Colorado Buffaloes is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +1.8. Colorado Buffaloes enters the season with a power rating of +1.8, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Colorado Buffaloes host Weber State next in Week 2. In 2025, Colorado Buffaloes went 3-9 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 5-7 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Colorado Buffaloes Power Rating of +1.8 is 1.8 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Colorado Buffaloes have logged 2,460 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 10,224 miles, ranking 29th heaviest in the FBS.
Julian Lewis QB, Isaac Wilson QB, Danny Scudero WR, DeKalon Taylor RB, Damian Henderson II RB, Richard Young RB, Micah Welch RB, DeAndre Moore Jr. WR, Kam Perry WR, Ernest Campbell WR, Joseph Williams WR, Zach Atkins TE, Demetrius Hunter OL
Santana Hopper DL, Toby Anene EDGE, Balansama Kamara EDGE, Lamont Lester Jr. EDGE, Liona Lefau LB, Boo Carter CB, Cree Thomas CB, Randon Fontenette S, Naeten Mitchell S
Damon Greaves P, Elliot Arnold K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Week 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Week 6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Week 7 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3-5 |
| Week 10 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Week 11 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 3-8 | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 3-9 | 5-7 | 5-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -0.5 in the preseason and finished +1.8 after week 2, a move of +2.2 points. High +1.8 (week 2), low -0.5 (the preseason).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +4.1 is regressed to +2.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.2 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Baylor | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Texas Tech | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Utah | 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| Oklahoma State | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kansas State | 2 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Arizona State | 8 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Houston | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cincinnati | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| UCF | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Weber State, Northwestern.
Week 010,224 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Georgia Tech | 1,230 mi | 2,460 mi |
| Week 2 | Weber State | Home | 2,460 mi |
| Week 3 | Northwestern | 929 mi | 4,317 mi |
| Week 4 | Baylor | 740 mi | 5,798 mi |
| Week 5 | Texas Tech | Home | 5,798 mi |
| Week 6 | - | Bye | |
| Week 7 | Utah | Home | 5,798 mi |
| Week 8 | Oklahoma State | 521 mi | 6,839 mi |
| Week 9 | Kansas State | Home | 6,839 mi |
| Week 10 | Arizona State | 585 mi | 8,010 mi |
| Week 11 | Houston | Home | 8,010 mi |
| Week 12 | Cincinnati | 1,107 mi | 10,224 mi |
| Week 13 | UCF | Home | 10,224 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Colorado opened 2026 with a 14-13 comeback win at Georgia Tech, but the offense struggled for most of the night. Quarterback Julian Lewis completed just 6 of his first-half passes for 41 yards before finishing 14-of-27 for 124 yards and the game-winning 20-yard touchdown to tight end Charlie Williams with 42 seconds left. The running game was the bright spot: Micah Welch and Damian Henderson II combined for 123 yards on 25 carries, with Welch scoring from 5 yards out. The offensive line, rebuilt with four new starters and eight transfer additions, held up well enough against a solid Georgia Tech front, but the passing game lacked explosiveness. Brennan Marion's Go-Go offense has yet to show its vertical threat, and Lewis will need more consistent protection and timing as the season progresses.
Chris Marve's overhauled defense, which returned only five scholarship players from last year and no full-time starters, showed resilience in the opener. The unit allowed 237 passing yards and a field goal drive late, but it made the decisive play when Boo Carter blocked Aidan Birr's 45-yard field goal attempt with the game on the line. The front seven, featuring FCS transfers like Toby Anene and Balansama Kamara, sacked Georgia Tech's quarterback three times for 22 yards in losses. The defense bent at times, especially against the run, but it kept the game within reach and gave the offense a chance to win. This group will face tougher tests, but the early returns are encouraging for a unit that was expected to be a liability.
Colorado's special teams were a deciding factor in the season opener. Beyond Carter's game-saving block, the unit avoided the mistakes that plagued Georgia Tech, which lost a fumble and had a kickoff returned 100 yards for a touchdown by Rahkeem Smith. The Buffs' own kickoff coverage will need improvement after that return, but the overall special teams performance was a net positive. The team also showed composure in a hostile road environment, overcoming 91-degree heat and a 1,200-mile trip to Atlanta. Deion Sanders praised his offensive linemen for maintaining belief during the comeback, a sign that this team's mental toughness could be an asset in close games down the road.
Julian Lewis, a former 5-star recruit, showed both his inexperience and his potential in the opener. He struggled early, but he led a 17-play, 61-yard drive that ate 9:07 off the clock in the fourth quarter, and then he engineered the game-winning two-minute drill. Sanders challenged him at halftime in front of the team, and Lewis responded with a clutch performance. Utah transfer Isaac Wilson remains a backup option, but Lewis appears to have the job for now. His growth in Year 2 under Marion will determine whether Colorado can exceed expectations. The offensive line's ability to protect him, especially against stronger Big 12 fronts, will be critical. If Lewis can build on this late-game confidence, the Buffs could surprise teams that overlook them.
Colorado's 1-0 start is its first since 2023, and the win over Georgia Tech, a team with a higher power rating, provides a boost of confidence. The Buffs now host Weber State, a team with a power rating of -20.8, and are heavy favorites. This home game offers a chance to refine the offense and build rhythm before the difficult early-season stretch that follows. The roster is deep at running back and receiver, with Danny Scudero, who led the country in receiving yards last year, yet to make a major impact. If the offensive line continues to gel and the defense maintains its clutch play, Colorado has the pieces to push for a bowl game, which would be a significant step forward for Sanders' program after a 16-21 start in Boulder.
Colorado Buffaloes is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Colorado Buffaloes holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +1.8, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Colorado Buffaloes's home field advantage rating is 2.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Colorado Buffaloes's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at +110 over and -140 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Colorado Buffaloes travels 10,224 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 29th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Colorado Buffaloes: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +1.8 (2026 records).