Week 11
Autzen Stadium

Michigan @ Oregon , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

0-0 Big Ten Power rating: 17.2
0-0 Big Ten Power rating: 29.4

Is there value in the Michigan vs Oregon line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ORE -15.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors MICHfavors ORE ▸
12.2 › ORE
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1 MICH1 ORE2 MICH2 OREModel: ORE -15.1

Oregon (power rating: 29.4) holds a 12.2-point advantage over Michigan (17.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Oregon's home field adds 1.9 points to that advantage at Autzen Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Michigan's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Michigan vs Oregon at Autzen Stadium?

The latest reading for Autzen Stadium shows Clear, 57°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Michigan and Oregon compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Oregon (29.4) over Michigan (17.2) by 12.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Oregon brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Oregon -15.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

57°F

Rain10%
Precip0.00"
Humidity83%
Wind3 mph NNW
Gusts6 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Michigan at Oregon: aerial view of Autzen Stadium, wind from the NNW at 2.9 mph, gusting to 6.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
09:00 PM PST
Venue
Autzen Stadium
Capacity
54,000
Elevation
443 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure MichiganAway OregonHome
This week1,972 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game4,118 miles
Season total3,987 miles12,141 miles
Body clock00:0021:00
Rest7 days7 days

Michigan travels 1,972 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.