Missouri Tigers is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +11.9. Missouri Tigers enters the season with a power rating of +11.9, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Missouri Tigers head to Kansas next in Week 2. In 2025, Missouri Tigers went 8-5 overall, 6-6-1 against the spread, and 6-6 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Missouri Tigers Power Rating of +11.9 is 11.9 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Missouri Tigers have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,526 miles, ranking 129th heaviest in the FBS.
Ahmad Hardy RB, Jamal Roberts RB, Cayden Green OL, Dominick Giudice OL, Curtis Peagler OL, Austin Simmons QB, DaMarion Fowlkes WR
Darris Smith EDGE, Marquis Gracial DL, Nicholas Rodriguez LB, Santana Banner S, Chris Graves Jr. CB, Jahlil Florence CB, Robert Woodyard Jr. LB
Blake Craig K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Week 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| Week 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 3-2-1 | 4-1 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 4-2-1 | 4-2 |
| Week 9 | 6-2 | 4-3-1 | 4-3 |
| Week 11 | 6-3 | 4-4-1 | 5-3 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 5-4-1 | 6-3 |
| Week 13 | 7-4 | 5-5-1 | 6-4 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 6-5-1 | 6-5 |
| Postseason | 8-5 | 6-6-1 | 6-6 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +12.8 in the preseason and finished +11.9 after week 2, a move of -0.9 points. High +13.6 (week 1), low +11.9 (week 2).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.1 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Troy | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Mississippi State | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Florida | 8 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Texas A&M | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Ole Miss | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Arkansas | 10 | 9-1 | 6-4 |
| Texas | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Georgia | 8 | 0-8 | 6-2 |
| Kentucky | 8 | 2-6 | 3-5 |
| Oklahoma | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
Week 03,526 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Kansas | 157 mi | 314 mi |
| Week 3 | Troy | Home | 314 mi |
| Week 4 | Mississippi State | 426 mi | 1,167 mi |
| Week 5 | Florida | Home | 1,167 mi |
| Week 6 | Texas A&M | Home | 1,167 mi |
| Week 7 | Ole Miss | 352 mi | 1,870 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | Arkansas | 222 mi | 2,314 mi |
| Week 10 | Texas | Home | 2,314 mi |
| Week 11 | Georgia | 606 mi | 3,526 mi |
| Week 12 | Kentucky | Home | 3,526 mi |
| Week 13 | Oklahoma | Home | 3,526 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
In the season opener against Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Simmons completed 17 of 19 passes for 252 yards and four touchdowns before exiting midway through the game. He connected with Donovan Olugbode for eight catches, 116 yards, and two scores, and also hit fellow Ole Miss transfer Cayden Lee for a long touchdown. The performance showcased the downfield passing ability that Missouri lacked in 2025, but it came against an FCS opponent. Simmons threw five interceptions in five games at Ole Miss last season before losing his job, so his decision-making under pressure remains an open question. The Tigers need him to protect the football once SEC defenses start testing him.
Ahmad Hardy, an All-America running back, missed the opener while recovering from a gunshot wound suffered as a bystander earlier in the year. Jamal Roberts started in his place and ran for 47 yards and a touchdown, but head coach Eliah Drinkwitz was not satisfied with the run blocking, noting that the line failed to cover second-level defenders. Hardy and Roberts combined for over 2,400 rushing yards and 22 touchdowns last season, so the talent is there. However, the offensive line is breaking in a new coordinator in Chip Lindsey, and left tackle Cayden Green was sidelined by an undisclosed injury in Week 1. Jack Lange filled in well, but the unit's cohesion will be tested against tougher fronts.
Missouri lost all 11 defenders who started at least seven games last season, so coordinator Corey Batoon is working with a largely new group. The Tigers did hold Arkansas-Pine Bluff to 14 points, but the Golden Lions are an FCS team that was never expected to challenge. The defensive line, which lost ends Zion Young and Damon Wilson II and tackle Chris McClellan, brought in seven portal additions, but none have proven themselves at this level. The secondary looks more settled with cornerback transfers Chris Graves Jr. and Jahlil Florence, and linebacker Robert Woodyard Jr. is expected to replace Josiah Trotter's production. The pass rush is the biggest concern, and the Tigers have not yet faced an offense that can expose it.
Blake Craig missed all of last season after tearing his ACL in the opener, and his backups lacked his range and reliability. He is back this year, which should help a unit that was poor in 2025. However, the season opener was not clean: Drinkwitz highlighted a first-half fumble by Donovan Olugbode that spoiled a drive, and there were other mistakes across all facets that left the coach with plenty of teaching points. The Tigers also had to deal with the absence of Hardy and Green, which disrupted their rhythm. With a rivalry game at Kansas next, Missouri needs to clean up these errors quickly.
Missouri opened with a comfortable home win, but the Tigers now travel to Kansas for the latest edition of the Border War. The Jayhawks are 1-0 and have a power rating that suggests they are a solid opponent, and the betting line is only Missouri -5.5. After that, SEC play will bring much tougher tests, and the Tigers' new-look defense and turnover-prone quarterback will be under the microscope. Missouri has won 29 games over the past three seasons, but this year's team has more uncertainty than recent editions. The next few weeks will reveal whether the Tigers can maintain their status as a top-25 program or if the losses on defense and the questions at quarterback will hold them back.
Missouri Tigers is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Missouri Tigers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +11.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Missouri Tigers's home field advantage rating is 2.4 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Missouri Tigers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Missouri Tigers travels 3,526 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 129th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Missouri Tigers: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +11.9 (2026 records).
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