Arkansas Razorbacks

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Arkansas Razorbacks is 1-1 on the season, 0-2 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +5.1. Arkansas Razorbacks enters the season with a power rating of +5.1, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Arkansas Razorbacks host Georgia next in Week 3. In 2025, Arkansas Razorbacks went 2-10 overall, 4-8 against the spread, and 8-4 on totals.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
Power Rating (most current): +5.1
HFA Rating:0.8 pts
2026 Win Total:4.5
2026 Record: 1-1
2026 ATS: 0-2
2026 O/U: 0-2

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 2 of 2026 the Arkansas Razorbacks Power Rating of +5.1 is 5.1 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Arkansas Razorbacks have logged 2,020 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,636 miles, ranking 92nd heaviest in the FBS.

Arkansas Razorbacks Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachRyan Silverfield
TenureFirst season
Career record50-25 (6+ seasons)
Offensive coordinatorTim Cramsey
Defensive coordinatorsRon Roberts, Deron Wilson

Offense

KJ Jackson QB, AJ Hill QB, Braylen Russell RB, Sutton Smith RB, CJ Brown WR, Ismael Cisse WR, Jamari Hawkins WR, Chris Marshall WR, Jaden Platt TE, Caden Kitler OL, Kobe Branham OL, Kavion Broussard OL, Bryant Williams OL, Malachi Breland OL

Defense

Quincy Rhodes Jr. EDGE, Bradley Shaw LB, Miguel Mitchell S, Hunter Osborne DL, David Oke DL, Xadavien Sims DL, Carlon Jones DL, Trajen Odom DL, Danny Beale III DL, Anthony Kennedy Jr. DL, Charlie Collins LB, Ja'Quavion Smith LB, Khmori House S, Jahiem Johnson CB, La'Khi Roland CB, Shelton Lewis CB, DJ Hairston Jr. CB, Braydon Lee CB, Carter Stoutmire S, Christian Harrison S

Special teams

Max Gilbert K, Gavin Rush P

2025 Season in Review

Record2-10 ATS4-8 O/U8-4
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-10-1
Week 22-01-11-1
Week 32-11-22-1
Week 42-21-33-1
Week 52-31-44-1
Week 72-42-44-2
Week 82-53-45-2
Week 92-63-56-2
Week 102-73-67-2
Week 122-84-67-3
Week 132-94-78-3
Week 142-104-88-4

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +5.2 in the preseason and finished +5.1 after week 2, a move of -0.1 points. High +5.7 (week 1), low +5.1 (week 2).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from +5.2 to +5.1.

PreW2

Arkansas Razorbacks SP+ Profile

Offence+34.113 of 138higher is better
Defence+29.391 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.345 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±5.4 pts
HFA measured-2.7 pts
HFA applied+0.8 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of -2.7 is regressed to +0.8 before it is applied, a difference of 3.5 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Georgia20-21-1
Tulsa11-01-0
Texas A&M101-95-5
Tennessee32-13-0
Vanderbilt10-10-1
Missouri101-94-6
Auburn102-83-7
South Carolina21-11-1
Texas31-22-1
LSU101-95-4-1

No meeting on record since 2016: North Alabama, Utah.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home29-3524-37-3 ATS · 64 games
On the road10-3220-20-2 ATS · 42 games
Neutral site8-810-6 ATS · 16 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,636 miles - ranked 92nd heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,636 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,636 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1North AlabamaHome0 mi
Week 2Utah1,010 mi2,020 mi
Week 3GeorgiaHome2,020 mi
Week 4TulsaHome2,020 mi
Week 5Texas A&M396 mi2,812 mi
Week 6TennesseeHome2,812 mi
Week 7Vanderbilt412 mi3,637 mi
Week 8-Bye
Week 9MissouriHome3,637 mi
Week 10Auburn551 mi4,739 mi
Week 11South CarolinaHome4,739 mi
Week 12Texas449 mi5,636 mi
Week 13LSUHome5,636 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Arkansas Razorbacks Season Outlook

A Fresh Start Under Ryan Silverfield

Arkansas enters the 2026 season with a new head coach, Ryan Silverfield, who brought in a largely rebuilt roster. The Razorbacks snapped a 10-game losing streak with a 31-14 win over North Alabama in Week 1, but the performance left Silverfield frustrated, calling it one of the worst offensive outings he has been part of. The team is breaking in new starters nearly everywhere, including at quarterback, where KJ Jackson and AJ Hill are competing. Jackson started the opener and threw three touchdowns, but the offense managed only 415 total yards against an FCS opponent that gave up over 464 yards per game last year. The Hogs also committed eight penalties and turned the ball over three times, showing that the new systems and personnel are still a work in progress.

Quarterback and Offensive Line Are the Key Questions

KJ Jackson, a returnee, and AJ Hill, a Memphis transfer, have limited major-college experience, and the coaching staff has not settled on a permanent starter. Jackson looked sharp in the opener with 24-of-35 passing for 267 yards and three scores, but he also threw an interception and lost a fumble. The offensive line, which returns center Caden Kitler and guard Kobe Branham and adds large transfers in tackles Kavion Broussard and Bryant Williams and guard Malachi Breland, was expected to dominate against North Alabama but did not create consistent running lanes. Braylen Russell led the team with just 49 yards on 17 carries, and the Hogs averaged only 3.6 yards per rush. The line's ability to protect the quarterback and open holes will be critical as the competition stiffens in SEC play.

Defensive Front Has Talent but Needs to Prove It

The defensive line is deep and experienced on paper, with Virginia transfer Hunter Osborne at tackle, nose David Oke, and transfers Xadavien Sims, Carlon Jones, and Trajen Odom, plus elite freshmen Danny Beale III and Anthony Kennedy Jr. In the opener, the defense held North Alabama to just 17 total yards in the first half and five first downs through three quarters, but a 59-yard pass in the fourth quarter and two late rushing touchdowns by the Lions showed vulnerability against big plays. The hybrid 'Jack' role is shared among Charlie Collins and others, and the linebacker corps features Bradley Shaw and Buffalo transfer Ja'Quavion Smith. The unit will face a much stiffer test at Utah in Week 2, and the secondary, which includes several transfers, will need to improve its consistency.

Special Teams Are a Work in Progress

Arkansas has no returning players in the kicking game, with Max Gilbert at placekicker and Gavin Rush at punter. In the opener, the special teams did not have a major impact, but the lack of experience could become a factor in close games. Sutton Smith, who also handles return duties, fumbled in the third quarter, giving North Alabama the ball in Arkansas territory and leading to the Lions' first touchdown. The Razorbacks will need more reliable play from their specialists and returners as they face tougher opponents, where field position and red-zone efficiency will matter more.

The Road Ahead Is Daunting

Arkansas's schedule is brutal, with nine SEC games plus a trip to No. 21 Utah in Week 2. The Razorbacks are heavy underdogs at Utah, with a 20% win probability per the prediction market. Silverfield's preseason goal of improving turnover margin and building team cohesion will be tested immediately. The Hogs have shown they can beat lesser opponents, but their performance against North Alabama suggests they are not yet ready to compete with the top teams in the SEC. A six-win season would be a significant improvement, but the margin for error is slim given the inexperience at key positions and the tough slate ahead.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Arkansas Razorbacks's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Arkansas Razorbacks is 0-2 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.

What is Arkansas Razorbacks's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Arkansas Razorbacks holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +5.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Arkansas Razorbacks's home field advantage rating?

Arkansas Razorbacks's home field advantage rating is 0.8 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Arkansas Razorbacks's 2026 win total?

Arkansas Razorbacks's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at +140 over and -180 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Arkansas Razorbacks travel in 2026?

Arkansas Razorbacks travels 5,636 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 92nd heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Arkansas Razorbacks: 1-1 overall, 0-2 ATS, power rating +5.1 (2026 records).