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Houston Cougars is 6-1 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +14.3. Houston Cougars is covering the spread at 60% since the start of last season (12-8), well above the FBS average. The Houston Cougars head to Utah next in Week 8.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Houston Cougars Power Rating of +14.3 is 14.3 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Houston Cougars have logged 3,900 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 10,328 miles, ranking 26th heaviest in the FBS.
Conner Weigman QB, Keisean Henderson QB, Amare Thomas WR, Makhi Hughes RB, Patrick Overmyer TE, Shadre Hurst OL, Anthony Boswell OL, Drew Terrill OL
Will James CB, Kentrell Webb S, Jordan Allen S, Jalen Mayo CB, Javion White CB, Paris Melvin Jr. CB, Brandon Mack II EDGE, Latreveon McCutchin EDGE, Ashton Porter EDGE, Khalil Laufau DL, De'Marion Thomas DL, Myles Parker DL, Travis Buhake DL, Sione Fotu LB, Carmycah Glass LB, Jaden Yates LB
Zac Yoakam K, Evan Noel K, Jonathan Dimas K, Liam Dougherty P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Week 5 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Week 9 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Week 10 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 6-3 |
| Week 11 | 8-2 | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 7-4 | 7-4 |
| Week 14 | 9-3 | 8-4 | 7-5 |
| Postseason | 10-3 | 9-4 | 8-5 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +6.7 in the preseason and finished +14.3 after week 8, a move of +7.5 points. High +14.6 (week 7), low +6.2 (week 2).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of -0.9 is regressed to +1.5 before it is applied, a difference of 2.4 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Texas Tech | 6 | 0-6 | 1-5 |
| UCF | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Kansas State | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Oklahoma State | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Utah | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Cincinnati | 6 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Colorado | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| West Virginia | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Baylor | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Southern, Georgia Southern.
Week 010,328 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Oregon State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Southern | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | Texas Tech | 468 mi | 935 mi |
| Week 4 | Georgia Southern | 825 mi | 2,585 mi |
| Week 5 | UCF | Home | 2,585 mi |
| Week 6 | Kansas State | 657 mi | 3,900 mi |
| Week 7 | Oklahoma State | Home | 3,900 mi |
| Week 8 | Utah | 1,200 mi | 6,301 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | Cincinnati | Home | 6,301 mi |
| Week 11 | Colorado | 904 mi | 8,110 mi |
| Week 12 | West Virginia | 1,109 mi | 10,328 mi |
| Week 13 | Baylor | Home | 10,328 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Conner Weigman has been the engine of Houston's attack, throwing for 305 yards in the opener and later tying a career high with five touchdown passes against Oklahoma State. He has also been effective on the ground, scoring three rushing touchdowns in a comeback win over UCF and adding key runs to seal games. The offense has topped 400 yards in every game and ranks among the national leaders in third-down conversions (32 of 45, 71.1%). With weapons like Amare Thomas (133 yards in Week 1, 126 yards and two scores vs. Oklahoma State) and tight end Patrick Overmyer (four touchdown catches vs. Kansas State, tying an FBS record), the Cougars have shown they can score in a variety of ways.
The rebuilt defense, led by coordinator Austin Armstrong, has had its ups and downs. The secondary, anchored by All-Big 12 cornerback Will James and safeties Kentrell Webb and Jordan Allen, was expected to be a strength, but the unit allowed 376 passing yards to Oregon State in Week 1 and later gave up 499 total yards to Oklahoma State. However, the defense has also flashed big-play ability, forcing three turnovers against Southern and getting a key interception from Latreveon McCutchin that sparked the comeback against UCF. The front seven, which lost leading tackler Carlos Allen and sacks leader Eddie Walls III, is still gelling, but the pass rush has shown promise with four sacks in the opener.
Houston has faced a challenging schedule with three road games in the first seven weeks, including trips to Texas Tech, Georgia Southern, and Kansas State. The Cougars dropped a heartbreaker at Texas Tech, falling 28-26 when a late two-point conversion came up short, but responded with a gritty 42-28 win at Georgia Southern and a dominant 35-16 victory at Kansas State. The road experience has tested the team's mettle, and with a trip to Utah looming, the Cougars will need to continue to prove they can win away from home.
Houston entered the season with a new placekicker, and the competition between Zac Yoakam, Evan Noel, and Jonathan Dimas has been ongoing. Dimas made two field goals in the win over UCF, including a key kick to extend the lead. Punter Liam Dougherty has been solid, averaging 44.1 yards per punt. The return game has yet to break out, but the coverage units have been generally reliable. Special teams could be a deciding factor in close games down the stretch.
At 6-1 overall and 3-1 in Big 12 play, Houston is squarely in the conference title hunt. The Cougars have already beaten a ranked opponent in Oklahoma State and have shown they can compete with the league's best. However, the schedule remains tough, with a road trip to undefeated Utah next. The Utes are 6-0 and boast a high-powered offense, presenting perhaps the stiffest test yet for Houston's defense. If the Cougars can continue to get elite play from Weigman and tighten up defensively, they have a real shot at reaching the Big 12 Championship Game. But they'll need to avoid the slow starts that have plagued them at times and find consistency on both sides of the ball.
Houston Cougars is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.
Houston Cougars holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +14.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Houston Cougars's home field advantage rating is 1.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Houston Cougars's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -180 over and +145 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Houston Cougars travels 10,328 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 26th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Houston Cougars: 6-1 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating +14.3 (2026 records).