Ole Miss Rebels is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +20.8. Ole Miss Rebels enters the season with a power rating of +20.8, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Ole Miss Rebels host Charlotte next in Week 2. In 2025, Ole Miss Rebels went 13-2 overall, 9-6 against the spread, and 8-7 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Ole Miss Rebels Power Rating of +20.8 is 20.8 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Ole Miss Rebels have logged 399 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,876 miles, ranking 120th heaviest in the FBS.
Trinidad Chambliss QB, Kewan Lacy RB
Will Echoles DT, Kam Franklin DE, Suntarine Perkins LB, Antonio Kite CB, Jaylon Braxton CB, Edwin Joseph S, Jalyn Crawford CB
Lucas Carneiro K, Oscar Bird P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Week 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Week 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 6-0 | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 7-1 | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Week 10 | 8-1 | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| Week 11 | 9-1 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Week 12 | 10-1 | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Week 14 | 11-1 | 7-5 | 6-6 |
| Postseason | 13-2 | 9-6 | 8-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +19.9 in the preseason and finished +23.6 after the postseason, a move of +3.7 points. High +25.2 (week 14), low +18.6 (week 1).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.1 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| LSU | 10 | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Florida | 3 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Vanderbilt | 8 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Missouri | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Auburn | 8 | 2-6 | 3-5 |
| Georgia | 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Oklahoma | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Wofford | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Mississippi State | 10 | 6-4 | 3-7 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Charlotte, Texas.
Week 03,876 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Louisville | 200 mi | 399 mi |
| Week 2 | Charlotte | Home | 399 mi |
| Week 3 | LSU | Home | 399 mi |
| Week 4 | Florida | 532 mi | 1,463 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | Vanderbilt | 197 mi | 1,858 mi |
| Week 7 | Missouri | Home | 1,858 mi |
| Week 8 | Texas | 556 mi | 2,969 mi |
| Week 9 | Auburn | Home | 2,969 mi |
| Week 10 | Georgia | Home | 2,969 mi |
| Week 11 | Oklahoma | 453 mi | 3,876 mi |
| Week 12 | Wofford | Home | 3,876 mi |
| Week 13 | Mississippi State | Home | 3,876 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Ole Miss enters 2026 with a No. 3 AP Poll finish from last season and a roster that returns quarterback Trinidad Chambliss and running back Kewan Lacy. Chambliss, who finished eighth in Heisman voting, and Lacy, a Doak Walker finalist with 1,567 rushing yards and 24 touchdowns, give the Rebels one of the most potent backfields in the country. Head coach Pete Golding, who took over after Lane Kiffin's departure, led the team to a CFP appearance and a Sugar Bowl win in his first three games. The schedule is demanding, starting with a neutral-site game against Louisville and an SEC opener against LSU on Sept. 19, but the roster talent suggests another special season is possible.
Chambliss returns after a breakout season where he averaged 297.6 yards of total offense per game, ranking 10th nationally. He went from backup to starter and led the Rebels to their first College Football Playoff berth, including a comeback win over Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. His leadership and feel for the game are praised by opposing coaches, but he must adapt to a new offensive coordinator duo in John David Baker and Cody Woodiel, replacing Charlie Weis Jr. The offense will also need to replace over 3,000 receiving yards and both starting tackles, putting more pressure on Chambliss to elevate those around him.
Despite losing edge rusher Princewill Umanmielen to LSU, the defensive line is anchored by junior tackle Will Echoles, who was Sugar Bowl MVP with 11.5 tackles for loss and five sacks, and end Kam Franklin, who added nine tackles for loss and five sacks. Linebacker Suntarine Perkins brings career totals of 179 tackles, 32 tackles for loss, and 18.5 sacks, making him a versatile playmaker. This front seven should be a disruptive force, but the secondary is revamped with transfers Edwin Joseph (Florida State) and Jalyn Crawford (Auburn) joining returning corners Antonio Kite and Jaylon Braxton. The unit's improvement will be critical if the offense faces growing pains early.
Kicker Lucas Carneiro is a proven weapon, having made 31 of 35 field goals last season, including two from beyond 50 yards and the game-winning 47-yarder in the Sugar Bowl. Punter Oscar Bird averaged 46 yards per punt and placed 14 punts inside the 20-yard line as a freshman. In close SEC games, reliable kicking and field position could be the difference, especially with a schedule that includes LSU, Georgia, and other tough conference matchups.
The biggest vulnerability is the offensive line, where both starting tackles must be replaced. That could affect pass protection for Chambliss and running lanes for Lacy. Additionally, Pete Golding is in his first full season as head coach after a successful interim stint. An opposing SEC assistant noted that Golding should stay true to himself rather than trying to be the anti-Kiffin, and that the defense must improve to support the offense's growth. If the line gels and Golding's leadership holds, Ole Miss has the talent to contend for a playoff spot, but early tests against Louisville and LSU will reveal how quickly these pieces come together.
Ole Miss Rebels is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Ole Miss Rebels holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +20.8, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Ole Miss Rebels's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Ole Miss Rebels's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -170 over and +130 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Ole Miss Rebels travels 3,876 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 120th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Ole Miss Rebels: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +20.8 (2026 records).
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