Florida Gators is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +12.9. Florida Gators enters the season with a power rating of +12.9, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Florida Gators host Campbell next in Week 2. In 2025, Florida Gators went 4-8 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 5-7 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Florida Gators Power Rating of +12.9 is 12.9 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Florida Gators have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,164 miles, ranking 85th heaviest in the FBS.
Jadan Baugh RB, Vernell Brown III WR, Dallas Wilson WR, Aaron Philo QB, Tramell Jones Jr. QB, Eric Singleton Jr. WR, Micah Mays Jr. WR, Evan Pryor RB, TJ Shanahan Jr. OL, Harrison Moore OL, Emeka Ugorji OL, Knijeah Harris OL
Myles Graham LB, Jaden Robinson LB, Aaron Chiles LB, Jayden Woods EDGE, Brendan Bett DL, Kamran James DL, LJ McCray DL, Joseph Mbatchou DL, Jeramiah McCloud DL, Emmanuel Oyebadejo DL, Ben Hanks III CB, Dijon Johnson CB, Cormani McClain CB, Bryce Thornton S, DJ Coleman S
Patrick Durkin K, Alec Clark P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Week 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Week 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Week 7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Week 10 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-6 |
| Week 11 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Week 12 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 3-8 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 5-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +11.7 in the preseason and finished +15.6 after the postseason, a move of +3.9 points. High +16.3 (week 14), low +10.7 (week 0).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +6.4 is regressed to +3.6 before it is applied, a difference of 2.8 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Auburn | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Ole Miss | 3 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Missouri | 8 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| South Carolina | 8 | 6-2 | 3-5 |
| Texas | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Georgia | 10 | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Oklahoma | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kentucky | 10 | 5-5 | 2-7-1 |
| Vanderbilt | 8 | 7-1 | 5-3 |
| Florida State | 9 | 5-4 | 5-4 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Campbell.
Week 06,164 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Florida Atlantic | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Campbell | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | Auburn | 276 mi | 551 mi |
| Week 4 | Ole Miss | Home | 551 mi |
| Week 5 | Missouri | 857 mi | 2,265 mi |
| Week 6 | South Carolina | Home | 2,265 mi |
| Week 7 | Texas | 923 mi | 4,110 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | Georgia | 308 mi | 4,726 mi |
| Week 10 | Oklahoma | Home | 4,726 mi |
| Week 11 | Kentucky | 590 mi | 5,906 mi |
| Week 12 | Vanderbilt | Home | 5,906 mi |
| Week 13 | Florida State | 129 mi | 6,164 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Jon Sumrall takes over a Florida program that has cycled through four head coaches since 2017. He brings a 43-12 career record from Troy and Tulane, where he reached conference title games twice at each stop and won at least 11 games three times. His staff hires, including offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner and defensive coordinator Brad White, signal a clear attempt to modernize both sides of the ball. Sumrall also brought strength coach Rusty Whitt, a former Green Beret, to reshape the team's culture and physical identity.
The Gators lost starting quarterback DJ Lagway to the transfer portal, leaving a competition between Aaron Philo, who followed Faulkner from Georgia Tech, and redshirt freshman Tramell Jones Jr. Philo knows Faulkner's system, but his SEC experience is limited. The offense struggled badly in 2025, scoring just one touchdown in five different losses. Faulkner's scheme, which an opposing SEC assistant called a departure from what anyone else in the conference runs, could create mismatches early. The receiving corps gets a boost from Eric Singleton Jr., who transferred from Auburn after playing for Faulkner at Georgia Tech, plus spring standout Micah Mays Jr. from Wake Forest. Running back Jadan Baugh returns as one of the SEC's top tailbacks, and Evan Pryor arrives from Cincinnati as a versatile home-run threat.
The secondary is less settled than the front seven. Redshirt freshman Ben Hanks III impressed in spring, but veterans Dijon Johnson and Cormani McClain need to find consistency. Safety Bryce Thornton is a proven playmaker, and Baylor transfer DJ Coleman adds physicality. On special teams, kicker Patrick Durkin made 25 of 28 field goals in 2025, and punter Alec Clark averaged 46.5 yards per punt, both following Sumrall from Tulane. Vernell Brown III also gives the return game a dangerous weapon.
Florida opens at home against Florida Atlantic, a game where they are heavy favorites, but the real tests come later in SEC play. The offensive line, which features transfers TJ Shanahan Jr., Harrison Moore, and Emeka Ugorji alongside returning starter Knijeah Harris, must gel quickly to protect whichever quarterback wins the job. The team's success will hinge on whether Philo or Jones can make critical throws on third down and in the red zone, areas that were problematic last season. If the front seven lives up to its billing and the offense shows improvement under Faulkner, the Gators could surprise in Sumrall's first year.
Florida Gators is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Florida Gators holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +12.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Florida Gators's home field advantage rating is 3.6 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Florida Gators's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at +130 over and -160 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Florida Gators travels 6,164 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 85th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Florida Gators: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +12.9 (2026 records).