TCU Horned Frogs

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TCU Horned Frogs is 0-0 on the season, 0-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +9.6. TCU Horned Frogs enters the season with a power rating of +9.6, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The TCU Horned Frogs host North Carolina next in Week 0. In 2025, TCU Horned Frogs went 8-4 overall, 6-5-1 against the spread, and 6-6 on totals.

Conference: Big 12 Conference
Stadium: Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Power Rating: +9.6
HFA Rating:3.3 pts
Record: 0-0
ATS: 0-0
O/U: 0-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 0 of 2026 the TCU Horned Frogs Power Rating of +9.6 is 9.4 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. TCU Horned Frogs have logged 8,995 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 13,285 miles, ranking 15th heaviest in the FBS.

2026 Season Travel Profile

13,285 miles - ranked 15th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0North Carolina4,497 mi8,995 mi
Week 1Bye
Week 2GramblingHome8,995 mi
Week 3Arkansas StateHome8,995 mi
Week 4UCF1,003 mi11,000 mi
Week 5BYUHome11,000 mi
Week 6Bye
Week 7Baylor81 mi11,162 mi
Week 8West VirginiaHome11,162 mi
Week 9KansasHome11,162 mi
Week 10Arizona793 mi12,749 mi
Week 11Kansas StateHome12,749 mi
Week 12UtahHome12,749 mi
Week 13Texas Tech268 mi13,285 mi
Week 14Bye
Week 15Bye
Week 16Bye

TCU Horned Frogs Season Outlook

New Identity on Offense

TCU enters 2026 with a revamped offense under first-year coordinator Gordon Sammis and Harvard transfer quarterback Jaden Craig. The shift to a prostyle scheme is a significant departure from the up-tempo attack of recent years. Craig's development will be critical, as he takes over for Josh Hoover and must build chemistry with a receiving corps that lost star Eric McAlister. The Frogs do return leading rusher Jeremy Payne, who closed 2025 with two 100-yard games, and second-leading receiver Jordan Dwyer (730 yards, seven touchdowns). Young wideouts Terry Shelton and Dozie Ezukanma are expected to step into larger roles. The offensive line, anchored by returning starters and key transfers Noah McKinney and Jaheim Buchanon, is touted as the deepest of Sonny Dykes' tenure, which should help Craig adjust and allow the run game to become a stabilizing force.

Defensive Line Returns, Linebacker is the Question

The Horned Frogs retained much of their defensive line, including tackle Markis Deal and end Zach Chapman, after finishing fifth in the Big 12 in rushing defense in 2025. That continuity up front is a strength. However, the linebacker corps is a major question mark after losing All-Big 12 linebacker Kaleb Elarms-Orr and veteran Namdi Obiazor. Max Carroll steps into the middle linebacker role, but the second spot is a competition among redshirt freshmen and transfers. How quickly that unit gels will determine whether TCU can stop the run and pressure opposing quarterbacks consistently.

Secondary Hopes for Improvement

Cornerback was TCU's biggest weakness last season, but there is optimism for a turnaround. Gil Jackson, a 6-foot-3 corner who earned playing time as a freshman, emerged as a top spring performer and could be a breakout player. He joins returning starter Vernon Glover Jr., and the Frogs added two transfers with Power 4 experience. All-Big 12 safety Jamel Johnson (96 tackles, five interceptions in 2025) returns as the leader of the secondary. If the cornerbacks can hold up, Johnson's playmaking ability could elevate the entire defense.

Special Teams Stability

TCU returns starting kicker Kyle Lemmermann, who dealt with injuries last season but is hoping for a bounce-back year. The Frogs also added Louisiana Tech transfer punter John Hoyet Chance to handle punting duties. Solid special teams play could be a valuable asset in close games, especially as the offense and defense work through their transitions.

Ceiling Depends on Complementary Football

As one opposing Big 12 assistant noted, TCU's success will hinge on playing complementary football. The Frogs have talent and speed, but they need consistency on offense to help a defense that can be on the field too long. If Craig can manage the game and the run game can control the clock, TCU can keep its defense fresh and create more opportunities for its playmakers. The development of the new quarterback and the emergence of a second linebacker will ultimately determine whether the Horned Frogs contend in the Big 12 or face an uphill battle.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is TCU Horned Frogs's against-the-spread record in 2026?

TCU Horned Frogs is 0-0 against the spread in the 2026 season.

What is TCU Horned Frogs's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

TCU Horned Frogs holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +9.6, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is TCU Horned Frogs's home field advantage rating?

TCU Horned Frogs's home field advantage rating is 3.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

How many miles does TCU Horned Frogs travel in 2026?

TCU Horned Frogs travels 13,285 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 15th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

TCU Horned Frogs: 0-0 overall, 0-0 ATS, power rating +9.6.