Week 4
Davis Wade Stadium

Missouri @ Mississippi State , Week 4, Sep 26, 2026

0-0 SEC Power rating: 12.8
0-0 SEC Power rating: 3.5

Is there value in the Missouri vs Mississippi State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MIZ -8.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors MIZfavors MSST ▸
‹ 9.3 MIZ
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MSST
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1 MIZ1 MSST2 MIZ2 MSSTModel: MIZ -8.0

Missouri (power rating: 12.8) carries a 9.3-point advantage over Mississippi State (3.5) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Mississippi State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 1.3) narrows that gap at Davis Wade Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Missouri vs Mississippi State at Davis Wade Stadium?

The latest reading for Davis Wade Stadium shows Clear, 77°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Missouri and Mississippi State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Missouri (12.8) over Mississippi State (3.5) by 9.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Mississippi State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Mississippi State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Missouri -8.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

77°F

Rain6%
Precip0.00"
Humidity69%
Wind4 mph NE
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for Missouri at Mississippi State: aerial view of Davis Wade Stadium, wind from the NE at 3.8 mph, gusting to 8.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Davis Wade Stadium
Capacity
60,311
Elevation
381 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure MissouriAway Mississippi StateHome
This week426 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game898 miles
Season total740 miles2,556 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Missouri travels 426 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.