Arkansas Razorbacks is 3-4 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +1.7. Arkansas Razorbacks is covering at just 37% since the start of last season (7-12), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The Arkansas Razorbacks host Missouri next in Week 9.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Arkansas Razorbacks Power Rating of +1.7 is 1.7 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Arkansas Razorbacks have logged 3,637 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,636 miles, ranking 92nd heaviest in the FBS.
KJ Jackson QB, AJ Hill QB, Braylen Russell RB, Sutton Smith RB, CJ Brown WR, Ismael Cisse WR, Jamari Hawkins WR, Chris Marshall WR, Jaden Platt TE, Caden Kitler OL, Kobe Branham OL, Kavion Broussard OL, Bryant Williams OL, Malachi Breland OL
Quincy Rhodes Jr. EDGE, Bradley Shaw LB, Miguel Mitchell S, Hunter Osborne DL, David Oke DL, Xadavien Sims DL, Carlon Jones DL, Trajen Odom DL, Danny Beale III DL, Anthony Kennedy Jr. DL, Charlie Collins LB, Ja'Quavion Smith LB, Khmori House S, Jahiem Johnson CB, La'Khi Roland CB, Shelton Lewis CB, DJ Hairston Jr. CB, Braydon Lee CB, Carter Stoutmire S, Christian Harrison S
Max Gilbert K, Gavin Rush P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Week 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Week 7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5-2 |
| Week 9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 6-2 |
| Week 10 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 7-2 |
| Week 12 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Week 13 | 2-9 | 4-7 | 8-3 |
| Week 14 | 2-10 | 4-8 | 8-4 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +5.2 in the preseason and finished +1.7 after week 9, a move of -3.5 points. High +5.7 (week 1), low -2.3 (week 6).
PreW9
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of -2.7 is regressed to +0.8 before it is applied, a difference of 3.5 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 2 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Tulsa | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Texas A&M | 10 | 1-9 | 5-5 |
| Tennessee | 3 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Vanderbilt | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Missouri | 10 | 1-9 | 4-6 |
| Auburn | 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| South Carolina | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Texas | 3 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| LSU | 10 | 1-9 | 5-4-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: North Alabama, Utah.
Week 05,636 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | North Alabama | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Utah | 1,010 mi | 2,020 mi |
| Week 3 | Georgia | Home | 2,020 mi |
| Week 4 | Tulsa | Home | 2,020 mi |
| Week 5 | Texas A&M | 396 mi | 2,812 mi |
| Week 6 | Tennessee | Home | 2,812 mi |
| Week 7 | Vanderbilt | 412 mi | 3,637 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | Missouri | Home | 3,637 mi |
| Week 10 | Auburn | 551 mi | 4,739 mi |
| Week 11 | South Carolina | Home | 4,739 mi |
| Week 12 | Texas | 449 mi | 5,636 mi |
| Week 13 | LSU | Home | 5,636 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Ryan Silverfield's first season in Fayetteville has been a grind, but the Razorbacks showed real progress by ending a 14-game SEC losing streak with a 31-21 win at Vanderbilt in Week 7. That victory, sealed by Miguel Mitchell's late interception and a 39-yard Max Gilbert field goal, was the program's first conference win since 2024 and came on the back of a 187-yard rushing effort. At 3-4 overall and 1-3 in the SEC, Arkansas has already matched its win total from the previous two seasons combined, and the Vanderbilt win proved the team can close out a tight game on the road.
After splitting duties with AJ Hill early, KJ Jackson has taken firm control of the offense. He was named the clear starter following a 309-yard, two-touchdown passing performance against Tulsa, and he has since delivered steady outings against Texas A&M and Vanderbilt. Jackson's legs have been a key complement, with rushing scores in each of the last two games. His ability to protect the ball and make timely throws has given the Razorbacks an identity on offense, though consistency remains a work in progress.
Arkansas's offensive formula is built on running the ball effectively to stay ahead of the chains. That worked against Tulsa (187 yards) and Vanderbilt (187 yards), but it collapsed against Utah (61 yards) and Georgia (17 yards). Braylen Russell and Sutton Smith have shared the load, and Cam Settles emerged as a red-zone threat with two scores at Vanderbilt. The rebuilt offensive line, featuring transfers Kavion Broussard, Bryant Williams, and Malachi Breland, has been up and down. When the run game is stuffed, the offense becomes one-dimensional and turnovers tend to follow, as seen in the three giveaways against North Alabama and the pick-six at Utah.
The defensive line, led by Quincy Rhodes Jr. and a deep rotation of transfers like Hunter Osborne, David Oke, and Xadavien Sims, has been the team's strength. It smothered North Alabama and Tulsa, holding each to minimal first-half yardage, and generated timely takeaways against Vanderbilt. However, the secondary has been picked apart by competent passing attacks. Utah's Devon Dampier threw for 261 yards and two scores, and even FCS North Alabama hit a 59-yard pass. The transfer-heavy cornerback room has struggled with penalties and explosive plays. Against Missouri's balanced offense, the front seven must generate pressure without blitzing to mask coverage limitations.
With a bye week to prepare for Missouri, Arkansas has a chance to build momentum from the Vanderbilt win. The Razorbacks must continue to run the ball effectively, protect KJ Jackson, and avoid the self-inflicted errors (turnovers, penalties) that plagued them early. The defense needs to carry its momentum and find a way to limit big plays through the air. A win over the Tigers would give Arkansas four victories and keep hope alive for a bowl game in Silverfield's first year. The remaining schedule is tough, but the progress is tangible, and the team's confidence is growing.
Arkansas Razorbacks is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.
Arkansas Razorbacks holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +1.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Arkansas Razorbacks's home field advantage rating is 0.8 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Arkansas Razorbacks's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at +140 over and -180 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Arkansas Razorbacks travels 5,636 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 92nd heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Arkansas Razorbacks: 3-4 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating +1.7 (2026 records).