Missouri Tigers

By · Last updated

Missouri Tigers is 5-2 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +14.0. Missouri Tigers holds a power rating of +14.0, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Missouri Tigers head to Arkansas next in Week 9.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
Power Rating (most current): +14.0
HFA Rating:2.4 pts
2026 Win Total:6.5
2026 Record: 5-2
2026 ATS: 3-4
2026 O/U: 3-4

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Missouri Tigers Power Rating of +14.0 is 14.0 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Missouri Tigers have logged 1,870 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,526 miles, ranking 129th heaviest in the FBS.

Missouri Tigers Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachEliah Drinkwitz
Tenure6 seasons
Record at school46-29
Career record58-30 (7 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorChip Lindsey
Defensive coordinatorsCorey Batoon, Derek Nicholson

Offense

Ahmad Hardy RB, Jamal Roberts RB, Cayden Green OL, Dominick Giudice OL, Curtis Peagler OL, Austin Simmons QB, DaMarion Fowlkes WR

Defense

Darris Smith EDGE, Marquis Gracial DL, Nicholas Rodriguez LB, Santana Banner S, Chris Graves Jr. CB, Jahlil Florence CB, Robert Woodyard Jr. LB

Special teams

Blake Craig K

2025 Season in Review

Record8-5 ATS6-6-1 O/U6-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-01-0
Week 22-02-01-0
Week 33-03-02-0
Week 44-03-13-0
Week 55-03-23-1
Week 75-13-2-14-1
Week 86-14-2-14-2
Week 96-24-3-14-3
Week 116-34-4-15-3
Week 127-35-4-16-3
Week 137-45-5-16-4
Week 148-46-5-16-5
Postseason8-56-6-16-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +12.8 in the preseason and finished +14.0 after week 8, a move of +1.2 points. High +17.1 (week 7), low +10.5 (week 5).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +12.8 to +14.0.

PreW8

Missouri Tigers SP+ Profile

Offence+32.223 of 138higher is better
Defence+16.915 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.5112 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±1.7 pts
HFA measured+2.3 pts
HFA applied+2.4 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.1 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Kansas11-01-0
Troy11-01-0
Mississippi State32-12-1
Florida84-44-4
Texas A&M30-30-3
Ole Miss11-00-1
Arkansas109-16-4
Texas10-10-1
Georgia80-86-2
Kentucky82-63-5
Oklahoma21-11-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Arkansas-Pine Bluff.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home50-1938-30-1 ATS · 69 games
On the road18-3021-27 ATS · 48 games
Neutral site3-54-4 ATS · 8 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

3,526 miles - ranked 129th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 3,526 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 03,526 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Arkansas-Pine BluffHome0 mi
Week 2Kansas157 mi314 mi
Week 3TroyHome314 mi
Week 4Mississippi State426 mi1,167 mi
Week 5FloridaHome1,167 mi
Week 6Texas A&MHome1,167 mi
Week 7Ole Miss352 mi1,870 mi
Week 8-Bye
Week 9Arkansas222 mi2,314 mi
Week 10TexasHome2,314 mi
Week 11Georgia606 mi3,526 mi
Week 12KentuckyHome3,526 mi
Week 13OklahomaHome3,526 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Missouri Tigers Season Outlook

Roberts powers the offense while Hardy remains out

Missouri's running game has been anchored by Jamal Roberts, who has stepped up in the absence of All-America running back Ahmad Hardy. Hardy has yet to play this season while recovering from a gunshot wound sustained as a bystander earlier this year. Roberts has delivered several big performances, including 125 yards and a 64-yard touchdown at Kansas, 128 yards and a score against Troy, 211 yards and three touchdowns versus Florida, and a career-best 222 yards and two scores on 34 carries against Texas A&M. Head coach Eli Drinkwitz has praised Roberts' physical running style, and the offensive line has improved its run blocking as the season has progressed. When Hardy returns, Missouri could have a formidable one-two punch in the backfield.

Simmons provides a downfield passing threat but remains turnover-prone

Quarterback Austin Simmons, a transfer from Ole Miss, has shown the ability to stretch the field vertically, a dimension Missouri lacked last season. He threw four touchdown passes in his debut against Arkansas-Pine Bluff and has had strong games against Kansas and Florida. However, Simmons has also been careless with the football at times, including a fumble in the opener and an interception against Texas A&M that ended a streak of 139 pass attempts without a pick. His decision-making under pressure will be critical as the Tigers face tougher SEC defenses. Simmons' rapport with receivers Cayden Lee and Donovan Olugbode has been a bright spot, but he needs to avoid forcing throws into coverage.

Defense shows improvement after early-season questions

Missouri's defense, which returned zero starters from last year's unit, has gradually improved after some shaky early performances. The Tigers struggled to get off the field on early downs against Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Troy, but they have since tightened up. Against Florida, Missouri held a high-powered Gators offense to just 17 points and 325 total yards, well below their season average. The following week, the defense limited Texas A&M to six points and forced two interceptions. Transfers like Robert Woodyard Jr. and Chris Graves Jr. have settled in, and the front seven has become more disruptive. However, the pass rush remains a concern, especially with edge rushers Darris Smith and Langden Kitchen dealing with injuries.

Special teams have been a mixed bag

Placekicker Blake Craig has been reliable on field goals, including two 50-plus yarders against Texas A&M, but the kicking game has had issues with blocked attempts and protection. In the Border War at Kansas, two field goals were blocked, one returned 88 yards for a touchdown. Punter Brunno Reus has been a weapon, averaging 46.8 yards per punt against Troy and pinning five inside the 20. Return man DaMarion Fowlkes took a punt back 68 yards for a touchdown against Troy, marking Missouri's first punt return score since 2022. The coverage units have been mostly solid, but the blocked kicks remain a troubling trend that could cost the Tigers in close games.

Tigers control their SEC destiny despite one conference loss

At 5-1 overall and 2-1 in SEC play, Missouri is very much in the mix for a New Year's Six bowl or better. The lone loss came at Mississippi State in a game where the Tigers led in the fourth quarter before surrendering a late touchdown. Since then, Missouri has reeled off impressive wins over Florida and Texas A&M, both of which were ranked at the time. The remaining schedule is challenging, with road trips to Ole Miss and other SEC foes, but the Tigers have shown they can compete with anyone. If Simmons cuts down on turnovers and the defense continues to improve, Missouri could be a dark horse in the SEC race.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Missouri Tigers's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Missouri Tigers is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.

What is Missouri Tigers's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Missouri Tigers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +14.0, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Missouri Tigers's home field advantage rating?

Missouri Tigers's home field advantage rating is 2.4 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Missouri Tigers's 2026 win total?

Missouri Tigers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Missouri Tigers travel in 2026?

Missouri Tigers travels 3,526 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 129th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Missouri Tigers: 5-2 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating +14.0 (2026 records).