26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
3
Final
39
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
27
Final
34
17
Final
34
31
Final
30
42
Final
19
16
Final
21
13
Final
21
Kansas State Wildcats is 4-3 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +9.1. Kansas State Wildcats is 4-3 on the season, with no single factor standing out strongly in the current data. The Kansas State Wildcats head to Colorado next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Kansas State Wildcats Power Rating of +9.1 is 9.1 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Kansas State Wildcats have logged 3,181 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,510 miles, ranking 95th heaviest in the FBS.
Avery Johnson QB, Joe Jackson RB, Rodney Fields Jr. RB, Jaron Tibbs WR, Josh Manning WR, Izaiah Williams WR, Linkon Cure TE
Wendell Gregory EDGE, Elijah Hill EDGE, Zashon Rich CB, Donovan McIntosh CB
Bryce Noernberg K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Week 3 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Week 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Week 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Week 7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Week 10 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 6-3 |
| Week 12 | 5-5 | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Week 13 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Week 14 | 6-6 | 5-7 | 7-5 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +10.8 in the preseason and finished +9.1 after week 8, a move of -1.6 points. High +13.2 (week 4), low +7.7 (week 7).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +5.1 is regressed to +3.1 before it is applied, a difference of 1.9 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Tulane | 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Cincinnati | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Houston | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kansas | 10 | 10-0 | 5-5 |
| Arizona State | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Colorado | 2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Oklahoma State | 10 | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| TCU | 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 |
| Arizona | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Iowa State | 10 | 4-6 | 2-7-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Washington State.
Week 05,510 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Nicholls | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Washington State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | Tulane | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 4 | Cincinnati | 648 mi | 1,296 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | Houston | Home | 1,296 mi |
| Week 7 | Kansas | Home | 1,296 mi |
| Week 8 | Arizona State | 942 mi | 3,181 mi |
| Week 9 | Colorado | 466 mi | 4,113 mi |
| Week 10 | Oklahoma State | Home | 4,113 mi |
| Week 11 | TCU | 450 mi | 5,012 mi |
| Week 12 | Arizona | Home | 5,012 mi |
| Week 13 | Iowa State | 249 mi | 5,510 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Kansas State started 3-0 under first-year head coach Collin Klein, winning all three games at Bill Snyder Family Stadium by a combined score of 136-30. The Wildcats covered the spread in wins over Nicholls (71-3) and Washington State (34-7) but failed to cover a 20.5-point line in a 31-20 victory over Tulane. The offense averaged 45.3 points per game during the stretch, while the defense allowed just three points through the first two games (the only touchdown came on an interception return) before Tulane found the end zone. The home dominance was built against inferior competition, but it gave the new staff a foundation.
Senior quarterback Avery Johnson has been the engine of the offense, breaking the school record for career touchdown passes in Week 1 and showcasing his legs with a 152-yard rushing performance against Tulane. However, his ball security has been a persistent issue: he threw two interceptions against Washington State (including a pick-six) and another in the loss to Houston. Johnson's decision-making is the biggest variable in Kansas State's season; when he protects the football, the Wildcats are tough to beat, but his mistakes have kept opponents within striking distance.
After three home games, Kansas State hit the road for the first time and fell 31-26 at Cincinnati, exposing the rebuilt defense's vulnerability against a balanced attack. The Wildcats then suffered a 35-16 home loss to Houston, where the nation's top-ranked pass defense (106.3 yards allowed per game) was shredded by tight end Patrick Overmyer, who tied an FBS record with four touchdown receptions. The front seven, which had feasted on overmatched opponents, struggled to stop the run and generate pressure against quality competition. The two-game losing streak dropped Kansas State to 0-2 in Big 12 play and raised questions about the defense's ability to hold up in conference games.
Kansas State snapped its two-game skid with a 35-24 victory over Kansas, overcoming an early 10-point deficit and a rash of mistakes (a fumble, two failed fourth downs inside the 12, and settling for field goals). Joe Jackson ran for 159 yards and a touchdown, while Avery Johnson added 132 yards on the ground and threw for 203 yards and a score. The Wildcats extended their winning streak over the Jayhawks to 18 games, dating back to 2008. The running game has been a reliable asset all season, with a 100-yard rusher in every game, and it provided the foundation for the comeback win.
Kansas State sits at 4-2 overall and 1-2 in the Big 12, with the offense showing explosiveness but the defense remaining a work in progress. The Wildcats have yet to prove they can consistently stop quality opponents, as evidenced by the losses to Cincinnati and Houston. The offensive line, rebuilt through the transfer portal, has had mixed results against stronger fronts. Special teams have been solid in the kicking game but inconsistent in coverage. Moving forward, the Wildcats must find more balance and avoid turnovers to compete in a tough conference. The upcoming game at Arizona State (3-3) presents another test on the road, where Kansas State has struggled. How the defense adjusts and whether Johnson can cut down on mistakes will determine if Kansas State can climb back into the Big 12 race.
Kansas State Wildcats is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.
Kansas State Wildcats holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +9.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Kansas State Wildcats's home field advantage rating is 3.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Kansas State Wildcats's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -175 over and +135 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Kansas State Wildcats travels 5,510 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 95th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Kansas State Wildcats: 4-3 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating +9.1 (2026 records).