DraftKings · as of October 7, 2026
Oregon (power rating: 20.5) holds a 10.2-point advantage over Michigan (10.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Oregon's home field adds 1.9 points to that advantage at Autzen Stadium. The market line is Oregon -13.5 and our model shows Oregon -13.1; Model matches the market. Beyond home field, the model also charges Michigan's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Autzen Stadium shows Patchy light drizzle, 41°F, wind chill 39°F with winds of 4 mph. There is a 54% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Oregon -13.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Oregon -13.1; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.
Patchy light drizzle
41°F
| Measure | MichiganAway | OregonHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,972 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 4,118 miles |
| Season total | 3,987 miles | 12,141 miles |
| Body clock | 00:00 | 21:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Michigan travels 1,972 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.
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