Texas A&M Aggies

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Texas A&M Aggies is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +20.5. Texas A&M Aggies enters the season with a power rating of +20.5, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Texas A&M Aggies host Arizona State next in Week 2. In 2025, Texas A&M Aggies went 11-2 overall, 5-8 against the spread, and 8-5 on totals.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
Power Rating (most current): +20.5
HFA Rating:3.0 pts
2026 Win Total:8.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 1-0
2026 O/U: 0-1

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Texas A&M Aggies Power Rating of +20.5 is 20.5 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Texas A&M Aggies have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,440 miles, ranking 96th heaviest in the FBS.

Texas A&M Aggies Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachMike Elko
Tenure2 seasons
Record at school19-7
Career record35-16 (4 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorHolmon Wiggins
Defensive coordinatorsLyle Hemphill, Elijah Robinson

Offense

Marcel Reed QB, Rueben Owens II RB, Mario Craver WR, Ashton Bethel-Roman WR, Isaiah Horton WR, Mark Nabou Jr. OL, Wilkin Formby OL, Tyree Adams OL, Terry Bussey WR

Defense

Marcus Ratcliffe S, Dalton Brooks S, Dezz Ricks CB, Marco Jones EDGE, Anto Saka EDGE, Ray Coney LB

Special teams

David Olano K

2025 Season in Review

Record11-2 ATS5-8 O/U8-5
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-11-0
Week 22-00-22-0
Week 33-01-23-0
Week 54-01-33-1
Week 65-02-33-2
Week 76-03-34-2
Week 87-03-45-2
Week 98-04-46-2
Week 119-05-47-2
Week 1210-05-58-2
Week 1311-05-68-3
Week 1411-15-78-4
Postseason11-25-88-5

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2025 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +21.0 in the preseason and finished +23.6 after the postseason, a move of +2.6 points. High +25.2 (week 14), low +18.6 (week 1).

Line chart of the 2025 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 18 points, from +21.0 to +23.6.

PrePost

Texas A&M Aggies SP+ Profile

Offence+37.310 of 138higher is better
Defence+16.714 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.391 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±4.1 pts
HFA measured+4.1 pts
HFA applied+3.0 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +4.1 is regressed to +3.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Kentucky11-01-0
LSU105-53-7
Arkansas109-15-5
Missouri33-03-0
Alabama81-74-4
South Carolina108-24-6
Tennessee32-12-1
Texas20-20-2

No meeting on record since 2016: Missouri State, Arizona State, The Citadel, Oklahoma.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home52-1633-32-3 ATS · 68 games
On the road17-2419-21-1 ATS · 41 games
Neutral site11-57-9 ATS · 16 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,440 miles - ranked 96th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,440 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,440 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Missouri StateHome0 mi
Week 2Arizona StateHome0 mi
Week 3KentuckyHome0 mi
Week 4LSU308 mi616 mi
Week 5ArkansasHome616 mi
Week 6Missouri617 mi1,850 mi
Week 7The CitadelHome1,850 mi
Week 8Alabama547 mi2,943 mi
Week 9-Bye
Week 10South Carolina925 mi4,794 mi
Week 11TennesseeHome4,794 mi
Week 12Oklahoma323 mi5,440 mi
Week 13TexasHome5,440 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Texas A&M Aggies Season Outlook

Quarterback Marcel Reed is the key to the season

Junior quarterback Marcel Reed returns after throwing for 3,169 yards and 25 touchdowns while adding 493 rushing yards and six scores on the ground in 2025. However, his 12 interceptions and uneven play in the final two losses to Texas and Miami have put his consistency under the microscope. New offensive coordinator Holmon Wiggins and quarterbacks coach Joey Lynch are focused on cutting down the mistakes and helping Reed deliver in the biggest moments. If Reed takes the next step, the Aggies have the weapons to be a top-tier offense; if he struggles, the ceiling drops significantly.

A rebuilt offensive line with transfer experience

The Aggies lost four starters up front and return only center Mark Nabou Jr. from last year's line. To fill the gaps, the staff brought in four transfers with SEC starting experience, including tackles Wilkin Formby from Alabama and Tyree Adams from LSU. The line's ability to gel quickly will be critical for both Reed's protection and the running game, which features leading rusher Rueben Owens II. If the new unit can provide stability, the offense should have time to exploit its deep receiving corps.

Explosive receiving corps adds a big-play target

All-SEC receiver Mario Craver returns after racking up 917 receiving yards in 2025, and Ashton Bethel-Roman emerged in the second half of last season. The key addition is Alabama transfer Isaiah Horton, a 6-foot-4 target who can win contested catches and give Reed a reliable option on 50-50 balls. With Craver's speed and Horton's size, the Aggies have the pieces to stretch defenses vertically, but they need consistent quarterback play to make it all work.

Secondary is the strength, but turnovers must improve

The defensive backfield returns proven playmakers in safeties Marcus Ratcliffe and Dalton Brooks and cornerback Dezz Ricks. Last season, the Aggies ranked third in the SEC in passing defense, but they managed only three interceptions all year, a number that has to rise. The pass rush was elite in 2025, finishing fourth nationally in sacks, but SEC Defensive Player of the Year Cashius Howell is gone. Sophomore Marco Jones and transfer Anto Saka are expected to fill that void, while Tulsa transfer Ray Coney, who finished 10th nationally in tackles, should help shore up the run defense.

Special teams upgrades and a push for consistency

Illinois transfer David Olano brings an 86% career field goal success rate, which should fix a kicking game that was erratic last season. The return game also has potential with Mario Craver on punts and Terry Bussey on kickoffs. Head coach Mike Elko has won 19 games in his first two seasons in College Station, but the program hasn't posted consecutive 10-win seasons in over 30 years. Elko has talked about becoming a consistent top-10 team and playoff contender, and this season will show whether the Aggies can take that next step or remain a one-year wonder.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Texas A&M Aggies's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Texas A&M Aggies is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.

What is Texas A&M Aggies's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Texas A&M Aggies holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +20.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Texas A&M Aggies's home field advantage rating?

Texas A&M Aggies's home field advantage rating is 3.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Texas A&M Aggies's 2026 win total?

Texas A&M Aggies's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 8.5 wins, priced at -105 over and -125 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Texas A&M Aggies travel in 2026?

Texas A&M Aggies travels 5,440 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 96th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Texas A&M Aggies: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +20.5 (2026 records).