Kansas State Wildcats

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Kansas State Wildcats is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +10.4. Kansas State Wildcats enters the season with a power rating of +10.4, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Kansas State Wildcats host Washington State next in Week 2. In 2025, Kansas State Wildcats went 6-6 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 7-5 on totals.

Conference: Big 12 Conference
Stadium: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
Power Rating (most current): +10.4
HFA Rating:3.1 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 1-0
2026 O/U: 1-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Kansas State Wildcats Power Rating of +10.4 is 10.4 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Kansas State Wildcats have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,510 miles, ranking 95th heaviest in the FBS.

Kansas State Wildcats Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachCollin Klein
TenureFirst season
Offensive coordinatorSean Gleeson
Defensive coordinatorJordan Peterson

Offense

Avery Johnson QB, Joe Jackson RB, Rodney Fields Jr. RB, Jaron Tibbs WR, Josh Manning WR, Izaiah Williams WR, Linkon Cure TE

Defense

Wendell Gregory EDGE, Elijah Hill EDGE, Zashon Rich CB, Donovan McIntosh CB

Special teams

Bryce Noernberg K

2025 Season in Review

Record6-6 ATS5-7 O/U7-5
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 00-10-10-1
Week 11-10-21-1
Week 21-20-31-2
Week 31-30-41-3
Week 52-31-42-3
Week 62-42-43-3
Week 73-43-44-3
Week 94-44-45-3
Week 104-54-56-3
Week 125-54-66-4
Week 135-65-67-4
Week 146-65-77-5

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2025 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +7.9 in the preseason and finished +11.4 after the postseason, a move of +3.5 points. High +12.9 (week 15), low +7.1 (week 2).

Line chart of the 2025 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 18 points, from +7.9 to +11.4.

PrePost

Kansas State Wildcats SP+ Profile

Offence+33.117 of 138higher is better
Defence+23.050 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.344 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±3.3 pts
HFA measured+5.1 pts
HFA applied+3.1 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +5.1 is regressed to +3.1 before it is applied, a difference of 1.9 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Nicholls11-01-0
Tulane21-10-2
Cincinnati11-01-0
Houston21-11-1
Kansas1010-05-5
Arizona State10-10-1
Colorado22-00-2
Oklahoma State105-55-5
TCU107-38-2
Arizona21-11-1
Iowa State104-62-7-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Washington State.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home45-2036-28-1 ATS · 65 games
On the road24-2726-23-2 ATS · 51 games
Neutral site7-36-4 ATS · 10 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,510 miles - ranked 95th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,510 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,510 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1NichollsHome0 mi
Week 2Washington StateHome0 mi
Week 3TulaneHome0 mi
Week 4Cincinnati648 mi1,296 mi
Week 5-Bye
Week 6HoustonHome1,296 mi
Week 7KansasHome1,296 mi
Week 8Arizona State942 mi3,181 mi
Week 9Colorado466 mi4,113 mi
Week 10Oklahoma StateHome4,113 mi
Week 11TCU450 mi5,012 mi
Week 12ArizonaHome5,012 mi
Week 13Iowa State249 mi5,510 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Kansas State Wildcats Season Outlook

A New Era Under Collin Klein

Kansas State enters 2026 with first-time head coach Collin Klein, a former Wildcats quarterback and Heisman contender, taking over in Manhattan. Klein inherits a roster that lost most of its defensive starters and several offensive linemen to the portal, forcing heavy reliance on transfers. The offense, led by senior quarterback Avery Johnson, should be competitive in the Big 12, but the defense has major question marks, especially against the run. Fans should temper expectations for an immediate conference title run, but Klein's familiarity with the program and his offensive acumen provide reason for optimism.

Avery Johnson's Redemption Arc

Avery Johnson returns for his senior season as the school's single-season and career co-leader in touchdown passes, but his 2025 campaign was underwhelming, partly due to his third offensive coordinator in three years and missing key weapons. Reuniting with Klein, who was his offensive coordinator in 2022, should help Johnson rediscover his form. His dual-threat ability, which improved when he ran more last season, will be central to the offense's success. The supporting cast includes running back Joe Jackson, who set a school record with 293 rushing yards against Utah, and transfer Rodney Fields Jr. from Oklahoma State, giving the Wildcats a solid backfield duo.

Offensive Line Rebuild and Skill Position Depth

The offensive line is the biggest concern on offense after losing most starters, with the team turning to the portal for reinforcements. If the line gels, the skill positions have potential: Jaron Tibbs steps up as the top receiver after a strong 2025 as WR2, with transfers Josh Manning and Izaiah Williams adding depth. Former 5-star recruit Linkon Cure could be an X-factor as a tight end or split out wide. The offense's identity, whether power run with two tight ends or spread with 11 personnel, remains to be seen under Klein, but the pieces are there for a balanced attack.

Defensive Overhaul and Key Questions

The defense lost nearly all starters from 2025, prompting a portal-heavy rebuild focused on defensive end and safety. Wendell Gregory, the sixth-ranked edge defender in the portal, and Elijah Hill, a prolific pressure-applier, are critical to the pass rush. At corner, Zashon Rich and Donovan McIntosh return to anchor the secondary. The biggest uncertainty is stopping the run, as the new-look front seven must prove it can hold up. If the pass rush and coverage hold, the defense could surprise, but run defense is the Achilles' heel.

Special Teams and Field Position Battles

Special teams have declined over the past few seasons, with net punting ranking in the bottom half of the Big 12 for three straight years. Bryce Noernberg provides a spark as a kick returner but had fumbling issues in 2025. Placekicking is solid, but winning the field position battle through punting will be crucial for a team that may rely on its defense to hold leads. Improving special teams could be a hidden key to exceeding expectations in Klein's first season.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kansas State Wildcats's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Kansas State Wildcats is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.

What is Kansas State Wildcats's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Kansas State Wildcats holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +10.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Kansas State Wildcats's home field advantage rating?

Kansas State Wildcats's home field advantage rating is 3.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Kansas State Wildcats's 2026 win total?

Kansas State Wildcats's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -175 over and +135 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Kansas State Wildcats travel in 2026?

Kansas State Wildcats travels 5,510 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 95th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Kansas State Wildcats: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +10.4 (2026 records).