Texas A&M Aggies

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Texas A&M Aggies is 4-4 on the season, 4-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +9.7. Texas A&M Aggies's games are hitting the under at 62% this season (5-3), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Texas A&M Aggies head to South Carolina next in Week 10.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
Power Rating (most current): +9.7
HFA Rating:3.0 pts
2026 Win Total:8.5
2026 Record: 4-4
2026 ATS: 4-4
2026 O/U: 3-5

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Texas A&M Aggies Power Rating of +9.7 is 9.7 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Texas A&M Aggies have logged 2,943 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,440 miles, ranking 96th heaviest in the FBS.

Texas A&M Aggies Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachMike Elko
Tenure2 seasons
Record at school19-7
Career record35-16 (4 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorHolmon Wiggins
Defensive coordinatorsLyle Hemphill, Elijah Robinson

Offense

Marcel Reed QB, Rueben Owens II RB, Mario Craver WR, Ashton Bethel-Roman WR, Isaiah Horton WR, Mark Nabou Jr. OL, Wilkin Formby OL, Tyree Adams OL, Terry Bussey WR

Defense

Marcus Ratcliffe S, Dalton Brooks S, Dezz Ricks CB, Marco Jones EDGE, Anto Saka EDGE, Ray Coney LB

Special teams

David Olano K

2025 Season in Review

Record11-2 ATS5-8 O/U8-5
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-11-0
Week 22-00-22-0
Week 33-01-23-0
Week 54-01-33-1
Week 65-02-33-2
Week 76-03-34-2
Week 87-03-45-2
Week 98-04-46-2
Week 119-05-47-2
Week 1210-05-58-2
Week 1311-05-68-3
Week 1411-15-78-4
Postseason11-25-88-5

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +19.9 in the preseason and finished +9.7 after week 8, a move of -10.2 points. High +21.8 (week 3), low +9.4 (week 7).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +19.9 to +9.7.

PreW8

Texas A&M Aggies SP+ Profile

Offence+37.310 of 138higher is better
Defence+16.714 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.391 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±4.1 pts
HFA measured+4.1 pts
HFA applied+3.0 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +4.1 is regressed to +3.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Kentucky11-01-0
LSU105-53-7
Arkansas109-15-5
Missouri33-03-0
Alabama81-74-4
South Carolina108-24-6
Tennessee32-12-1
Texas20-20-2

No meeting on record since 2016: Missouri State, Arizona State, The Citadel, Oklahoma.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home52-1633-32-3 ATS · 68 games
On the road17-2419-21-1 ATS · 41 games
Neutral site11-57-9 ATS · 16 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,440 miles - ranked 96th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,440 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,440 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Missouri StateHome0 mi
Week 2Arizona StateHome0 mi
Week 3KentuckyHome0 mi
Week 4LSU308 mi616 mi
Week 5ArkansasHome616 mi
Week 6Missouri617 mi1,850 mi
Week 7The CitadelHome1,850 mi
Week 8Alabama547 mi2,943 mi
Week 9-Bye
Week 10South Carolina925 mi4,794 mi
Week 11TennesseeHome4,794 mi
Week 12Oklahoma323 mi5,440 mi
Week 13TexasHome5,440 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Texas A&M Aggies Season Outlook

A season of two halves: dominant at home, vulnerable on the road

Texas A&M sits at 4-3 with a stark split in performance. At Kyle Field, the Aggies are 4-0, outscoring opponents 173-27, including shutouts of Missouri State (50-0) and The Citadel (41-0). Away from home, they are 0-3, losing at LSU (6-35) and Missouri (6-27) while also falling at home to Kentucky (21-31). The offense has been the primary culprit in those losses, managing just 12 points in the two road defeats. The Aggies have yet to win a game outside College Station, and with three of their final five games on the road, that trend must reverse for a strong finish.

Marcel Reed's rollercoaster season mirrors the team's inconsistency

Quarterback Marcel Reed has shown flashes of the form that produced 3,169 passing yards and 25 touchdowns last season, but he has also been plagued by the turnover issues that marred his 2025 campaign. In the first two games, both wins, Reed threw for 396 yards with five touchdowns and one interception. In the three SEC losses, he completed just 55 of 114 passes (48.2%) for 531 yards with one touchdown and five interceptions, and he was pulled in favor of Brady Hart in the fourth quarter at LSU. Reed's confidence is the biggest swing factor for the rest of the season; if he can recapture his early-season rhythm, the offense has the weapons to be explosive.

The rebuilt offensive line remains a work in progress

With only center Mark Nabou Jr. returning from last season, the Aggies patched together an offensive line with four SEC transfers, including tackles Wilkin Formby (Alabama) and Tyree Adams (LSU). The unit has struggled with cohesion and penalties, committing eight for 80 yards in the opener and allowing multiple sacks in key games. Against LSU, the line was overwhelmed, and Reed was sacked four times. The run game has been inconsistent, though it showed life against Arkansas (231 yards) and The Citadel (dominated on the ground). For the Aggies to compete against the likes of Alabama and Texas, the line must gel quickly.

Defense: big-play ability but vulnerable against the run

The Aggies' defense has been a tale of two units. The secondary, led by safeties Marcus Ratcliffe and Dalton Brooks and cornerback Dezz Ricks, was third in the SEC in passing defense last season and has flashed playmaking ability, scoring twice on defense against Arizona State (Marco Jones' 55-yard fumble return and Julio Humphrey's 45-yard interception return). However, the run defense has been gashed in consecutive SEC losses, allowing 222 yards to Missouri's Jamal Roberts and being outgained 506-197 by LSU. The pass rush, which ranked fourth nationally in sacks last season, is still adjusting without SEC Defensive Player of the Year Cashius Howell, though transfers Anto Saka and Marco Jones have shown promise. If the Aggies can shore up their run defense, the defense can keep them in games.

The path forward: a challenging closing stretch

Texas A&M's remaining schedule is daunting, with road trips to Alabama, Texas, and a home game against Mississippi State, among others. The Aggies must find a way to win away from Kyle Field, where they have been outscored 62-12 in their last two road games. The offense needs to establish consistency, particularly in the passing game, and the defense must tighten up against the run. With a 4-3 record and an 0-3 mark in SEC play, the Aggies are playing for bowl positioning and pride. A strong finish could still salvage a respectable season, but it will require improved play from Reed, the offensive line, and a defense that has yet to prove it can stop a quality rushing attack.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Texas A&M Aggies's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Texas A&M Aggies is 4-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.

What is Texas A&M Aggies's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Texas A&M Aggies holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +9.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Texas A&M Aggies's home field advantage rating?

Texas A&M Aggies's home field advantage rating is 3.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Texas A&M Aggies's 2026 win total?

Texas A&M Aggies's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 8.5 wins, priced at -105 over and -125 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Texas A&M Aggies travel in 2026?

Texas A&M Aggies travels 5,440 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 96th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Texas A&M Aggies: 4-4 overall, 4-4 ATS, power rating +9.7 (2026 records).