Kansas State Wildcats is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +10.4. Kansas State Wildcats enters the season with a power rating of +10.4, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Kansas State Wildcats host Washington State next in Week 2. In 2025, Kansas State Wildcats went 6-6 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 7-5 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Kansas State Wildcats Power Rating of +10.4 is 10.4 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Kansas State Wildcats have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,510 miles, ranking 95th heaviest in the FBS.
Avery Johnson QB, Joe Jackson RB, Rodney Fields Jr. RB, Jaron Tibbs WR, Josh Manning WR, Izaiah Williams WR, Linkon Cure TE
Wendell Gregory EDGE, Elijah Hill EDGE, Zashon Rich CB, Donovan McIntosh CB
Bryce Noernberg K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Week 3 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Week 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Week 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Week 7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Week 10 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 6-3 |
| Week 12 | 5-5 | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Week 13 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Week 14 | 6-6 | 5-7 | 7-5 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +7.9 in the preseason and finished +11.4 after the postseason, a move of +3.5 points. High +12.9 (week 15), low +7.1 (week 2).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +5.1 is regressed to +3.1 before it is applied, a difference of 1.9 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Tulane | 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Cincinnati | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Houston | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kansas | 10 | 10-0 | 5-5 |
| Arizona State | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Colorado | 2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Oklahoma State | 10 | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| TCU | 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 |
| Arizona | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Iowa State | 10 | 4-6 | 2-7-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Washington State.
Week 05,510 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Nicholls | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Washington State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | Tulane | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 4 | Cincinnati | 648 mi | 1,296 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | Houston | Home | 1,296 mi |
| Week 7 | Kansas | Home | 1,296 mi |
| Week 8 | Arizona State | 942 mi | 3,181 mi |
| Week 9 | Colorado | 466 mi | 4,113 mi |
| Week 10 | Oklahoma State | Home | 4,113 mi |
| Week 11 | TCU | 450 mi | 5,012 mi |
| Week 12 | Arizona | Home | 5,012 mi |
| Week 13 | Iowa State | 249 mi | 5,510 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Kansas State enters 2026 with first-time head coach Collin Klein, a former Wildcats quarterback and Heisman contender, taking over in Manhattan. Klein inherits a roster that lost most of its defensive starters and several offensive linemen to the portal, forcing heavy reliance on transfers. The offense, led by senior quarterback Avery Johnson, should be competitive in the Big 12, but the defense has major question marks, especially against the run. Fans should temper expectations for an immediate conference title run, but Klein's familiarity with the program and his offensive acumen provide reason for optimism.
Avery Johnson returns for his senior season as the school's single-season and career co-leader in touchdown passes, but his 2025 campaign was underwhelming, partly due to his third offensive coordinator in three years and missing key weapons. Reuniting with Klein, who was his offensive coordinator in 2022, should help Johnson rediscover his form. His dual-threat ability, which improved when he ran more last season, will be central to the offense's success. The supporting cast includes running back Joe Jackson, who set a school record with 293 rushing yards against Utah, and transfer Rodney Fields Jr. from Oklahoma State, giving the Wildcats a solid backfield duo.
The offensive line is the biggest concern on offense after losing most starters, with the team turning to the portal for reinforcements. If the line gels, the skill positions have potential: Jaron Tibbs steps up as the top receiver after a strong 2025 as WR2, with transfers Josh Manning and Izaiah Williams adding depth. Former 5-star recruit Linkon Cure could be an X-factor as a tight end or split out wide. The offense's identity, whether power run with two tight ends or spread with 11 personnel, remains to be seen under Klein, but the pieces are there for a balanced attack.
The defense lost nearly all starters from 2025, prompting a portal-heavy rebuild focused on defensive end and safety. Wendell Gregory, the sixth-ranked edge defender in the portal, and Elijah Hill, a prolific pressure-applier, are critical to the pass rush. At corner, Zashon Rich and Donovan McIntosh return to anchor the secondary. The biggest uncertainty is stopping the run, as the new-look front seven must prove it can hold up. If the pass rush and coverage hold, the defense could surprise, but run defense is the Achilles' heel.
Special teams have declined over the past few seasons, with net punting ranking in the bottom half of the Big 12 for three straight years. Bryce Noernberg provides a spark as a kick returner but had fumbling issues in 2025. Placekicking is solid, but winning the field position battle through punting will be crucial for a team that may rely on its defense to hold leads. Improving special teams could be a hidden key to exceeding expectations in Klein's first season.
Kansas State Wildcats is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Kansas State Wildcats holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +10.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Kansas State Wildcats's home field advantage rating is 3.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Kansas State Wildcats's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -175 over and +135 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Kansas State Wildcats travels 5,510 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 95th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Kansas State Wildcats: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +10.4 (2026 records).