Oregon Ducks is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +30.0. Oregon Ducks enters the season with a power rating of +30.0, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Oregon Ducks head to Oklahoma State next in Week 2. In 2025, Oregon Ducks went 13-2 overall, 9-6 against the spread, and 8-7 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Oregon Ducks Power Rating of +30.0 is 30.0 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Oregon Ducks have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 15,995 miles, ranking 9th heaviest in the FBS.
Dante Moore QB, Jordon Davison RB, Dierre Hill Jr. RB, Dakorien Moore WR, Jeremiah McClellan WR, Iverson Hooks WR, Evan Stewart WR, Jamari Johnson TE, Iapani Laloulu OL, RJ Todd OL
Bear Alexander DL, A'Mauri Washington DL, Matayo Uiagalelei EDGE, Teitum Tuioti EDGE, Aydin Breland DL, Matthew Johnson DL, Nasir Wyatt LB, Jerry Mixon LB, Devon Jackson LB, Brandon Finney Jr. CB, Koi Perich S, Carl Williams IV CB, Na'eem Offord CB
Bailey Ettridge P, Keaton Emmett K, Gage Hurych K, Rocco Graziano K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Week 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 7-1 | 5-3 | 4-4 |
| Week 11 | 8-1 | 5-4 | 4-5 |
| Week 12 | 9-1 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 10-1 | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Week 14 | 11-1 | 8-4 | 6-6 |
| Postseason | 13-2 | 9-6 | 8-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +24.1 in the preseason and finished +28.2 after the postseason, a move of +4.1 points. High +29.4 (week 13), low +23.6 (week 1).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.9 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Oklahoma State | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Portland State | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| USC | 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| UCLA | 6 | 5-1 | 3-3 |
| Nebraska | 2 | 1-1 | 0-1-1 |
| Illinois | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Northwestern | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Ohio State | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Michigan | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Michigan State | 2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Washington | 10 | 5-5 | 5-4-1 |
Week 015,995 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Boise State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Oklahoma State | 1,475 mi | 2,950 mi |
| Week 3 | Portland State | Home | 2,950 mi |
| Week 4 | USC | 739 mi | 4,427 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | UCLA | Home | 4,427 mi |
| Week 7 | Nebraska | Home | 4,427 mi |
| Week 8 | Illinois | 1,798 mi | 8,023 mi |
| Week 9 | Northwestern | Home | 8,023 mi |
| Week 10 | Ohio State | 2,059 mi | 12,141 mi |
| Week 11 | Michigan | Home | 12,141 mi |
| Week 12 | Michigan State | 1,927 mi | 15,995 mi |
| Week 13 | Washington | Home | 15,995 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Oregon enters 2026 with arguably the most talented roster in college football, thanks to a wave of key players who bypassed the NFL Draft to return. Quarterback Dante Moore, the entire starting defensive front, and several other standouts are back, giving head coach Dan Lanning a veteran core that has already played together at a high level. The Ducks have recruited like a top-five program under Lanning, and this season is the payoff: a roster loaded with five-star talent and experienced playmakers on both sides of the ball.
The biggest question mark is how quickly the team adapts to new offensive coordinator Drew Mehringer and defensive coordinator Chris Hampton. The previous staff was praised for its sound, disciplined schemes, and the new coordinators must put their stars in position to succeed. Early growing pains are possible, but with so much returning talent, the expectation is that the Ducks will hit their stride as the season progresses. The key will be whether the new play-callers can maximize the roster's immense potential.
Oregon's defensive line could be the best four-man front in the nation. Bear Alexander and A'Mauri Washington anchor the interior, while Matayo Uiagalelei and Teitum Tuioti bring pressure off the edges. All four return after considering the NFL, and they are joined by promising depth pieces like Aydin Breland and Matthew Johnson. This group should control the line of scrimmage weekly, making life difficult for opposing quarterbacks and running backs alike.
The Ducks boast a dynamic backfield with Jordon Davison and Dierre Hill Jr., who combined for over 1,300 rushing yards as freshmen backups and now step into feature roles. At receiver, Dakorien Moore and Jeremiah McClellan are poised for breakout sophomore seasons, while UAB transfer Iverson Hooks adds a new dimension. Evan Stewart, returning from a knee injury, has a point to prove. This group gives Dante Moore a wealth of weapons to work with, though the offensive line, anchored by returning center Iapani Laloulu, must gel after losing a couple of starters.
The kicking game is a concern after the graduation of the punter and kicker. The Ducks will rely on portal additions, including punter Bailey Ettridge and kicker Keaton Emmett, who will compete with returners Gage Hurych and Rocco Graziano. On the back end, Brandon Finney Jr. is a standout corner, and safety Koi Perich (from Minnesota) and nickel Carl Williams IV (from Baylor) should solidify the secondary. Keep an eye on corner Na'eem Offord, who could have a breakout season. If the specialists hold up, Oregon has few obvious weaknesses.
Oregon Ducks is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Oregon Ducks holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +30.0, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Oregon Ducks's home field advantage rating is 1.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Oregon Ducks's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 10.5 wins, priced at +105 over and -135 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Oregon Ducks travels 15,995 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 9th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Oregon Ducks: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +30.0 (2026 records).
.png)
