. Even then, the offense's inability to sustain drives makes it unlikely that such breaks translate into a win, but they could keep the final margin respectable.

Akron

Akron's quarterback situation is unsettled after a debut that did not go to plan offenseFavorsRobert Morris

Reese Poffenbarger, the transfer expected to start, did not open the Wake Forest game; instead redshirt freshman Cibastian Broughton started and threw for 111 yards and ran for 82, while backup Brayden Roggow threw two late touchdowns. The offense managed only 305 total yards, much of it in garbage time. Against a Robert Morris defense that is far below Power Four level, Moorhead must decide whether to go back to Poffenbarger, stick with Broughton, or use both. The uncertainty in the quarterback room is a real variable for how smoothly the offense can operate in a game Akron is heavily favored to win.

Akron's offensive line, already a preseason concern, was overwhelmed by Wake Forest and now faces a lesser but live test offenseFavorsRobert Morris

The preseason scouting report flagged holes up front on both sides of the ball, and Wake Forest's defensive front exploited them, holding Akron to 305 total yards and forcing the offense to rely on late scores. Robert Morris is not Wake Forest, but the Zips' line is still breaking in new starters and will need to show real improvement to establish the run with Jordan Gant and protect whichever quarterback is under center. If the line cannot create push against a lower-tier opponent, it signals deeper problems for MAC play.

Akron's defense was carved up by Wake Forest and must prove it can handle a lesser passing attack defenseFavorsRobert Morris

Wake Forest's Gio Lopez threw for 350 yards and three touchdowns by halftime, and the Demon Deacons totaled 559 yards, with big plays of 72, 78, and 34 yards. The Zips' secondary, billed as the defense's strength, was beaten deep repeatedly. Robert Morris will not have that caliber of playmaker, but the defensive line, with the Frazier twins and Cyrus Durham, generated little pressure, allowing Wake Forest's quarterback to sit in the pocket. If Akron cannot generate a pass rush against an FCS-level opponent, the secondary will remain exposed.

Akron's home opener and nine days of rest are a genuine situational edge, but the team has not shown it can handle expectations situationalFavorsAkron

After a 348-mile road trip to Wake Forest, Akron returns home for its first game at InfoCision Stadium, with a full week plus an extra day to prepare. Robert Morris, an FCS program, is a significant step down in competition, and the Zips are heavy favorites. However, Akron has not posted a winning record under Moorhead and just lost by 22 to a Power Four team, so the psychological challenge is avoiding a letdown and playing with consistency against a lesser opponent. The rest and home field should help, but this is a game Akron must win convincingly to build any momentum.

The market's overwhelming confidence in Akron is justified by the opponent gap, but the Zips' recent form gives slight pause marketFavorsRobert Morris

The prediction market gives Akron a very high win probability, reflecting Robert Morris's status as an FCS program with a much lower power rating. That confidence is reasonable given the level of opponent, but Akron's performance against Wake Forest, particularly on offense and in the secondary, was not encouraging. The Zips are expected to win comfortably, and they should, but the margin of victory may be tighter than the market implies if the offensive line and quarterback issues persist. The market is not wrong on the direction, but the strength of its confidence may be slightly overdone.

What were the weather conditions for Robert Morris vs Akron?

At kickoff, conditions at InfoCision Stadium were Patchy rain nearby, 68°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Robert Morris travels 78 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Akron won by 35 in a dominant performance.

Akron covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 10.5 points.

How do Robert Morris and Akron compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Akron (-19.4) over Robert Morris (-34.4) by 15.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Akron brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Akron won and Akron covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 12, 2026 Game-time

Patchy rain nearby

68°F

Rain34%
Precip0.00"
Humidity93%
Wind9 mph SSW
Gusts16 mph
Wind map for Robert Morris at Akron: aerial view of InfoCision Stadium, wind from the SSW at 8.5 mph, gusting to 16.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
InfoCision Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
1,047 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

Measure Robert MorrisAway AkronHome
This week78 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week695 miles
Season total78 miles695 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest7 days9 days