26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
3
Final
39
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
27
Final
34
17
Final
34
31
Final
30
42
Final
19
16
Final
21
13
Final
21
Arizona Wildcats is 6-1 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +12.3. Arizona Wildcats holds a power rating of +12.3, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Arizona Wildcats head to Texas Tech next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Arizona Wildcats Power Rating of +12.3 is 12.3 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Arizona Wildcats have logged 6,819 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 9,766 miles, ranking 35th heaviest in the FBS.
Noah Fifita QB, Tre Spivey WR, Chris Hunter WR, Giovanni Richardson WR
Michael Salgado-Medina K, Chase Ridley P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Week 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Week 10 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 4-4 |
| Week 11 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 4-5 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 9-3 | 8-4 | 4-8 |
| Postseason | 9-4 | 8-5 | 4-9 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +8.9 in the preseason and finished +12.3 after week 8, a move of +3.4 points. High +12.6 (week 7), low +7.3 (week 3).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.3 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona | 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| BYU | 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Washington State | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Cincinnati | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| West Virginia | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Iowa State | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Texas Tech | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| TCU | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Utah | 8 | 2-6 | 3-5 |
| Kansas State | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Arizona State | 10 | 4-6 | 4-5-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Northern Illinois.
Week 09,766 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Northern Arizona | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | BYU | 555 mi | 1,110 mi |
| Week 3 | Northern Illinois | Home | 1,110 mi |
| Week 4 | Washington State | 1,053 mi | 3,217 mi |
| Week 5 | Cincinnati | Home | 3,217 mi |
| Week 6 | West Virginia | 1,801 mi | 6,819 mi |
| Week 7 | - | Bye | |
| Week 8 | Iowa State | Home | 6,819 mi |
| Week 9 | Texas Tech | 536 mi | 7,891 mi |
| Week 10 | TCU | Home | 7,891 mi |
| Week 11 | Utah | Home | 7,891 mi |
| Week 12 | Kansas State | 938 mi | 9,766 mi |
| Week 13 | Arizona State | Home | 9,766 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Noah Fifita has been the engine of Arizona's attack, becoming the program's all-time passing leader in Week 3 and already owning the career touchdown record. He has thrown for over 300 yards in three games, including a season-high 341 at West Virginia, and his connection with Seth Doege (his first back-to-back coordinator) has unlocked explosive plays. The Wildcats have scored 34 or more in four of six games, but the offense has been streaky, getting shut out in the second half at BYU and starting slowly against Northern Illinois and Washington State. If Fifita and company can string together four complete quarters, this unit can carry the team.
Danny Gonzales's unit has flashed the takeaway magic that defined 2025, forcing key turnovers like Lee Molette III's fumble return for a touchdown at West Virginia and generating pressure (five sacks in the opener). However, the rebuilt secondary, which lost three veterans who combined for 6,700 snaps, has been tested by competent passing attacks: BYU threw for 217 yards and three scores, and Washington State moved the ball effectively. The Wildcats have allowed 24 or more points in three of six games, and the back end remains vulnerable to communication busts in man coverage. The front seven's disruption has masked some of those issues, but against stronger passing teams, the secondary must hold up.
Arizona's touted receiver corps has been tested by injuries, with top targets Tre Spivey, Giovanni Richardson, and Chris Hunter all sidelined for the West Virginia game. Yet the next men up delivered: Isaiah Mizell exploded for 183 yards and two scores, and Brandon Phelps added a 42-yard touchdown on a trick play. Spivey has been the most consistent threat when healthy, posting 129 yards and two touchdowns at Washington State. The Wildcats have shown they can spread the ball around, but health at the position will be crucial down the stretch, especially with a bye week providing time to heal.
Kicker Michael Salgado-Medina has had an up-and-down season, missing a 42-yard field goal and having a 43-yard attempt blocked at Washington State, though he drilled a 51-yarder later in that game. The punt team has been solid, but the coverage units have had lapses. Situationally, Arizona has struggled to cover spreads (2-4 ATS) and has been outscored in the second half multiple times. The Wildcats have yet to play a complete game, and against tougher opponents, those margins matter. Cleaning up special teams and finishing drives will be key to avoiding letdowns.
At 5-1, Arizona is off to its best six-game start since 2014 and has won four straight, including a dominant 52-31 road win at West Virginia despite missing key players. The Wildcats have shown resilience, overcoming early deficits against Northern Illinois and Washington State. With a bye week to get healthy and a favorable schedule ahead, Arizona is positioned to contend in the Big 12. However, the second-half inconsistencies and ATS struggles suggest this team still has another gear to reach. If the defense tightens up and the offense finds consistency, the Wildcats could be a dangerous matchup come November.
Arizona Wildcats is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.
Arizona Wildcats holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +12.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Arizona Wildcats's home field advantage rating is 2.4 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Arizona Wildcats's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at +100 over and -130 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Arizona Wildcats travels 9,766 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 35th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Arizona Wildcats: 6-1 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating +12.3 (2026 records).