Week 4
Nippert Stadium

Kansas State @ Cincinnati , Week 4, Sep 26, 2026

0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 10.8
0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 5.0

Is there value in the Kansas State vs Cincinnati line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
KSU -3.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors KSUfavors CIN ▸
‹ 5.8 KSU
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1 KSU1 CIN2 KSU2 CIN3 KSU3 CINModel: KSU -3.0

Kansas State (power rating: 10.8) carries a 5.8-point advantage over Cincinnati (5.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Cincinnati's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8) narrows that gap at Nippert Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Kansas State vs Cincinnati at Nippert Stadium?

The latest reading for Nippert Stadium shows Partly Cloudy, 66°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Kansas State and Cincinnati compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kansas State (10.8) over Cincinnati (5.0) by 5.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Cincinnati faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Cincinnati brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Kansas State -3.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

66°F

Rain18%
Precip0.00"
Humidity94%
Wind4 mph NNW
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for Kansas State at Cincinnati: aerial view of Nippert Stadium, wind from the NNW at 4.3 mph, gusting to 7.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EDT
Venue
Nippert Stadium
Capacity
38,088
Elevation
778 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Kansas StateAway CincinnatiHome
This week648 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total648 miles0 miles
Body clock23:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Kansas State travels 648 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Kansas State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.