Oklahoma Sooners

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Oklahoma Sooners is 3-3 on the season, 2-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +11.4. Oklahoma Sooners holds a power rating of +11.4, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Oklahoma Sooners head to Mississippi State next in Week 8.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Power Rating (most current): +11.4
HFA Rating:2.7 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 3-3
2026 ATS: 2-4
2026 O/U: 2-4

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Oklahoma Sooners Power Rating of +11.4 is 11.4 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Oklahoma Sooners have logged 3,724 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 7,426 miles, ranking 64th heaviest in the FBS.

Oklahoma Sooners Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachBrent Venables
Tenure4 seasons
Record32-20
Offensive coordinatorBen Arbuckle
Defensive coordinatorBrent Venables

Offense

John Mateer QB, Michael Fasusi OL, Xavier Robinson RB, Tory Blaylock RB, Isaiah Sategna III WR, Parker Livingstone WR, Trell Harris WR

Defense

Kip Lewis LB, Taylor Wein EDGE, Peyton Bowen S, Eli Bowen CB, Danny Okoye EDGE, Jacobe Johnson CB

Special teams

Tate Sandell K, Grayson Miller P

2025 Season in Review

Record10-3 ATS7-6 O/U3-10
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-10-1
Week 22-01-10-2
Week 33-02-10-3
Week 44-03-10-4
Week 65-03-20-5
Week 75-13-30-6
Week 86-14-30-7
Week 96-24-41-7
Week 107-25-42-7
Week 128-26-42-8
Week 139-27-42-9
Week 1410-27-52-10
Postseason10-37-63-10

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +18.1 in the preseason and finished +11.4 after week 8, a move of -6.7 points. High +20.0 (week 2), low +11.4 (week 6).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +18.1 to +11.4.

PreW8

Oklahoma Sooners SP+ Profile

Offence+31.627 of 138higher is better
Defence+14.711 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.431 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±3.4 pts
HFA measured+3.3 pts
HFA applied+2.7 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.6 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
UTEP22-02-0
Michigan11-01-0
Georgia10-10-1
Texas117-44-7
South Carolina21-11-1
Florida11-01-0
Ole Miss20-21-1
Missouri21-11-1

No meeting on record since 2016: New Mexico, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Texas A&M.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home55-935-28-1 ATS · 64 games
On the road31-1219-22-2 ATS · 43 games
Neutral site13-1111-12-1 ATS · 24 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

7,426 miles - ranked 64th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 7,426 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 07,426 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1UTEPHome0 mi
Week 2Michigan884 mi1,768 mi
Week 3New MexicoHome1,768 mi
Week 4Georgia806 mi3,380 mi
Week 5-Bye
Week 6Texas172 mi3,724 mi
Week 7KentuckyHome3,724 mi
Week 8Mississippi State509 mi4,742 mi
Week 9South CarolinaHome4,742 mi
Week 10Florida960 mi6,662 mi
Week 11Ole MissHome6,662 mi
Week 12Texas A&MHome6,662 mi
Week 13Missouri382 mi7,426 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Oklahoma Sooners Season Outlook

Defense remains the identity, but Lewis injury tests depth

Oklahoma's defense was the backbone of its 2025 playoff run, allowing 15.5 points and 272.5 yards per game, and it opened 2026 with a shutout of UTEP and a dominant effort against New Mexico (six points, 185 total yards). However, the loss of leading tackler and signal-caller Kip Lewis to a knee injury in Week 2 has exposed the depth concerns that were flagged in the preseason. Since Lewis went down, the Sooners have allowed 41 points to Georgia and 24 to Texas, though the Texas game was kept close by turnovers. The unit still boasts playmakers like Taylor Wein, Peyton Bowen, and Eli Bowen, but maintaining elite production without its quarterback on defense is a challenge.

Offensive inconsistency and turnovers plague the Sooners

The offense has been the primary weakness, failing to score more than 14 points in regulation against Power Four opponents until the Texas game (where two touchdowns came via special teams and defense). John Mateer has shown flashes of his high ceiling, but turnovers have been costly: four in the first half against Georgia (two lost fumbles, one interception) and four interceptions against Kentucky. The run game, which averaged 3.5 yards per carry last season, showed promise with 170 yards against UTEP but has been inconsistent against stronger fronts. The receiver transfers (Trell Harris, Parker Livingstone) and tight end Hayden Hansen have made plays, but the offense has yet to put together a complete game against quality competition.

Special teams and defense provide a winning formula, but it's unsustainable

Oklahoma's special teams have been a reliable source of points and field position. Isaiah Sategna returned a punt 88 yards for a touchdown in Week 1, and kicker Tate Sandell, an All-American, has been clutch, including a game-winning 47-yard field goal as time expired to upset No. 1 Texas. The defense also contributed a pick-six by Peyton Bowen and a blocked punt return for a touchdown by Dakoda Fields in that same game. However, relying on non-offensive scores is not a sustainable path to victory, as evidenced by the loss to Kentucky where the offense turned the ball over four times and managed only 13 points. The Sooners need the offense to consistently contribute to keep pace in the SEC.

Season at a crossroads after emotional high and disappointing low

Oklahoma's season has been a rollercoaster: a blowout win over UTEP, a close loss at Michigan, a shaky win over New Mexico, a blowout loss at Georgia, an upset of No. 1 Texas, and a home loss to Kentucky. The Sooners are 3-3 and 1-2 in SEC play, with their preseason goal of a playoff return now in jeopardy. The defense has kept them in games, but the offense's inability to sustain drives and protect the football has been their undoing. With a road trip to Mississippi State next, followed by a challenging SEC slate, Oklahoma must find offensive consistency and clean up turnovers to avoid falling further behind in the conference race.

What to watch: Can Mateer and the offense find rhythm?

The biggest question for the rest of the season is whether quarterback John Mateer can recapture his pre-injury form from 2025 and limit turnovers. He has shown the ability to make big throws, as seen on the final drive against Texas, but his decision-making under pressure has been inconsistent. The running back duo of Xavier Robinson and Tory Blaylock needs more opportunities behind an offensive line that returns left tackle Michael Fasusi but has yet to consistently open holes. Defensively, the Sooners must adjust without Kip Lewis and hope younger players like Danny Okoye and Jacobe Johnson step up. Special teams will continue to be a weapon, but the Sooners cannot rely on them to win games. The upcoming game at Mississippi State is a chance to get back on track, but the Bulldogs are 4-2 and capable of exploiting Oklahoma's weaknesses.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Oklahoma Sooners's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Oklahoma Sooners is 2-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 33% of games.

What is Oklahoma Sooners's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Oklahoma Sooners holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +11.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Oklahoma Sooners's home field advantage rating?

Oklahoma Sooners's home field advantage rating is 2.7 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Oklahoma Sooners's 2026 win total?

Oklahoma Sooners's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -170 over and +140 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Oklahoma Sooners travel in 2026?

Oklahoma Sooners travels 7,426 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 64th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Oklahoma Sooners: 3-3 overall, 2-4 ATS, power rating +11.4 (2026 records).