UCLA Bruins

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UCLA Bruins is 6-0 on the season, 5-0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +16.7. UCLA Bruins carries one of the heaviest travel loads in the FBS, ranked 13th with 13,657 miles travelled this season, a meaningful fatigue factor for away games. The UCLA Bruins host Michigan State next in Week 8.

Conference: Big Ten Conference
Stadium: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
Power Rating (most current): +16.7
HFA Rating:1.5 pts
2026 Win Total:5.5
2026 Record: 6-0
2026 ATS: 5-0-1
2026 O/U: 3-3

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the UCLA Bruins Power Rating of +16.7 is 16.7 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. UCLA Bruins have logged 6,742 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 13,657 miles, ranking 13th heaviest in the FBS.

UCLA Bruins Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachBob Chesney
TenureFirst season
Career record132-52 (16 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorDean Kennedy
Defensive coordinatorColin Hitschler

Offense

Nico Iamaleava QB, Leland Smith WR, Landon Ellis WR, Brian Rowe WR, Semaj Morgan WR, Wayne Knight RB, Anthony Woods RB, Jordan Davis OL, Riley Robell OL, Eugene Brooks OL

Defense

Cole Martin S, Rodrick Pleasant CB, Scooter Jackson CB, Tao Johnson S, DJ Barksdale CB, Jalen Woods LB, Samuel Omosigho LB, Sahir West DL, Aiden Gobaira DL, Darold DeNgohe DL, Tyson Ford DL, Maxwell Roy DL

Special teams

Mateen Bhaghani K, Curtis Gerrand P

2025 Season in Review

Record3-9 ATS4-8 O/U6-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-10-11-0
Week 20-20-21-1
Week 30-30-31-2
Week 50-41-31-3
Week 61-42-32-3
Week 72-43-32-4
Week 83-43-42-5
Week 93-53-53-5
Week 113-63-64-5
Week 123-73-75-5
Week 133-83-86-5
Week 143-94-86-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +2.6 in the preseason and finished +16.7 after week 8, a move of +14.0 points. High +16.7 (week 8), low +2.6 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +2.6 to +16.7.

PreW8

UCLA Bruins SP+ Profile

Offence+29.051 of 138higher is better
Defence+23.954 of 138lower is better
Special teams0.071 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±5.3 pts
HFA measured-1.1 pts
HFA applied+1.5 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of -1.1 is regressed to +1.5 before it is applied, a difference of 2.5 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
California85-33-5
San Diego State21-11-1
Maryland11-00-1
Oregon61-53-3
Michigan State11-01-0
Minnesota10-10-1
USC103-75-5

No meeting on record since 2016: Purdue, Wisconsin, Nevada, Illinois, Michigan.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home33-2924-37-1 ATS · 62 games
On the road19-3425-27-1 ATS · 53 games
Neutral site1-21-2 ATS · 3 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

13,657 miles - ranked 13th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 13,657 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 013,657 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1California343 mi686 mi
Week 2San Diego StateHome686 mi
Week 3PurdueHome686 mi
Week 4Maryland2,297 mi5,280 mi
Week 5-Bye
Week 6Oregon731 mi6,742 mi
Week 7WisconsinHome6,742 mi
Week 8Michigan StateHome6,742 mi
Week 9NevadaHome6,742 mi
Week 10Minnesota1,518 mi9,777 mi
Week 11IllinoisHome9,777 mi
Week 12Michigan1,940 mi13,657 mi
Week 13USCHome13,657 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

UCLA Bruins Season Outlook

Undefeated start exceeds preseason expectations

UCLA is 6-0 for the first time since 2022 and the only remaining undefeated team in the Big Ten or SEC. First-year head coach Bob Chesney has won his first six games, the best start by a UCLA coach in program history. The Bruins have covered the spread in five of six games and are 4-0 in Big Ten play. This comes after a 2025 season in which UCLA won just three games, marking a dramatic turnaround.

Ground game and takeaway defense drive success

UCLA's identity is a downhill rushing attack led by James Madison transfer Wayne Knight, who has scored a rushing touchdown in all six games and had three touchdowns in each of the first two games. The Bruins opened the year with back-to-back 200-yard rushing performances for the first time since 2023, including 277 yards and six rushing touchdowns at California. Defensively, the secondary has been the engine, intercepting 10 passes (most in the nation) and forcing key turnovers. Ta'Shawn James had two interceptions in the fourth quarter against Cal, and the Bruins took seven turnovers off Oregon in Eugene.

Quarterback depth tested by Iamaleava injury

Starting quarterback Nico Iamaleava suffered a lower leg injury late in the first half at Oregon and did not return, and he missed the Wisconsin game. Backup Ty Dieffenbach, a transfer from Pitt via Cal Poly, stepped in and led UCLA to a 17-15 win over Oregon with a 9-yard touchdown pass to Knight, then started against Wisconsin and went 22 of 33 for 264 yards. Iamaleava had thrown for 184 yards and run for a score in the opener and added 57 rushing yards against San Diego State. His health is the biggest unknown for the second half of the season.

Slow starts and defensive line remain concerns

UCLA has developed a pattern of slow starts, going scoreless in the first half against San Diego State and allowing Cal to tie the game in the third quarter before pulling away. The rebuilt defensive line, made up almost entirely of transfers (Sahir West, Aiden Gobaira, Darold DeNgohe, Tyson Ford, Maxwell Roy), has only six games of shared experience and remains the soft spot. Wisconsin ran for 71 yards by its quarterback Colton Joseph and scored in the third quarter, showing the line can be moved. Against better opponents, these issues could prove costly.

Favorable schedule sets up potential run to November

UCLA's remaining schedule before a season-ending matchup with USC includes Michigan State, Nevada, Minnesota, Illinois and Michigan. The Bruins are 6-0 and have already beaten Oregon on the road, a top-15 team. With a healthy Iamaleava, UCLA has the talent to contend for a Big Ten title and a College Football Playoff spot. However, the margin for error is thin, as the last two wins came by a combined 12 points. The Bruins must clean up their slow starts and protect the quarterback to keep their undefeated season alive.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is UCLA Bruins's against-the-spread record in 2026?

UCLA Bruins is 5-0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.

What is UCLA Bruins's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

UCLA Bruins holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +16.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is UCLA Bruins's home field advantage rating?

UCLA Bruins's home field advantage rating is 1.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is UCLA Bruins's 2026 win total?

UCLA Bruins's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -220 over and +160 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does UCLA Bruins travel in 2026?

UCLA Bruins travels 13,657 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 13th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

UCLA Bruins: 6-0 overall, 5-0-1 ATS, power rating +16.7 (2026 records).