26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
3
Final
39
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
27
Final
34
17
Final
34
31
Final
30
42
Final
19
16
Final
21
13
Final
21
Oklahoma State Cowboys is 5-2 on the season, 6-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +7.7. Oklahoma State Cowboys is covering the spread at 61% since the start of last season (11-7), well above the FBS average. The Oklahoma State Cowboys head to Iowa State next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Oklahoma State Cowboys Power Rating of +7.7 is 7.7 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Oklahoma State Cowboys have logged 2,960 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,009 miles, ranking 88th heaviest in the FBS.
Drew Mestemaker QB, Caleb Hawkins RB, Wyatt Young WR, Justin Bowick WR, Chris Barnes WR, Jacob Sexton OL, Tyler Mercer OL, Joseph Hanson OL
Jaleel Johnson EDGE, James Williams EDGE, Ethan Wesloski LB, Tate Romney LB, Isaiah Chisom LB, Mo Horn CB, Quinton Hammonds S, LaDainian Fields CB, Braeden Presley S
Sam Keltner K, Lachie Pozzobon P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 4-4 |
| Week 10 | 1-8 | 2-6 | 5-4 |
| Week 12 | 1-9 | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 1-10 | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 1-11 | 5-6 | 5-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -3.0 in the preseason and finished +7.7 after week 8, a move of +10.7 points. High +7.7 (week 8), low -5.8 (week 2).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +5.1 is regressed to +3.1 before it is applied, a difference of 2.0 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | 6 | 5-1 | 3-3 |
| Oregon | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| West Virginia | 9 | 7-2 | 6-2-1 |
| UCF | 2 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Houston | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Colorado | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Iowa State | 9 | 5-4 | 4-4-1 |
| Kansas State | 10 | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Texas Tech | 9 | 5-4 | 1-8 |
| Arizona State | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Kansas | 9 | 7-2 | 6-2-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Murray State.
Week 06,009 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Tulsa | 63 mi | 126 mi |
| Week 2 | Oregon | Home | 126 mi |
| Week 3 | Murray State | Home | 126 mi |
| Week 4 | West Virginia | 965 mi | 2,055 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | UCF | Home | 2,055 mi |
| Week 7 | Houston | 452 mi | 2,960 mi |
| Week 8 | Colorado | Home | 2,960 mi |
| Week 9 | Iowa State | 446 mi | 3,852 mi |
| Week 10 | Kansas State | 214 mi | 4,279 mi |
| Week 11 | Texas Tech | Home | 4,279 mi |
| Week 12 | Arizona State | 865 mi | 6,009 mi |
| Week 13 | Kansas | Home | 6,009 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Oklahoma State hired Eric Morris as head coach after a 1-11 season, and he brought a large contingent from North Texas, including quarterback Drew Mestemaker, running back Caleb Hawkins, and receiver Wyatt Young. Mestemaker led the nation in passing yards last year with 4,379, and Hawkins set an FBS freshman record with 29 touchdowns. The Cowboys have already surpassed their win total from last season, sitting at 4-2 and ranked No. 18, with a signature 39-31 upset of then-No. 6 Oregon. Mestemaker has thrown for over 300 yards in four of six games and is the engine of a high-powered offense.
The Cowboys have scored at least 39 points in three of their last four games and have topped 600 total yards twice. Mestemaker has spread the ball to multiple playmakers: Justin Bowick had 178 yards against Murray State, Wyatt Young exploded for 192 yards at West Virginia, and Caleb Hawkins rushed for 180 yards in that same game. Hawkins also had a 314-carry fumble-free streak before a miscue against UCF. The offense has been efficient and explosive, but slow starts have been a problem, as seen in the 14-3 halftime deficit at Houston.
Despite the offense's prowess, the defense under first-year coordinator Skyler Cassity has been leaky. Tulsa scored 24 in the opener, Oregon put up 31 despite being outgained by 273 yards, West Virginia rushed for 334 yards, and UCF scored 28 with Keyone Jenkins throwing four touchdowns. The unit has shown a pattern of allowing points without allowing yards, often due to short fields from turnovers. However, the defense has also made timely plays, like Evan Jackson's 28-yard fumble return for a touchdown against UCF, and has been solid on third down at times. Improving consistency will be key.
Mestemaker has thrown interceptions in bunches, including two tipped-ball picks against Oregon that nearly cost the Cowboys the game. One was returned 96 yards for a touchdown, and another set up a Ducks score at the 1-yard line. Against Houston, he threw another interception on the first drive of the third quarter. However, the Cowboys have also forced key turnovers, like the fumble return against UCF. Protecting the ball and capitalizing on opponents' mistakes will be crucial in close games down the stretch.
Oklahoma State is 2-1 in Big 12 play and still very much in the conference race, though the loss to Houston was a setback. The Cowboys have a favorable schedule ahead, with a home game against Colorado (2-4) next. They have already proven they can win on the road, beating West Virginia in Morgantown for the sixth straight time. With Mestemaker leading the offense, they have a chance to compete in every game. However, the defense must improve and the slow starts must be addressed if they are to challenge for a Big 12 title. The bar for improvement was low after two winless conference seasons, but this team has already exceeded expectations and has its sights set higher.
Oklahoma State Cowboys is 6-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 86% of games.
Oklahoma State Cowboys holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +7.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Oklahoma State Cowboys's home field advantage rating is 3.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Oklahoma State Cowboys's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -200 over and +150 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Oklahoma State Cowboys travels 6,009 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 88th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 5-2 overall, 6-1 ATS, power rating +7.7 (2026 records).