Arizona Wildcats

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Arizona Wildcats is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +9.3. Arizona Wildcats enters the season with a power rating of +9.3, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Arizona Wildcats head to BYU next in Week 2. In 2025, Arizona Wildcats went 9-4 overall, 8-5 against the spread, and 4-9 on totals.

Conference: Big 12 Conference
Stadium: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
Power Rating (most current): +9.3
HFA Rating:2.4 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 0-1
2026 O/U: 0-1

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Arizona Wildcats Power Rating of +9.3 is 9.3 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Arizona Wildcats have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 9,766 miles, ranking 35th heaviest in the FBS.

Arizona Wildcats Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachBrent Brennan
Tenure2 seasons
Record at school13-12
Career record47-60 (9 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorSeth Doege
Defensive coordinatorDanny Gonzales

Offense

Noah Fifita QB, Tre Spivey WR, Chris Hunter WR, Giovanni Richardson WR

Special teams

Michael Salgado-Medina K, Chase Ridley P

2025 Season in Review

Record9-4 ATS8-5 O/U4-9
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 22-02-00-2
Week 33-03-00-3
Week 53-13-11-3
Week 64-14-11-4
Week 74-24-22-4
Week 84-34-33-4
Week 105-35-34-4
Week 116-35-44-5
Week 127-36-44-6
Week 138-37-44-7
Week 149-38-44-8
Postseason9-48-54-9

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +8.9 in the preseason and finished +9.3 after week 2, a move of +0.4 points. High +9.3 (week 2), low +8.9 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from +8.9 to +9.3.

PreW2

Arizona Wildcats SP+ Profile

Offence+31.528 of 138higher is better
Defence+20.833 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.5113 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.4 pts
HFA measured+2.1 pts
HFA applied+2.4 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.3 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Northern Arizona54-12-3
BYU50-51-4
Washington State62-42-4
Cincinnati11-01-0
West Virginia10-10-1
Iowa State10-10-1
Texas Tech21-11-1
TCU10-10-1
Utah82-63-5
Kansas State21-11-1
Arizona State104-64-5-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Northern Illinois.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home32-3029-31-2 ATS · 62 games
On the road15-3419-29-1 ATS · 49 games
Neutral site1-42-3 ATS · 5 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

9,766 miles - ranked 35th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 9,766 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 09,766 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Northern ArizonaHome0 mi
Week 2BYU555 mi1,110 mi
Week 3Northern IllinoisHome1,110 mi
Week 4Washington State1,053 mi3,217 mi
Week 5CincinnatiHome3,217 mi
Week 6West Virginia1,801 mi6,819 mi
Week 7-Bye
Week 8Iowa StateHome6,819 mi
Week 9Texas Tech536 mi7,891 mi
Week 10TCUHome7,891 mi
Week 11UtahHome7,891 mi
Week 12Kansas State938 mi9,766 mi
Week 13Arizona StateHome9,766 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Arizona Wildcats Season Outlook

Fifita's Farewell Tour Starts Strong

Noah Fifita, the reigning first-team All-Big 12 quarterback, opened his final season with a crisp 22-for-29, 262-yard, two-touchdown performance against Northern Arizona. He is now within striking distance of Nick Foles' career passing yardage record at Arizona, needing just 829 yards to claim that mark. With the same offensive coordinator, Seth Doege, for the first time in his career, Fifita has the stability to make a run at every major passing record in program history. His early chemistry with receivers Tre Spivey and Brandon Phelps, who each caught a touchdown in the opener, suggests the passing game can be explosive all season.

Defense Shows Teeth, But Secondary Remains a Question

Arizona's defense dominated an overmatched FCS opponent, holding Northern Arizona to 193 total yards, including minus-seven rushing, and recording five sacks. Chase Kennedy led the pass rush with 2.5 sacks. However, the unit is still integrating eight transfer defensive backs after losing three veterans who combined for 6,700 career snaps. The opener offered little stress on the back end, so the real test comes against BYU's passing attack. Safety Quinn Olson, a walk-on who earned a scholarship just before the game, made his first career start and intercepted a pass, providing an early bright spot in the rebuilt secondary.

Ground Game and Depth Emerge as Strengths

The Wildcats showed they can win with the run as well as the pass. Kedrick Reescano scored twice on short touchdown runs, and Antwan Roberts Jr. broke a 14-yard score on his first carry at Arizona. The ability to lean on the running game late, while Fifita rested in the fourth quarter, is a positive sign for depth and game management. However, the offense was not perfect: Giovanni Richardson lost a fumble inside the red zone, a mistake that could prove costly in tighter Big 12 games.

Special Teams and Discipline Need Polish

Arizona did not cover the 31.5-point spread, and special teams played a role in that. Kicker Michael Salgado-Medina, who missed 12 field goals last season, did not attempt a field goal in the opener, so his consistency remains unproven. New punter Chase Ridley had a quiet debut, but the unit overall was not a factor. The Wildcats also committed a fumble and allowed a late interception return for a touchdown by Northern Arizona's Noble Young-Blackgoat, a reminder that focus and execution can lapse. Cleaning up these mistakes will be critical as the schedule stiffens.

Road Test at BYU Will Define Early Trajectory

Arizona's 35-7 win was the expected result against an FCS opponent, but the real season begins now. The Wildcats travel to Provo to face No. 14 BYU, a team with a higher power rating and a 7.5-point home favorite. The game will be a significant step up in competition, testing Arizona's rebuilt secondary against a quality passing attack and its offensive line against a stouter front. A win would validate the preseason optimism and put Arizona in the early Big 12 conversation; a loss would not be fatal, but it would expose the gap between the Wildcats and the conference's elite.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Arizona Wildcats's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Arizona Wildcats is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.

What is Arizona Wildcats's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Arizona Wildcats holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +9.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Arizona Wildcats's home field advantage rating?

Arizona Wildcats's home field advantage rating is 2.4 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Arizona Wildcats's 2026 win total?

Arizona Wildcats's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at +100 over and -130 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Arizona Wildcats travel in 2026?

Arizona Wildcats travels 9,766 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 35th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Arizona Wildcats: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +9.3 (2026 records).