Week 11
Amon G. Carter Stadium

Kansas State @ TCU , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 10.8
0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 9.4

Is there value in the Kansas State vs TCU line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TCU -2.1
Edge
No line posted
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KSU
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TCU
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1 KSU1 TCU2 KSU2 TCU3 KSU3 TCUModel: TCU -2.1

Kansas State (power rating: 10.8) carries a 1.4-point advantage over TCU (9.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. TCU's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3) narrows that gap at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Kansas State vs TCU at Amon G. Carter Stadium?

The latest reading for Amon G. Carter Stadium shows Clear, 81°F, heat index 85°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Kansas State and TCU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kansas State (10.8) over TCU (9.4) by 1.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, TCU faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. TCU brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this TCU -2.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

81°F

Rain19%
Precip0.01"
Humidity67%
Wind8 mph SW
Gusts13 mph
Heat index85°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Kansas State at TCU: aerial view of Amon G. Carter Stadium, wind from the SW at 8.3 mph, gusting to 13.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity
47,000
Elevation
646 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Kansas StateAway TCUHome
This week450 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,587 miles
Season total4,563 miles12,749 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Kansas State travels 450 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.