Arizona Wildcats

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Arizona Wildcats is 6-1 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +12.3. Arizona Wildcats holds a power rating of +12.3, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Arizona Wildcats head to Texas Tech next in Week 9.

Conference: Big 12 Conference
Stadium: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
Power Rating (most current): +12.3
HFA Rating:2.4 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 6-1
2026 ATS: 3-4
2026 O/U: 3-4

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Arizona Wildcats Power Rating of +12.3 is 12.3 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Arizona Wildcats have logged 6,819 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 9,766 miles, ranking 35th heaviest in the FBS.

Arizona Wildcats Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachBrent Brennan
Tenure2 seasons
Record at school13-12
Career record47-60 (9 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorSeth Doege
Defensive coordinatorDanny Gonzales

Offense

Noah Fifita QB, Tre Spivey WR, Chris Hunter WR, Giovanni Richardson WR

Special teams

Michael Salgado-Medina K, Chase Ridley P

2025 Season in Review

Record9-4 ATS8-5 O/U4-9
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 22-02-00-2
Week 33-03-00-3
Week 53-13-11-3
Week 64-14-11-4
Week 74-24-22-4
Week 84-34-33-4
Week 105-35-34-4
Week 116-35-44-5
Week 127-36-44-6
Week 138-37-44-7
Week 149-38-44-8
Postseason9-48-54-9

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +8.9 in the preseason and finished +12.3 after week 8, a move of +3.4 points. High +12.6 (week 7), low +7.3 (week 3).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +8.9 to +12.3.

PreW8

Arizona Wildcats SP+ Profile

Offence+31.528 of 138higher is better
Defence+20.833 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.5113 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.4 pts
HFA measured+2.1 pts
HFA applied+2.4 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.3 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Northern Arizona54-12-3
BYU50-51-4
Washington State62-42-4
Cincinnati11-01-0
West Virginia10-10-1
Iowa State10-10-1
Texas Tech21-11-1
TCU10-10-1
Utah82-63-5
Kansas State21-11-1
Arizona State104-64-5-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Northern Illinois.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home32-3029-31-2 ATS · 62 games
On the road15-3419-29-1 ATS · 49 games
Neutral site1-42-3 ATS · 5 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

9,766 miles - ranked 35th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 9,766 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 09,766 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Northern ArizonaHome0 mi
Week 2BYU555 mi1,110 mi
Week 3Northern IllinoisHome1,110 mi
Week 4Washington State1,053 mi3,217 mi
Week 5CincinnatiHome3,217 mi
Week 6West Virginia1,801 mi6,819 mi
Week 7-Bye
Week 8Iowa StateHome6,819 mi
Week 9Texas Tech536 mi7,891 mi
Week 10TCUHome7,891 mi
Week 11UtahHome7,891 mi
Week 12Kansas State938 mi9,766 mi
Week 13Arizona StateHome9,766 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Arizona Wildcats Season Outlook

Fifita's Record-Setting Arm Drives the Offense

Noah Fifita has been the engine of Arizona's attack, becoming the program's all-time passing leader in Week 3 and already owning the career touchdown record. He has thrown for over 300 yards in three games, including a season-high 341 at West Virginia, and his connection with Seth Doege (his first back-to-back coordinator) has unlocked explosive plays. The Wildcats have scored 34 or more in four of six games, but the offense has been streaky, getting shut out in the second half at BYU and starting slowly against Northern Illinois and Washington State. If Fifita and company can string together four complete quarters, this unit can carry the team.

Defense Creates Havoc but Secondary Remains a Work in Progress

Danny Gonzales's unit has flashed the takeaway magic that defined 2025, forcing key turnovers like Lee Molette III's fumble return for a touchdown at West Virginia and generating pressure (five sacks in the opener). However, the rebuilt secondary, which lost three veterans who combined for 6,700 snaps, has been tested by competent passing attacks: BYU threw for 217 yards and three scores, and Washington State moved the ball effectively. The Wildcats have allowed 24 or more points in three of six games, and the back end remains vulnerable to communication busts in man coverage. The front seven's disruption has masked some of those issues, but against stronger passing teams, the secondary must hold up.

Receiver Depth Shines Despite Injuries

Arizona's touted receiver corps has been tested by injuries, with top targets Tre Spivey, Giovanni Richardson, and Chris Hunter all sidelined for the West Virginia game. Yet the next men up delivered: Isaiah Mizell exploded for 183 yards and two scores, and Brandon Phelps added a 42-yard touchdown on a trick play. Spivey has been the most consistent threat when healthy, posting 129 yards and two touchdowns at Washington State. The Wildcats have shown they can spread the ball around, but health at the position will be crucial down the stretch, especially with a bye week providing time to heal.

Special Teams and Situational Football Remain Concerns

Kicker Michael Salgado-Medina has had an up-and-down season, missing a 42-yard field goal and having a 43-yard attempt blocked at Washington State, though he drilled a 51-yarder later in that game. The punt team has been solid, but the coverage units have had lapses. Situationally, Arizona has struggled to cover spreads (2-4 ATS) and has been outscored in the second half multiple times. The Wildcats have yet to play a complete game, and against tougher opponents, those margins matter. Cleaning up special teams and finishing drives will be key to avoiding letdowns.

Momentum Building with Best Start in a Decade

At 5-1, Arizona is off to its best six-game start since 2014 and has won four straight, including a dominant 52-31 road win at West Virginia despite missing key players. The Wildcats have shown resilience, overcoming early deficits against Northern Illinois and Washington State. With a bye week to get healthy and a favorable schedule ahead, Arizona is positioned to contend in the Big 12. However, the second-half inconsistencies and ATS struggles suggest this team still has another gear to reach. If the defense tightens up and the offense finds consistency, the Wildcats could be a dangerous matchup come November.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Arizona Wildcats's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Arizona Wildcats is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.

What is Arizona Wildcats's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Arizona Wildcats holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +12.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Arizona Wildcats's home field advantage rating?

Arizona Wildcats's home field advantage rating is 2.4 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Arizona Wildcats's 2026 win total?

Arizona Wildcats's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at +100 over and -130 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Arizona Wildcats travel in 2026?

Arizona Wildcats travels 9,766 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 35th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Arizona Wildcats: 6-1 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating +12.3 (2026 records).