Florida Gators

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Florida Gators is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +12.9. Florida Gators enters the season with a power rating of +12.9, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Florida Gators host Campbell next in Week 2. In 2025, Florida Gators went 4-8 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 5-7 on totals.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
Power Rating (most current): +12.9
HFA Rating:3.6 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 1-0
2026 O/U: 1-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Florida Gators Power Rating of +12.9 is 12.9 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Florida Gators have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,164 miles, ranking 85th heaviest in the FBS.

Florida Gators Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachJon Sumrall
TenureFirst season
Career record43-12 (4 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorBuster Faulkner
Defensive coordinatorBrad White

Offense

Jadan Baugh RB, Vernell Brown III WR, Dallas Wilson WR, Aaron Philo QB, Tramell Jones Jr. QB, Eric Singleton Jr. WR, Micah Mays Jr. WR, Evan Pryor RB, TJ Shanahan Jr. OL, Harrison Moore OL, Emeka Ugorji OL, Knijeah Harris OL

Defense

Myles Graham LB, Jaden Robinson LB, Aaron Chiles LB, Jayden Woods EDGE, Brendan Bett DL, Kamran James DL, LJ McCray DL, Joseph Mbatchou DL, Jeramiah McCloud DL, Emmanuel Oyebadejo DL, Ben Hanks III CB, Dijon Johnson CB, Cormani McClain CB, Bryce Thornton S, DJ Coleman S

Special teams

Patrick Durkin K, Alec Clark P

2025 Season in Review

Record4-8 ATS5-7 O/U5-7
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 21-11-10-2
Week 31-21-20-3
Week 41-31-30-4
Week 62-32-31-4
Week 72-42-42-4
Week 83-42-52-5
Week 103-53-52-6
Week 113-63-63-6
Week 123-74-64-6
Week 133-84-74-7
Week 144-85-75-7

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2025 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +11.7 in the preseason and finished +15.6 after the postseason, a move of +3.9 points. High +16.3 (week 14), low +10.7 (week 0).

Line chart of the 2025 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 18 points, from +11.7 to +15.6.

PrePost

Florida Gators SP+ Profile

Offence+30.239 of 138higher is better
Defence+15.912 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.517 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±5.9 pts
HFA measured+6.4 pts
HFA applied+3.6 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +6.4 is regressed to +3.6 before it is applied, a difference of 2.8 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Florida Atlantic11-00-1
Auburn11-01-0
Ole Miss32-13-0
Missouri84-44-4
South Carolina86-23-5
Texas21-11-1
Georgia102-85-5
Oklahoma10-10-1
Kentucky105-52-7-1
Vanderbilt87-15-3
Florida State95-45-4

No meeting on record since 2016: Campbell.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home46-1532-28-1 ATS · 61 games
On the road18-2517-25-1 ATS · 43 games
Neutral site7-149-12 ATS · 21 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

6,164 miles - ranked 85th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 6,164 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 06,164 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Florida AtlanticHome0 mi
Week 2CampbellHome0 mi
Week 3Auburn276 mi551 mi
Week 4Ole MissHome551 mi
Week 5Missouri857 mi2,265 mi
Week 6South CarolinaHome2,265 mi
Week 7Texas923 mi4,110 mi
Week 8-Bye
Week 9Georgia308 mi4,726 mi
Week 10OklahomaHome4,726 mi
Week 11Kentucky590 mi5,906 mi
Week 12VanderbiltHome5,906 mi
Week 13Florida State129 mi6,164 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Florida Gators Season Outlook

New Era Under Sumrall

Jon Sumrall takes over a Florida program that has cycled through four head coaches since 2017. He brings a 43-12 career record from Troy and Tulane, where he reached conference title games twice at each stop and won at least 11 games three times. His staff hires, including offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner and defensive coordinator Brad White, signal a clear attempt to modernize both sides of the ball. Sumrall also brought strength coach Rusty Whitt, a former Green Beret, to reshape the team's culture and physical identity.

Offensive Rebuild and Quarterback Battle

The Gators lost starting quarterback DJ Lagway to the transfer portal, leaving a competition between Aaron Philo, who followed Faulkner from Georgia Tech, and redshirt freshman Tramell Jones Jr. Philo knows Faulkner's system, but his SEC experience is limited. The offense struggled badly in 2025, scoring just one touchdown in five different losses. Faulkner's scheme, which an opposing SEC assistant called a departure from what anyone else in the conference runs, could create mismatches early. The receiving corps gets a boost from Eric Singleton Jr., who transferred from Auburn after playing for Faulkner at Georgia Tech, plus spring standout Micah Mays Jr. from Wake Forest. Running back Jadan Baugh returns as one of the SEC's top tailbacks, and Evan Pryor arrives from Cincinnati as a versatile home-run threat.

Secondary and Special Teams Questions

The secondary is less settled than the front seven. Redshirt freshman Ben Hanks III impressed in spring, but veterans Dijon Johnson and Cormani McClain need to find consistency. Safety Bryce Thornton is a proven playmaker, and Baylor transfer DJ Coleman adds physicality. On special teams, kicker Patrick Durkin made 25 of 28 field goals in 2025, and punter Alec Clark averaged 46.5 yards per punt, both following Sumrall from Tulane. Vernell Brown III also gives the return game a dangerous weapon.

Early Schedule and Outlook

Florida opens at home against Florida Atlantic, a game where they are heavy favorites, but the real tests come later in SEC play. The offensive line, which features transfers TJ Shanahan Jr., Harrison Moore, and Emeka Ugorji alongside returning starter Knijeah Harris, must gel quickly to protect whichever quarterback wins the job. The team's success will hinge on whether Philo or Jones can make critical throws on third down and in the red zone, areas that were problematic last season. If the front seven lives up to its billing and the offense shows improvement under Faulkner, the Gators could surprise in Sumrall's first year.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Florida Gators's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Florida Gators is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.

What is Florida Gators's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Florida Gators holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +12.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Florida Gators's home field advantage rating?

Florida Gators's home field advantage rating is 3.6 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Florida Gators's 2026 win total?

Florida Gators's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at +130 over and -160 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Florida Gators travel in 2026?

Florida Gators travels 6,164 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 85th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Florida Gators: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +12.9 (2026 records).