Week 5
Memorial Stadium

Florida @ Missouri , Week 5, Oct 3, 2026

0-0 SEC Power rating: 11.5
0-0 SEC Power rating: 12.8

Is there value in the Florida vs Missouri line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MIZ -4.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors FLAfavors MIZ ▸
MIZ
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1 FLA1 MIZ2 FLA2 MIZModel: MIZ -4.1

Missouri (power rating: 12.8) holds a 1.3-point advantage over Florida (11.5) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Missouri's home field adds 2.4 points to that advantage at Memorial Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Florida's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Florida vs Missouri at Memorial Stadium?

The latest reading for Memorial Stadium shows Clear, 67°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Florida and Missouri compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Missouri (12.8) over Florida (11.5) by 1.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Missouri brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Missouri -4.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

67°F

Rain7%
Precip0.00"
Humidity74%
Wind3 mph SSE
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Florida at Missouri: aerial view of Memorial Stadium, wind from the SSE at 2.7 mph, gusting to 5.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Memorial Stadium
Capacity
62,621
Elevation
699 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure FloridaAway MissouriHome
This week857 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game853 miles
Season total1,408 miles1,167 miles
Body clock00:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Florida travels 857 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Florida arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.