Week 13 • November 28, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
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Big Ten
Power Rank: 15.6
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Big Ten
Power Rank: 28.5

By · Last updated

Oregon (power rating: 28.5) holds a 12.9-point edge over Washington (15.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Oregon's home field adds 2.8 points to that edge at Autzen Stadium. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 09:00 PM PST
Stadium: Autzen Stadium
Capacity: 54,000
Elevation: 443 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Oregon -12.9

Line Value Calculator

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Washington
Oregon
Home field — Autzen Stadium
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect Washington vs Oregon at Autzen Stadium?

Game-time forecast at Autzen Stadium shows Partly Cloudy — 43.2°F, Wind Chill 43.2°F with winds of 0.2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

43.2°F

Wind Chill: 43.2°F
Wind: 0.2 mph SW
Gusts: 0.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 23%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Washington (Away)

This Week: 250.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 12218.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 21:00
Rest Days: 7

Oregon (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3853.5 miles
Season Total: 15995.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 21:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Washington vs Oregon?

Washington: Key Factors

Youth Movement on Offense

Washington enters the season with a revamped skill group after losing top receivers and running backs to the NFL and transfer portal. Four-star freshmen Jordan Clay, Mason James, and Trez Davis are expected to play major roles at wide receiver, while running back Brian Bonner Jr. will be part of a young rotation. The offensive line returns four starters, anchored by 5-star left tackle Kodi Greene, providing stability for quarterback Demond Williams Jr. to develop chemistry with his new targets.

Defensive Line Overhaul

The Huskies' defensive line has been completely rebuilt with junior Elinneus Davis, 4-star freshman Derek Colman-Brusa, and transfers DeSean Watts, Darin Conley, and Kai McClendon. This group is expected to be stout against the run and effective at rushing the passer, which will be critical against Washington State's offense. The linebacking corps, led by seniors Jacob Manu and Xe'ree Alexander, is one of the nation's best and should help mask any early-season growing pains up front.

Special Teams Upgrades

Washington addressed key special teams weaknesses by adding kicker Tyler Robles (91.3% field goal percentage at Texas State) and punter Hunter Green (47.0 yards per punt, 6th nationally). These upgrades could be decisive in a close rivalry game, especially if the offense takes time to gel early in the season.

Quarterback Demond Williams Jr.'s Growth

After a brief transfer portal flirtation, Williams returns as the starter with a year of experience in Jedd Fisch's system. He struggled in big moments last season, but the coaching staff expects him to take a step forward. His ability to lead the young receiving corps and make plays under pressure will be key against a Washington State team that will likely test him early.

Home Field Advantage in Rivalry Game

The Apple Cup is played at home for Washington, where they have a venue HFA of 2.7. The forecast calls for clear skies and 34°F, which could favor the Huskies' running game and defense. With a young offense, the home crowd and cold weather may help slow down Washington State's tempo and give Washington an edge in a typically intense rivalry matchup.

Oregon: Key Factors

Elite returning talent on both sides of the ball

Oregon returns nearly its entire roster from a top-10 caliber team, including quarterback Dante Moore, the dynamic running back duo of Jordon Davison and Dierre Hill Jr., and a loaded defensive front led by Bear Alexander and Matayo Uiagalelei. This continuity gives the Ducks a massive experience advantage over Boise State in Week 1.

New coordinators could cause early-season hiccups

Both offensive coordinator Drew Mehringer and defensive coordinator Chris Hampton are in their first games calling plays for Oregon. While the roster is stacked, the team may need time to adjust to new schemes and play-calling, which could lead to some disjointed moments against a disciplined Boise State squad.

Questionable kicking game adds uncertainty

Oregon's placekicking and punting units are entirely rebuilt, with portal additions Keaton Emmett (kicker) and Bailey Ettridge (punter) competing for starting roles. In a potentially close game, special teams miscues could be costly, especially with the cold weather forecast (32°F) affecting ball handling and kicks.

Home-field advantage and cold weather favor Oregon

Playing at Autzen Stadium with a strong home-field advantage (2.8 HFA) and in overcast, 32°F conditions should benefit the Ducks, who are accustomed to the Pacific Northwest climate. Boise State, traveling from a warmer environment, may struggle to adapt, giving Oregon an edge in the trenches and on special teams.

Boise State's lack of game film creates scouting challenge

With no prior games this season, Oregon's coaching staff has limited recent tape on Boise State's personnel and schemes. This uncertainty could lead to conservative play-calling early on, as the Ducks try to establish their own rhythm while adjusting to the Broncos' game plan on the fly.

What do the matchup numbers say?

Washington travels 251 miles to this game, a short road trip.

How do Washington and Oregon compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Oregon (28.5) over Washington (15.6) by 12.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Oregon brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates Oregon as the stronger team by 12.9 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.