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Arizona State Sun Devils is 3-3 on the season, 2-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -0.3. Arizona State Sun Devils carries one of the heaviest travel loads in the FBS, ranked 5th with 18,411 miles travelled this season, a meaningful fatigue factor for away games. The Arizona State Sun Devils host Kansas State next in Week 8.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Arizona State Sun Devils Power Rating of -0.3 is 0.3 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Arizona State Sun Devils have logged 13,574 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 18,411 miles, ranking 5th heaviest in the FBS.
Cutter Boley QB, Omarion Miller WR, Reed Harris WR, Raiden VinesBright WR, Tana Alo-Tupuola OL, Luke Baklenko OL, Kyson Brown RB, Marquis Gillis RB
C.J. Fite DL, Jalen Thompson EDGE, Emar'rion Winston EDGE, Owen Long LB, Zyrus Fiaseu LB, Martell Hughes LB, Adrian Wilson CB, Ashton Stamps CB, Rodney Bimage Jr. CB, Lyrik Rawls S
Nick McLarty P, Carson Smith K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Week 5 | 4-1 | 2-2-1 | 1-4 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 2-3-1 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 5-2 | 3-3-1 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 5-3 | 3-4-1 | 2-6 |
| Week 10 | 6-3 | 4-4-1 | 2-7 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 4-5-1 | 3-7 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 5-5-1 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 5-6-1 | 4-8 |
| Postseason | 8-5 | 6-6-1 | 5-8 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +6.4 in the preseason and finished -0.3 after week 8, a move of -6.8 points. High +7.5 (week 2), low -0.3 (week 8).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +0.5 is regressed to +2.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.5 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Baylor | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Texas Tech | 4 | 2-2 | 2-1-1 |
| Kansas State | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| BYU | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Colorado | 8 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| UCF | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Oklahoma State | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Arizona | 10 | 6-4 | 5-4-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Morgan State, Texas A&M, Hawai'i.
Week 018,411 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Morgan State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Texas A&M | 935 mi | 1,869 mi |
| Week 3 | Kansas | 5,271 mi | 12,412 mi |
| Week 4 | - | Bye | |
| Week 5 | Baylor | Home | 12,412 mi |
| Week 6 | Hawai'i | Home | 12,412 mi |
| Week 7 | Texas Tech | 581 mi | 13,574 mi |
| Week 8 | Kansas State | Home | 13,574 mi |
| Week 9 | BYU | 471 mi | 14,516 mi |
| Week 10 | Colorado | Home | 14,516 mi |
| Week 11 | UCF | 1,847 mi | 18,210 mi |
| Week 12 | Oklahoma State | Home | 18,210 mi |
| Week 13 | Arizona | 100 mi | 18,411 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Arizona State sits at 3-3 with a 2-4 mark against the spread, and the season has been defined by extremes. The Sun Devils opened with a 70-7 demolition of Morgan State in which Cutter Boley threw six touchdown passes and the offense piled up 688 yards. But against the first real test at Texas A&M, ASU outgained the Aggies 369-255 yet lost 48-20 after two fourth-quarter interceptions were returned for touchdowns. A neutral-site win over Kansas in London followed, but it was a 24-17 grind in which Boley threw for only 95 yards. Then came a 55-19 home loss to Baylor in which the defense allowed 564 yards, and a 30-12 win over Hawai'i that was more workmanlike than dominant. The only consistent thread is inconsistency.
The Sun Devils have turned the ball over in catastrophic spots in every game against quality competition. At Texas A&M, Boley threw two interceptions that were returned for scores, and a muffed punt set up an Aggies touchdown on the 8-yard line. Against Baylor, Boley threw another pick and the defense could not get off the field, allowing DJ Lagway to throw for 306 yards and four touchdowns. The secondary, flagged in the preseason as the biggest question, has been picked apart by Reed and Lagway. The front seven, led by C.J. Fite and Owen Long, has been stout at times (holding Morgan State to 188 yards and Kansas to 17 points), but when the pass rush does not get home, the back end is vulnerable. Until the turnovers and coverage tighten, ASU will struggle to beat good teams.
Boston College transfer Reed Harris has been uncoverable, with 137 yards and two scores in the opener, a career-high 189 yards and two touchdowns at Texas A&M, and seven catches for 125 yards against Baylor. He had his Big 12-leading eighth touchdown catch against Texas Tech. Omarion Miller added 102 yards in the opener, but has been quieter since. The run game found a new weapon in freshman Cardae Mack, who ran for 154 yards and two scores against Hawai'i, including a 67-yard burst. Kyson Brown and Marquis Gillis remain in the mix, but Mack's emergence gives the offense a physical dimension it lacked. The concern is that Boley's decision-making against bracket coverage has led to interceptions, and the staff may be considering a quarterback change after Mikey Keene relieved Boley at Texas Tech and threw for 256 yards and two scores.
The return game has provided a spark, with Jaren Hamilton taking a kickoff 100 yards for a touchdown against Kansas and averaging over 22 yards per return against Hawai'i. Punter Nick McLarty was brought in to fix a net punting unit that was among the worst in the FBS last season, and he has been serviceable, but the coverage units have had breakdowns, including a blocked punt against Hawai'i that the defense bailed out. Kicker Carson Smith has been reliable, hitting four field goals against Baylor. The onside kick in the opener showed the staff's aggressiveness, but the muffed punt at Texas A&M was a costly mistake. In close games, these hidden yards will matter.
Arizona State has already logged over 6,700 travel miles, including a 5,271-mile trip to London and a 935-mile trek to College Station. The remaining schedule is more forgiving, with home games against Kansas State and others, but the Sun Devils must clean up the turnovers and secondary lapses to take advantage. The Big 12 is wide open, and ASU's talent, particularly at receiver and along the defensive front, is enough to compete. But the quarterback situation is unsettled, and the defense has yet to prove it can stop a competent passing attack. The rest of the season is about finding consistency and deciding whether Boley or Keene gives the team the best chance to win. A bowl game is still very much in reach, but the margin for error is slim.
Arizona State Sun Devils is 2-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 33% of games.
Arizona State Sun Devils holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -0.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Arizona State Sun Devils's home field advantage rating is 2.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Arizona State Sun Devils's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Arizona State Sun Devils travels 18,411 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 5th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Arizona State Sun Devils: 3-3 overall, 2-4 ATS, power rating -0.3 (2026 records).