Week 7 •
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Missouri @ Ole Miss , Week 7, Oct 17, 2026

4-1 SEC Power rating: 14.9
3-1 SEC Power rating: 13.4

Is there value in the Missouri vs Ole Miss line?

Market line
MISS -6.0
PM Implied
MISS -5.0
Blue Chip model
MISS -1.3
Edge
-4.7MIZ
See details
◂ favors MIZfavors MISS ▸Market: MISS -6.0
MIZ
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MISS
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MISS
2 MIZ2 MISS4 MIZ4 MISSModel: MISS -1.3

Betting information

Spread
MISS -6.0
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
MIZ 25.8 – 31.8 MISS
Prediction markets
MISS 68% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of October 8, 2026

Missouri (power rating: 14.9) carries a 1.5-point advantage over Ole Miss (13.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Ole Miss's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. The market line is Ole Miss -6.0 and our model shows Ole Miss -1.3; Major model-market disagreement - verify the inputs. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Missouri vs Ole Miss at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium?

The latest reading for Vaught-Hemingway Stadium shows Clear, 77°F with winds of 6 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Missouri vs Ole Miss?

Prediction markets on Kalshi price Ole Miss as 68% favorites to beat Missouri (32%). That implies a market-derived spread of Ole Miss -5.0, a modest gap from the bookmaker line of Ole Miss -6.0. The Blue Chip model makes it Ole Miss -1.3, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.

How do Missouri and Ole Miss compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Missouri (14.9) over Ole Miss (13.4) by 1.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Ole Miss faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Ole Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Ole Miss -1.3, 4.7 points toward Missouri against the market.

Conditions

as of October 14, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

77°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity64%
Wind6 mph SSE
Gusts20 mph
Wind map for Missouri at Ole Miss: aerial view of Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, wind from the SSE at 5.6 mph, gusting to 20.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Capacity
64,038
Elevation
472 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure MissouriAway Ole MissHome
This week352 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game394 miles
Season total1,518 miles1,858 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest7 days7 days

Missouri travels 352 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.