Colorado Buffaloes

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Colorado Buffaloes is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +1.8. Colorado Buffaloes enters the season with a power rating of +1.8, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Colorado Buffaloes host Weber State next in Week 2. In 2025, Colorado Buffaloes went 3-9 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 5-7 on totals.

Conference: Big 12 Conference
Stadium: Folsom Field, Boulder, CO
Power Rating (most current): +1.8
HFA Rating:2.9 pts
2026 Win Total:4.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 1-0
2026 O/U: 0-1

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Colorado Buffaloes Power Rating of +1.8 is 1.8 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Colorado Buffaloes have logged 2,460 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 10,224 miles, ranking 29th heaviest in the FBS.

Colorado Buffaloes Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachDeion Sanders
Tenure3 seasons
Record at school16-21
Career record43-27 (6 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorBrennan Marion
Defensive coordinatorChris Marve

Offense

Julian Lewis QB, Isaac Wilson QB, Danny Scudero WR, DeKalon Taylor RB, Damian Henderson II RB, Richard Young RB, Micah Welch RB, DeAndre Moore Jr. WR, Kam Perry WR, Ernest Campbell WR, Joseph Williams WR, Zach Atkins TE, Demetrius Hunter OL

Defense

Santana Hopper DL, Toby Anene EDGE, Balansama Kamara EDGE, Lamont Lester Jr. EDGE, Liona Lefau LB, Boo Carter CB, Cree Thomas CB, Randon Fontenette S, Naeten Mitchell S

Special teams

Damon Greaves P, Elliot Arnold K

2025 Season in Review

Record3-9 ATS5-7 O/U5-7
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-10-10-1
Week 21-11-10-2
Week 31-21-21-2
Week 42-22-22-2
Week 52-33-22-3
Week 62-43-32-4
Week 73-44-32-5
Week 93-54-43-5
Week 103-64-54-5
Week 113-74-64-6
Week 133-84-75-6
Week 143-95-75-7

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -0.5 in the preseason and finished +1.8 after week 2, a move of +2.2 points. High +1.8 (week 2), low -0.5 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from -0.5 to +1.8.

PreW2

Colorado Buffaloes SP+ Profile

Offence+26.363 of 138higher is better
Defence+24.957 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.5115 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±4.5 pts
HFA measured+4.1 pts
HFA applied+2.9 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +4.1 is regressed to +2.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.2 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Georgia Tech10-10-1
Baylor11-01-0
Texas Tech11-01-0
Utah102-83-7
Oklahoma State21-11-1
Kansas State20-22-0
Arizona State84-44-4
Houston10-10-1
Cincinnati11-01-0
UCF11-01-0

No meeting on record since 2016: Weber State, Northwestern.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home32-2631-25-2 ATS · 58 games
On the road14-3520-28-1 ATS · 49 games
Neutral site4-65-5 ATS · 10 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

10,224 miles - ranked 29th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 10,224 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 010,224 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Georgia Tech1,230 mi2,460 mi
Week 2Weber StateHome2,460 mi
Week 3Northwestern929 mi4,317 mi
Week 4Baylor740 mi5,798 mi
Week 5Texas TechHome5,798 mi
Week 6-Bye
Week 7UtahHome5,798 mi
Week 8Oklahoma State521 mi6,839 mi
Week 9Kansas StateHome6,839 mi
Week 10Arizona State585 mi8,010 mi
Week 11HoustonHome8,010 mi
Week 12Cincinnati1,107 mi10,224 mi
Week 13UCFHome10,224 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Colorado Buffaloes Season Outlook

A Gritty Road Win Masks Offensive Growing Pains

Colorado opened 2026 with a 14-13 comeback win at Georgia Tech, but the offense struggled for most of the night. Quarterback Julian Lewis completed just 6 of his first-half passes for 41 yards before finishing 14-of-27 for 124 yards and the game-winning 20-yard touchdown to tight end Charlie Williams with 42 seconds left. The running game was the bright spot: Micah Welch and Damian Henderson II combined for 123 yards on 25 carries, with Welch scoring from 5 yards out. The offensive line, rebuilt with four new starters and eight transfer additions, held up well enough against a solid Georgia Tech front, but the passing game lacked explosiveness. Brennan Marion's Go-Go offense has yet to show its vertical threat, and Lewis will need more consistent protection and timing as the season progresses.

Defense Delivers in Clutch Moments Despite Inexperience

Chris Marve's overhauled defense, which returned only five scholarship players from last year and no full-time starters, showed resilience in the opener. The unit allowed 237 passing yards and a field goal drive late, but it made the decisive play when Boo Carter blocked Aidan Birr's 45-yard field goal attempt with the game on the line. The front seven, featuring FCS transfers like Toby Anene and Balansama Kamara, sacked Georgia Tech's quarterback three times for 22 yards in losses. The defense bent at times, especially against the run, but it kept the game within reach and gave the offense a chance to win. This group will face tougher tests, but the early returns are encouraging for a unit that was expected to be a liability.

Special Teams and Situational Football Prove Critical

Colorado's special teams were a deciding factor in the season opener. Beyond Carter's game-saving block, the unit avoided the mistakes that plagued Georgia Tech, which lost a fumble and had a kickoff returned 100 yards for a touchdown by Rahkeem Smith. The Buffs' own kickoff coverage will need improvement after that return, but the overall special teams performance was a net positive. The team also showed composure in a hostile road environment, overcoming 91-degree heat and a 1,200-mile trip to Atlanta. Deion Sanders praised his offensive linemen for maintaining belief during the comeback, a sign that this team's mental toughness could be an asset in close games down the road.

Quarterback Development Is the Key to the Season

Julian Lewis, a former 5-star recruit, showed both his inexperience and his potential in the opener. He struggled early, but he led a 17-play, 61-yard drive that ate 9:07 off the clock in the fourth quarter, and then he engineered the game-winning two-minute drill. Sanders challenged him at halftime in front of the team, and Lewis responded with a clutch performance. Utah transfer Isaac Wilson remains a backup option, but Lewis appears to have the job for now. His growth in Year 2 under Marion will determine whether Colorado can exceed expectations. The offensive line's ability to protect him, especially against stronger Big 12 fronts, will be critical. If Lewis can build on this late-game confidence, the Buffs could surprise teams that overlook them.

Momentum and a Favorable Schedule Ahead

Colorado's 1-0 start is its first since 2023, and the win over Georgia Tech, a team with a higher power rating, provides a boost of confidence. The Buffs now host Weber State, a team with a power rating of -20.8, and are heavy favorites. This home game offers a chance to refine the offense and build rhythm before the difficult early-season stretch that follows. The roster is deep at running back and receiver, with Danny Scudero, who led the country in receiving yards last year, yet to make a major impact. If the offensive line continues to gel and the defense maintains its clutch play, Colorado has the pieces to push for a bowl game, which would be a significant step forward for Sanders' program after a 16-21 start in Boulder.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Colorado Buffaloes's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Colorado Buffaloes is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.

What is Colorado Buffaloes's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Colorado Buffaloes holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +1.8, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Colorado Buffaloes's home field advantage rating?

Colorado Buffaloes's home field advantage rating is 2.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Colorado Buffaloes's 2026 win total?

Colorado Buffaloes's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at +110 over and -140 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Colorado Buffaloes travel in 2026?

Colorado Buffaloes travels 10,224 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 29th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Colorado Buffaloes: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +1.8 (2026 records).