Week 12 •
Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Arizona @ Kansas State , Week 12, Nov 21, 2026

4-1 Big 12 Power rating: 11.0
3-1 Big 12 Power rating: 10.7

Is there value in the Arizona vs Kansas State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
KSU -3.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ARIZfavors KSU ▸
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1 ARIZ1 KSU2 ARIZ2 KSU3 ARIZ3 KSUModel: KSU -3.4

Kansas State (power rating: 10.7) and Arizona (11.0) are rated essentially even on a neutral field by Blue Chip Analytics. Kansas State's home field advantage (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1) is the primary differentiator at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Arizona's trip and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Arizona vs Kansas State at Bill Snyder Family Stadium?

The latest reading for Bill Snyder Family Stadium shows Overcast, 70°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 25 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Arizona and Kansas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Arizona (11.0) and Kansas State (10.7) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, home field, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Kansas State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Kansas State -3.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

70°F

Rain21%
Precip0.00"
Humidity75%
Wind14 mph ESE
Gusts25 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Arizona at Kansas State: aerial view of Bill Snyder Family Stadium, wind from the ESE at 14.1 mph, gusting to 25.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
1,129 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure ArizonaAway Kansas StateHome
This week938 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game899 miles
Season total8,829 miles5,012 miles
Body clock22:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Arizona travels 938 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Arizona arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.