Arizona Wildcats is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +9.3. Arizona Wildcats enters the season with a power rating of +9.3, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Arizona Wildcats head to BYU next in Week 2. In 2025, Arizona Wildcats went 9-4 overall, 8-5 against the spread, and 4-9 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Arizona Wildcats Power Rating of +9.3 is 9.3 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Arizona Wildcats have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 9,766 miles, ranking 35th heaviest in the FBS.
Noah Fifita QB, Tre Spivey WR, Chris Hunter WR, Giovanni Richardson WR
Michael Salgado-Medina K, Chase Ridley P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Week 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Week 10 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 4-4 |
| Week 11 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 4-5 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 9-3 | 8-4 | 4-8 |
| Postseason | 9-4 | 8-5 | 4-9 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +8.9 in the preseason and finished +9.3 after week 2, a move of +0.4 points. High +9.3 (week 2), low +8.9 (the preseason).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.3 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona | 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| BYU | 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Washington State | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Cincinnati | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| West Virginia | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Iowa State | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Texas Tech | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| TCU | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Utah | 8 | 2-6 | 3-5 |
| Kansas State | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Arizona State | 10 | 4-6 | 4-5-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Northern Illinois.
Week 09,766 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Northern Arizona | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | BYU | 555 mi | 1,110 mi |
| Week 3 | Northern Illinois | Home | 1,110 mi |
| Week 4 | Washington State | 1,053 mi | 3,217 mi |
| Week 5 | Cincinnati | Home | 3,217 mi |
| Week 6 | West Virginia | 1,801 mi | 6,819 mi |
| Week 7 | - | Bye | |
| Week 8 | Iowa State | Home | 6,819 mi |
| Week 9 | Texas Tech | 536 mi | 7,891 mi |
| Week 10 | TCU | Home | 7,891 mi |
| Week 11 | Utah | Home | 7,891 mi |
| Week 12 | Kansas State | 938 mi | 9,766 mi |
| Week 13 | Arizona State | Home | 9,766 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Noah Fifita, the reigning first-team All-Big 12 quarterback, opened his final season with a crisp 22-for-29, 262-yard, two-touchdown performance against Northern Arizona. He is now within striking distance of Nick Foles' career passing yardage record at Arizona, needing just 829 yards to claim that mark. With the same offensive coordinator, Seth Doege, for the first time in his career, Fifita has the stability to make a run at every major passing record in program history. His early chemistry with receivers Tre Spivey and Brandon Phelps, who each caught a touchdown in the opener, suggests the passing game can be explosive all season.
Arizona's defense dominated an overmatched FCS opponent, holding Northern Arizona to 193 total yards, including minus-seven rushing, and recording five sacks. Chase Kennedy led the pass rush with 2.5 sacks. However, the unit is still integrating eight transfer defensive backs after losing three veterans who combined for 6,700 career snaps. The opener offered little stress on the back end, so the real test comes against BYU's passing attack. Safety Quinn Olson, a walk-on who earned a scholarship just before the game, made his first career start and intercepted a pass, providing an early bright spot in the rebuilt secondary.
The Wildcats showed they can win with the run as well as the pass. Kedrick Reescano scored twice on short touchdown runs, and Antwan Roberts Jr. broke a 14-yard score on his first carry at Arizona. The ability to lean on the running game late, while Fifita rested in the fourth quarter, is a positive sign for depth and game management. However, the offense was not perfect: Giovanni Richardson lost a fumble inside the red zone, a mistake that could prove costly in tighter Big 12 games.
Arizona did not cover the 31.5-point spread, and special teams played a role in that. Kicker Michael Salgado-Medina, who missed 12 field goals last season, did not attempt a field goal in the opener, so his consistency remains unproven. New punter Chase Ridley had a quiet debut, but the unit overall was not a factor. The Wildcats also committed a fumble and allowed a late interception return for a touchdown by Northern Arizona's Noble Young-Blackgoat, a reminder that focus and execution can lapse. Cleaning up these mistakes will be critical as the schedule stiffens.
Arizona's 35-7 win was the expected result against an FCS opponent, but the real season begins now. The Wildcats travel to Provo to face No. 14 BYU, a team with a higher power rating and a 7.5-point home favorite. The game will be a significant step up in competition, testing Arizona's rebuilt secondary against a quality passing attack and its offensive line against a stouter front. A win would validate the preseason optimism and put Arizona in the early Big 12 conversation; a loss would not be fatal, but it would expose the gap between the Wildcats and the conference's elite.
Arizona Wildcats is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Arizona Wildcats holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +9.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Arizona Wildcats's home field advantage rating is 2.4 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Arizona Wildcats's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at +100 over and -130 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Arizona Wildcats travels 9,766 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 35th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Arizona Wildcats: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +9.3 (2026 records).