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Oklahoma Sooners is 3-3 on the season, 2-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +11.4. Oklahoma Sooners holds a power rating of +11.4, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Oklahoma Sooners head to Mississippi State next in Week 8.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Oklahoma Sooners Power Rating of +11.4 is 11.4 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Oklahoma Sooners have logged 3,724 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 7,426 miles, ranking 64th heaviest in the FBS.
John Mateer QB, Michael Fasusi OL, Xavier Robinson RB, Tory Blaylock RB, Isaiah Sategna III WR, Parker Livingstone WR, Trell Harris WR
Kip Lewis LB, Taylor Wein EDGE, Peyton Bowen S, Eli Bowen CB, Danny Okoye EDGE, Jacobe Johnson CB
Tate Sandell K, Grayson Miller P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Week 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Week 6 | 5-0 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 0-6 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 4-3 | 0-7 |
| Week 9 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 1-7 |
| Week 10 | 7-2 | 5-4 | 2-7 |
| Week 12 | 8-2 | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Week 13 | 9-2 | 7-4 | 2-9 |
| Week 14 | 10-2 | 7-5 | 2-10 |
| Postseason | 10-3 | 7-6 | 3-10 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +18.1 in the preseason and finished +11.4 after week 8, a move of -6.7 points. High +20.0 (week 2), low +11.4 (week 6).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.6 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Michigan | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Georgia | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Texas | 11 | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| South Carolina | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Florida | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Ole Miss | 2 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Missouri | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: New Mexico, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Texas A&M.
Week 07,426 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | UTEP | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Michigan | 884 mi | 1,768 mi |
| Week 3 | New Mexico | Home | 1,768 mi |
| Week 4 | Georgia | 806 mi | 3,380 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | Texas | 172 mi | 3,724 mi |
| Week 7 | Kentucky | Home | 3,724 mi |
| Week 8 | Mississippi State | 509 mi | 4,742 mi |
| Week 9 | South Carolina | Home | 4,742 mi |
| Week 10 | Florida | 960 mi | 6,662 mi |
| Week 11 | Ole Miss | Home | 6,662 mi |
| Week 12 | Texas A&M | Home | 6,662 mi |
| Week 13 | Missouri | 382 mi | 7,426 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Oklahoma's defense was the backbone of its 2025 playoff run, allowing 15.5 points and 272.5 yards per game, and it opened 2026 with a shutout of UTEP and a dominant effort against New Mexico (six points, 185 total yards). However, the loss of leading tackler and signal-caller Kip Lewis to a knee injury in Week 2 has exposed the depth concerns that were flagged in the preseason. Since Lewis went down, the Sooners have allowed 41 points to Georgia and 24 to Texas, though the Texas game was kept close by turnovers. The unit still boasts playmakers like Taylor Wein, Peyton Bowen, and Eli Bowen, but maintaining elite production without its quarterback on defense is a challenge.
The offense has been the primary weakness, failing to score more than 14 points in regulation against Power Four opponents until the Texas game (where two touchdowns came via special teams and defense). John Mateer has shown flashes of his high ceiling, but turnovers have been costly: four in the first half against Georgia (two lost fumbles, one interception) and four interceptions against Kentucky. The run game, which averaged 3.5 yards per carry last season, showed promise with 170 yards against UTEP but has been inconsistent against stronger fronts. The receiver transfers (Trell Harris, Parker Livingstone) and tight end Hayden Hansen have made plays, but the offense has yet to put together a complete game against quality competition.
Oklahoma's special teams have been a reliable source of points and field position. Isaiah Sategna returned a punt 88 yards for a touchdown in Week 1, and kicker Tate Sandell, an All-American, has been clutch, including a game-winning 47-yard field goal as time expired to upset No. 1 Texas. The defense also contributed a pick-six by Peyton Bowen and a blocked punt return for a touchdown by Dakoda Fields in that same game. However, relying on non-offensive scores is not a sustainable path to victory, as evidenced by the loss to Kentucky where the offense turned the ball over four times and managed only 13 points. The Sooners need the offense to consistently contribute to keep pace in the SEC.
Oklahoma's season has been a rollercoaster: a blowout win over UTEP, a close loss at Michigan, a shaky win over New Mexico, a blowout loss at Georgia, an upset of No. 1 Texas, and a home loss to Kentucky. The Sooners are 3-3 and 1-2 in SEC play, with their preseason goal of a playoff return now in jeopardy. The defense has kept them in games, but the offense's inability to sustain drives and protect the football has been their undoing. With a road trip to Mississippi State next, followed by a challenging SEC slate, Oklahoma must find offensive consistency and clean up turnovers to avoid falling further behind in the conference race.
The biggest question for the rest of the season is whether quarterback John Mateer can recapture his pre-injury form from 2025 and limit turnovers. He has shown the ability to make big throws, as seen on the final drive against Texas, but his decision-making under pressure has been inconsistent. The running back duo of Xavier Robinson and Tory Blaylock needs more opportunities behind an offensive line that returns left tackle Michael Fasusi but has yet to consistently open holes. Defensively, the Sooners must adjust without Kip Lewis and hope younger players like Danny Okoye and Jacobe Johnson step up. Special teams will continue to be a weapon, but the Sooners cannot rely on them to win games. The upcoming game at Mississippi State is a chance to get back on track, but the Bulldogs are 4-2 and capable of exploiting Oklahoma's weaknesses.
Oklahoma Sooners is 2-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 33% of games.
Oklahoma Sooners holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +11.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Oklahoma Sooners's home field advantage rating is 2.7 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Oklahoma Sooners's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -170 over and +140 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Oklahoma Sooners travels 7,426 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 64th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Oklahoma Sooners: 3-3 overall, 2-4 ATS, power rating +11.4 (2026 records).