Oklahoma Sooners is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +20.0. Oklahoma Sooners enters the season with a power rating of +20.0, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Oklahoma Sooners head to Michigan next in Week 2. In 2025, Oklahoma Sooners went 10-3 overall, 7-6 against the spread, and 3-10 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Oklahoma Sooners Power Rating of +20.0 is 20.0 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Oklahoma Sooners have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 7,426 miles, ranking 64th heaviest in the FBS.
John Mateer QB, Michael Fasusi OL, Xavier Robinson RB, Tory Blaylock RB, Isaiah Sategna III WR, Parker Livingstone WR, Trell Harris WR
Kip Lewis LB, Taylor Wein EDGE, Peyton Bowen S, Eli Bowen CB, Danny Okoye EDGE, Jacobe Johnson CB
Tate Sandell K, Grayson Miller P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Week 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Week 6 | 5-0 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 0-6 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 4-3 | 0-7 |
| Week 9 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 1-7 |
| Week 10 | 7-2 | 5-4 | 2-7 |
| Week 12 | 8-2 | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Week 13 | 9-2 | 7-4 | 2-9 |
| Week 14 | 10-2 | 7-5 | 2-10 |
| Postseason | 10-3 | 7-6 | 3-10 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +18.1 in the preseason and finished +20.0 after week 2, a move of +1.9 points. High +20.0 (week 2), low +18.1 (the preseason).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.6 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Michigan | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Georgia | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Texas | 11 | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| South Carolina | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Florida | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Ole Miss | 2 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Missouri | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: New Mexico, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Texas A&M.
Week 07,426 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | UTEP | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Michigan | 884 mi | 1,768 mi |
| Week 3 | New Mexico | Home | 1,768 mi |
| Week 4 | Georgia | 806 mi | 3,380 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | Texas | 172 mi | 3,724 mi |
| Week 7 | Kentucky | Home | 3,724 mi |
| Week 8 | Mississippi State | 509 mi | 4,742 mi |
| Week 9 | South Carolina | Home | 4,742 mi |
| Week 10 | Florida | 960 mi | 6,662 mi |
| Week 11 | Ole Miss | Home | 6,662 mi |
| Week 12 | Texas A&M | Home | 6,662 mi |
| Week 13 | Missouri | 382 mi | 7,426 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
John Mateer looked fully recovered from last season's thumb surgery, throwing for 225 yards and three touchdowns before exiting late in the third quarter of a 51-0 rout of UTEP. The Sooners scored on their first eight possessions, and the running game gained 170 yards on 39 carries, a clear improvement over last year's 3.5-yard average. Newcomers made an immediate impact: Colorado State transfer Rocky Beers caught a 40-yard touchdown, Virginia Tech transfer Trell Harris hauled in a 48-yard score, and Isaiah Sategna III added a 34-yard receiving touchdown plus an 88-yard punt return for a score. The offensive line, led by left tackle Michael Fasusi, gave Mateer time and opened holes, suggesting the unit that struggled to reach 400 total yards after Mateer's injury in 2025 may have turned a corner.
Brent Venables' defense picked up where it left off, shutting out UTEP and limiting the Miners to 198 yards. The Sooners forced a turnover when Peyton Bowen knocked the ball loose and Taylor Wein recovered it, setting up a quick touchdown. Kip Lewis, the team's leading tackler from a year ago, anchors a unit that allowed just 15.5 points per game in 2025. The Bowen brothers in the secondary, Peyton and Eli, each had two interceptions last season and give the defense ball-hawking ability. With Danny Okoye and Jacobe Johnson providing young depth, the defense looks capable of keeping Oklahoma in every game, even if it cannot quite replicate last year's historic numbers.
The Sooners travel to Ann Arbor to face No. 16 Michigan in Week 2, their first road game of the season. Michigan is 1-0 and presents a much stiffer challenge than UTEP, particularly on defense. Oklahoma's offensive line, which showed improvement in the opener, will face a more physical front seven, and Mateer will need to handle pressure in a hostile environment. The defense, which has not allowed a point yet, will be tested by a Michigan offense that is more experienced than UTEP's. This game will show whether Oklahoma's offensive resurgence is real or just a product of a weak opponent, and it will set the tone for the rest of the season.
Oklahoma enters the season with a 1-0 record and a power rating near 20, but the path to another College Football Playoff appearance requires sustained improvement on offense and continued dominance on defense. The Sooners' 2025 season was defined by a split: elite defense carried them, while the offense sputtered after Mateer's injury. If Mateer stays healthy and the running game maintains its early momentum, Oklahoma has the talent to compete with anyone. However, depth concerns on defense and the need for young players to step up could be vulnerabilities in close games. The Week 2 matchup at Michigan will be an early indicator of whether this team can handle adversity on the road and maintain its high standard throughout the season.
Oklahoma Sooners is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Oklahoma Sooners holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +20.0, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Oklahoma Sooners's home field advantage rating is 2.7 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Oklahoma Sooners's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -170 over and +140 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Oklahoma Sooners travels 7,426 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 64th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Oklahoma Sooners: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +20.0 (2026 records).
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