Arizona State Sun Devils is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +7.5. Arizona State Sun Devils enters the season with a power rating of +7.5, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Arizona State Sun Devils head to Texas A&M next in Week 2. In 2025, Arizona State Sun Devils went 8-5 overall, 6-6-1 against the spread, and 5-8 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Arizona State Sun Devils Power Rating of +7.5 is 7.5 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Arizona State Sun Devils have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 18,411 miles, ranking 5th heaviest in the FBS.
Cutter Boley QB, Omarion Miller WR, Reed Harris WR, Raiden VinesBright WR, Tana Alo-Tupuola OL, Luke Baklenko OL, Kyson Brown RB, Marquis Gillis RB
C.J. Fite DL, Jalen Thompson EDGE, Emar'rion Winston EDGE, Owen Long LB, Zyrus Fiaseu LB, Martell Hughes LB, Adrian Wilson CB, Ashton Stamps CB, Rodney Bimage Jr. CB, Lyrik Rawls S
Nick McLarty P, Carson Smith K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Week 5 | 4-1 | 2-2-1 | 1-4 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 2-3-1 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 5-2 | 3-3-1 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 5-3 | 3-4-1 | 2-6 |
| Week 10 | 6-3 | 4-4-1 | 2-7 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 4-5-1 | 3-7 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 5-5-1 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 5-6-1 | 4-8 |
| Postseason | 8-5 | 6-6-1 | 5-8 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +6.4 in the preseason and finished +7.5 after week 2, a move of +1.0 points. High +7.5 (week 2), low +6.4 (the preseason).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +0.5 is regressed to +2.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.5 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Baylor | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Texas Tech | 4 | 2-2 | 2-1-1 |
| Kansas State | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| BYU | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Colorado | 8 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| UCF | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Oklahoma State | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Arizona | 10 | 6-4 | 5-4-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Morgan State, Texas A&M, Hawai'i.
Week 018,411 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Morgan State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Texas A&M | 935 mi | 1,869 mi |
| Week 3 | Kansas | 5,271 mi | 12,412 mi |
| Week 4 | - | Bye | |
| Week 5 | Baylor | Home | 12,412 mi |
| Week 6 | Hawai'i | Home | 12,412 mi |
| Week 7 | Texas Tech | 581 mi | 13,574 mi |
| Week 8 | Kansas State | Home | 13,574 mi |
| Week 9 | BYU | 471 mi | 14,516 mi |
| Week 10 | Colorado | Home | 14,516 mi |
| Week 11 | UCF | 1,847 mi | 18,210 mi |
| Week 12 | Oklahoma State | Home | 18,210 mi |
| Week 13 | Arizona | 100 mi | 18,411 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Cutter Boley, the Kentucky transfer, made a spectacular debut by throwing six touchdown passes in a 70-7 rout of Morgan State. He completed 21 of 27 passes for 387 yards, with two scores each to Reed Harris and Grayson Rigdon, and one each to Omarion Miller and AJ Ia. The offense piled up 688 yards, showing that the concern about replacing Sam Leavitt may be overblown. Boley's efficiency and the deep receiving corps, which includes the nation's top-ranked transfer class, give the Sun Devils a passing attack that can stretch the field and score in bunches.
Kyson Brown, back from a season-ending injury, ran for 80 yards on just six carries, including a 46-yard touchdown on the second play of the game. The offensive line, anchored by Georgia Tech transfer Tana Alo-Tupuola and Stanford/Oklahoma transfer Luke Baklenko, opened huge holes all night. Marquis Gillis, who rushed for over 1,100 yards at Delaware State, adds depth to a backfield that should keep defenses honest and allow Boley to work off play-action. The line's ability to dominate the line of scrimmage will be tested much more severely in conference play, but the early signs are positive.
The Sun Devils held Morgan State to 188 total yards and forced a quick game, with the front seven, led by nose tackle C.J. Fite and transfer ends Jalen Thompson and Emar'rion Winston, controlling the line of scrimmage. Owen Long, the FBS leading tackler last season, and Zyrus Fiaseu anchor a linebacker corps that should be stout. The secondary, which was the biggest question entering the season, was not seriously tested. LSU transfer Ashton Stamps and senior safety Lyrik Rawls will face far stiffer competition starting with Texas A&M, and the nickel spot, where Adrian Wilson moved from free safety, remains an area to watch.
The 70-7 win was a tune-up, but the Sun Devils now face a gauntlet. They travel to No. 8 Texas A&M in Week 2, then head to London to play Kansas, a team that beat them in a thriller last year. With a power rating of 7.49 and a season that includes 14,815 miles of travel, ASU will need to prove they can win away from Tempe. The Big 12 is deep, and while the Sun Devils look better than the middle-of-the-pack preseason projection, the schedule will test their depth and resilience. The next two games will reveal whether this team is a contender or just a good-looking roster on paper.
The Sun Devils executed an onside kick to start the game, which Cory Butler Jr. recovered, leading to a quick second touchdown. That aggressive, well-prepared approach is a hallmark of Kenny Dillingham's coaching. Nick McLarty, the Ohio State transfer punter, should improve a net punting unit that was second-worst in the FBS last year, and Carson Smith, an FCS All-American kicker, adds reliability. In a season with several tough road games, field position and special teams plays could be the difference in tight contests. The team's ability to start fast, as they did with a score on their first drive for the 11th straight year, will also be crucial.
Arizona State Sun Devils is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Arizona State Sun Devils holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +7.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Arizona State Sun Devils's home field advantage rating is 2.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Arizona State Sun Devils's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Arizona State Sun Devils travels 18,411 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 5th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Arizona State Sun Devils: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +7.5 (2026 records).