Kansas State Wildcats

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Kansas State Wildcats is 4-3 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +9.1. Kansas State Wildcats is 4-3 on the season, with no single factor standing out strongly in the current data. The Kansas State Wildcats head to Colorado next in Week 9.

Conference: Big 12 Conference
Stadium: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
Power Rating (most current): +9.1
HFA Rating:3.1 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 4-3
2026 ATS: 3-4
2026 O/U: 4-3

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Kansas State Wildcats Power Rating of +9.1 is 9.1 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Kansas State Wildcats have logged 3,181 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,510 miles, ranking 95th heaviest in the FBS.

Kansas State Wildcats Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachCollin Klein
TenureFirst season
Offensive coordinatorSean Gleeson
Defensive coordinatorJordan Peterson

Offense

Avery Johnson QB, Joe Jackson RB, Rodney Fields Jr. RB, Jaron Tibbs WR, Josh Manning WR, Izaiah Williams WR, Linkon Cure TE

Defense

Wendell Gregory EDGE, Elijah Hill EDGE, Zashon Rich CB, Donovan McIntosh CB

Special teams

Bryce Noernberg K

2025 Season in Review

Record6-6 ATS5-7 O/U7-5
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 00-10-10-1
Week 11-10-21-1
Week 21-20-31-2
Week 31-30-41-3
Week 52-31-42-3
Week 62-42-43-3
Week 73-43-44-3
Week 94-44-45-3
Week 104-54-56-3
Week 125-54-66-4
Week 135-65-67-4
Week 146-65-77-5

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +10.8 in the preseason and finished +9.1 after week 8, a move of -1.6 points. High +13.2 (week 4), low +7.7 (week 7).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +10.8 to +9.1.

PreW8

Kansas State Wildcats SP+ Profile

Offence+33.117 of 138higher is better
Defence+23.050 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.344 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±3.3 pts
HFA measured+5.1 pts
HFA applied+3.1 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +5.1 is regressed to +3.1 before it is applied, a difference of 1.9 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Nicholls11-01-0
Tulane21-10-2
Cincinnati11-01-0
Houston21-11-1
Kansas1010-05-5
Arizona State10-10-1
Colorado22-00-2
Oklahoma State105-55-5
TCU107-38-2
Arizona21-11-1
Iowa State104-62-7-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Washington State.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home45-2036-28-1 ATS · 65 games
On the road24-2726-23-2 ATS · 51 games
Neutral site7-36-4 ATS · 10 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,510 miles - ranked 95th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,510 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,510 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1NichollsHome0 mi
Week 2Washington StateHome0 mi
Week 3TulaneHome0 mi
Week 4Cincinnati648 mi1,296 mi
Week 5-Bye
Week 6HoustonHome1,296 mi
Week 7KansasHome1,296 mi
Week 8Arizona State942 mi3,181 mi
Week 9Colorado466 mi4,113 mi
Week 10Oklahoma StateHome4,113 mi
Week 11TCU450 mi5,012 mi
Week 12ArizonaHome5,012 mi
Week 13Iowa State249 mi5,510 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Kansas State Wildcats Season Outlook

Klein era opens with a perfect home stand

Kansas State started 3-0 under first-year head coach Collin Klein, winning all three games at Bill Snyder Family Stadium by a combined score of 136-30. The Wildcats covered the spread in wins over Nicholls (71-3) and Washington State (34-7) but failed to cover a 20.5-point line in a 31-20 victory over Tulane. The offense averaged 45.3 points per game during the stretch, while the defense allowed just three points through the first two games (the only touchdown came on an interception return) before Tulane found the end zone. The home dominance was built against inferior competition, but it gave the new staff a foundation.

Avery Johnson's dual-threat brilliance and turnover concerns

Senior quarterback Avery Johnson has been the engine of the offense, breaking the school record for career touchdown passes in Week 1 and showcasing his legs with a 152-yard rushing performance against Tulane. However, his ball security has been a persistent issue: he threw two interceptions against Washington State (including a pick-six) and another in the loss to Houston. Johnson's decision-making is the biggest variable in Kansas State's season; when he protects the football, the Wildcats are tough to beat, but his mistakes have kept opponents within striking distance.

Road reality check and defensive regression

After three home games, Kansas State hit the road for the first time and fell 31-26 at Cincinnati, exposing the rebuilt defense's vulnerability against a balanced attack. The Wildcats then suffered a 35-16 home loss to Houston, where the nation's top-ranked pass defense (106.3 yards allowed per game) was shredded by tight end Patrick Overmyer, who tied an FBS record with four touchdown receptions. The front seven, which had feasted on overmatched opponents, struggled to stop the run and generate pressure against quality competition. The two-game losing streak dropped Kansas State to 0-2 in Big 12 play and raised questions about the defense's ability to hold up in conference games.

Resiliency and ground game shine in Sunflower Showdown win

Kansas State snapped its two-game skid with a 35-24 victory over Kansas, overcoming an early 10-point deficit and a rash of mistakes (a fumble, two failed fourth downs inside the 12, and settling for field goals). Joe Jackson ran for 159 yards and a touchdown, while Avery Johnson added 132 yards on the ground and threw for 203 yards and a score. The Wildcats extended their winning streak over the Jayhawks to 18 games, dating back to 2008. The running game has been a reliable asset all season, with a 100-yard rusher in every game, and it provided the foundation for the comeback win.

What to watch: consistency and defense as Big 12 play continues

Kansas State sits at 4-2 overall and 1-2 in the Big 12, with the offense showing explosiveness but the defense remaining a work in progress. The Wildcats have yet to prove they can consistently stop quality opponents, as evidenced by the losses to Cincinnati and Houston. The offensive line, rebuilt through the transfer portal, has had mixed results against stronger fronts. Special teams have been solid in the kicking game but inconsistent in coverage. Moving forward, the Wildcats must find more balance and avoid turnovers to compete in a tough conference. The upcoming game at Arizona State (3-3) presents another test on the road, where Kansas State has struggled. How the defense adjusts and whether Johnson can cut down on mistakes will determine if Kansas State can climb back into the Big 12 race.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kansas State Wildcats's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Kansas State Wildcats is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.

What is Kansas State Wildcats's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Kansas State Wildcats holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +9.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Kansas State Wildcats's home field advantage rating?

Kansas State Wildcats's home field advantage rating is 3.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Kansas State Wildcats's 2026 win total?

Kansas State Wildcats's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -175 over and +135 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Kansas State Wildcats travel in 2026?

Kansas State Wildcats travels 5,510 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 95th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Kansas State Wildcats: 4-3 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating +9.1 (2026 records).