Arizona State Sun Devils

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Arizona State Sun Devils is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +7.5. Arizona State Sun Devils enters the season with a power rating of +7.5, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Arizona State Sun Devils head to Texas A&M next in Week 2. In 2025, Arizona State Sun Devils went 8-5 overall, 6-6-1 against the spread, and 5-8 on totals.

Conference: Big 12 Conference
Stadium: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Power Rating (most current): +7.5
HFA Rating:2.0 pts
2026 Win Total:6.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 1-0
2026 O/U: 1-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Arizona State Sun Devils Power Rating of +7.5 is 7.5 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Arizona State Sun Devils have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 18,411 miles, ranking 5th heaviest in the FBS.

Arizona State Sun Devils Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachKenny Dillingham
Tenure3 seasons
Record22-17
Offensive coordinatorMarcus Arroyo
Defensive coordinatorBrian Ward

Offense

Cutter Boley QB, Omarion Miller WR, Reed Harris WR, Raiden VinesBright WR, Tana Alo-Tupuola OL, Luke Baklenko OL, Kyson Brown RB, Marquis Gillis RB

Defense

C.J. Fite DL, Jalen Thompson EDGE, Emar'rion Winston EDGE, Owen Long LB, Zyrus Fiaseu LB, Martell Hughes LB, Adrian Wilson CB, Ashton Stamps CB, Rodney Bimage Jr. CB, Lyrik Rawls S

Special teams

Nick McLarty P, Carson Smith K

2025 Season in Review

Record8-5 ATS6-6-1 O/U5-8
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-11-0
Week 21-10-21-1
Week 32-11-21-2
Week 43-12-21-3
Week 54-12-2-11-4
Week 74-22-3-12-4
Week 85-23-3-12-5
Week 95-33-4-12-6
Week 106-34-4-12-7
Week 127-34-5-13-7
Week 138-35-5-14-7
Week 148-45-6-14-8
Postseason8-56-6-15-8

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +6.4 in the preseason and finished +7.5 after week 2, a move of +1.0 points. High +7.5 (week 2), low +6.4 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from +6.4 to +7.5.

PreW2

Arizona State Sun Devils SP+ Profile

Offence+28.257 of 138higher is better
Defence+21.236 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.6128 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±0.7 pts
HFA measured+0.5 pts
HFA applied+2.0 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +0.5 is regressed to +2.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.5 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Kansas11-01-0
Baylor11-01-0
Texas Tech42-22-1-1
Kansas State11-01-0
BYU21-11-1
Colorado84-44-4
UCF11-01-0
Oklahoma State31-21-2
Arizona106-45-4-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Morgan State, Texas A&M, Hawai'i.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home40-2132-28-1 ATS · 61 games
On the road20-3125-23-3 ATS · 51 games
Neutral site2-55-2 ATS · 7 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

18,411 miles - ranked 5th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 18,411 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 018,411 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Morgan StateHome0 mi
Week 2Texas A&M935 mi1,869 mi
Week 3Kansas5,271 mi12,412 mi
Week 4-Bye
Week 5BaylorHome12,412 mi
Week 6Hawai'iHome12,412 mi
Week 7Texas Tech581 mi13,574 mi
Week 8Kansas StateHome13,574 mi
Week 9BYU471 mi14,516 mi
Week 10ColoradoHome14,516 mi
Week 11UCF1,847 mi18,210 mi
Week 12Oklahoma StateHome18,210 mi
Week 13Arizona100 mi18,411 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Arizona State Sun Devils Season Outlook

New quarterback, same explosive ceiling

Cutter Boley, the Kentucky transfer, made a spectacular debut by throwing six touchdown passes in a 70-7 rout of Morgan State. He completed 21 of 27 passes for 387 yards, with two scores each to Reed Harris and Grayson Rigdon, and one each to Omarion Miller and AJ Ia. The offense piled up 688 yards, showing that the concern about replacing Sam Leavitt may be overblown. Boley's efficiency and the deep receiving corps, which includes the nation's top-ranked transfer class, give the Sun Devils a passing attack that can stretch the field and score in bunches.

Ground game and line look ready to carry the load

Kyson Brown, back from a season-ending injury, ran for 80 yards on just six carries, including a 46-yard touchdown on the second play of the game. The offensive line, anchored by Georgia Tech transfer Tana Alo-Tupuola and Stanford/Oklahoma transfer Luke Baklenko, opened huge holes all night. Marquis Gillis, who rushed for over 1,100 yards at Delaware State, adds depth to a backfield that should keep defenses honest and allow Boley to work off play-action. The line's ability to dominate the line of scrimmage will be tested much more severely in conference play, but the early signs are positive.

Defense dominant against overmatched foe, but questions remain

The Sun Devils held Morgan State to 188 total yards and forced a quick game, with the front seven, led by nose tackle C.J. Fite and transfer ends Jalen Thompson and Emar'rion Winston, controlling the line of scrimmage. Owen Long, the FBS leading tackler last season, and Zyrus Fiaseu anchor a linebacker corps that should be stout. The secondary, which was the biggest question entering the season, was not seriously tested. LSU transfer Ashton Stamps and senior safety Lyrik Rawls will face far stiffer competition starting with Texas A&M, and the nickel spot, where Adrian Wilson moved from free safety, remains an area to watch.

Schedule ramps up fast, and the road gets brutal

The 70-7 win was a tune-up, but the Sun Devils now face a gauntlet. They travel to No. 8 Texas A&M in Week 2, then head to London to play Kansas, a team that beat them in a thriller last year. With a power rating of 7.49 and a season that includes 14,815 miles of travel, ASU will need to prove they can win away from Tempe. The Big 12 is deep, and while the Sun Devils look better than the middle-of-the-pack preseason projection, the schedule will test their depth and resilience. The next two games will reveal whether this team is a contender or just a good-looking roster on paper.

Special teams and situational edges could swing close games

The Sun Devils executed an onside kick to start the game, which Cory Butler Jr. recovered, leading to a quick second touchdown. That aggressive, well-prepared approach is a hallmark of Kenny Dillingham's coaching. Nick McLarty, the Ohio State transfer punter, should improve a net punting unit that was second-worst in the FBS last year, and Carson Smith, an FCS All-American kicker, adds reliability. In a season with several tough road games, field position and special teams plays could be the difference in tight contests. The team's ability to start fast, as they did with a score on their first drive for the 11th straight year, will also be crucial.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Arizona State Sun Devils's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Arizona State Sun Devils is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.

What is Arizona State Sun Devils's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Arizona State Sun Devils holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +7.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Arizona State Sun Devils's home field advantage rating?

Arizona State Sun Devils's home field advantage rating is 2.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Arizona State Sun Devils's 2026 win total?

Arizona State Sun Devils's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Arizona State Sun Devils travel in 2026?

Arizona State Sun Devils travels 18,411 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 5th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Arizona State Sun Devils: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +7.5 (2026 records).