Week 6 • October 10, 2026, 04:00 AM UTC
0-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 1.4
@
0-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 28.5

By · Last updated

Oregon (power rating: 28.5) holds a 27.1-point edge over UCLA (1.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Oregon's home field adds 2.8 points to that edge at Autzen Stadium. UCLA travels 731 miles for this game — check the travel panel for rest and body clock context. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 09:00 PM PDT
Stadium: Autzen Stadium
Capacity: 54,000
Elevation: 443 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Oregon -27.1

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Oregon +27.1
Implied value
Current line — edit to adjust
Oregon perspective
Power ratings — edit to adjust
UCLA
Oregon
Home field — Autzen Stadium
Weather: Mist
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect UCLA vs Oregon at Autzen Stadium?

Game-time forecast at Autzen Stadium shows Mist — 43.7°F, Wind Chill 43.7°F with winds of 0.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Mist

Mist

43.7°F

Wind Chill: 43.7°F
Wind: 0.4 mph SW
Gusts: 1.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 22%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UCLA (Away)

This Week: 731.4 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 6011.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 21:00
Rest Days: 14

Oregon (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 4427.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 21:00
Rest Days: 14

What are the key factors for UCLA vs Oregon?

UCLA: Key Factors

New-look roster cohesion under first-year coach

UCLA enters the season with a largely overhauled roster under new head coach Bob Chesney, including key transfers from James Madison and other programs. The team's success hinges on how quickly these new pieces—especially along both lines and at receiver—can gel in a challenging road opener at Cal.

Nico Iamaleava's dual-threat ability is the offensive engine

Quarterback Nico Iamaleava returns as the centerpiece, combining a 64.4% completion rate with 505 rushing yards last season. His mobility and willingness to take hits are critical, but scouts question his downfield accuracy under pressure. Cal's defense will likely focus on containing his runs and forcing him to throw from the pocket.

Defensive strength in secondary vs. Cal's passing attack

UCLA's secondary is the defense's strongest unit, with returning safety Cole Martin, cornerback Rodrick Pleasant, and nickel Scooter Jackson, plus impact transfers like Utah safety Tao Johnson. This group should be well-equipped to handle Cal's passing game, especially if the Bruins can generate pressure with a rebuilt defensive line.

Weather and travel factors favor a low-scoring, grind-it-out game

The Bruins travel 343 miles to Berkeley, facing a forecast of light rain, 51°F, and 9 mph wind. These conditions typically suppress scoring and favor teams that can run the ball effectively. UCLA's running back duo of Wayne Knight and Anthony Woods will be crucial in controlling the clock and keeping the game manageable.

Special teams reliability provides a safety net

Placekicker Mateen Bhaghani has made 83% of his career field goals, including 39-of-45 inside 50 yards, while punter Curtis Gerrand averaged 43 yards per punt last season. In what could be a tight, low-scoring affair, field position and kicking accuracy may prove decisive for UCLA.

Oregon: Key Factors

Elite returning talent on both sides of the ball

Oregon returns nearly its entire roster from a top-10 caliber team, including quarterback Dante Moore, the dynamic running back duo of Jordon Davison and Dierre Hill Jr., and a loaded defensive front led by Bear Alexander and Matayo Uiagalelei. This continuity gives the Ducks a massive experience advantage over Boise State in Week 1.

New coordinators could cause early-season hiccups

Both offensive coordinator Drew Mehringer and defensive coordinator Chris Hampton are in their first games calling plays for Oregon. While the roster is stacked, the team may need time to adjust to new schemes and play-calling, which could lead to some disjointed moments against a disciplined Boise State squad.

Questionable kicking game adds uncertainty

Oregon's placekicking and punting units are entirely rebuilt, with portal additions Keaton Emmett (kicker) and Bailey Ettridge (punter) competing for starting roles. In a potentially close game, special teams miscues could be costly, especially with the cold weather forecast (32°F) affecting ball handling and kicks.

Home-field advantage and cold weather favor Oregon

Playing at Autzen Stadium with a strong home-field advantage (2.8 HFA) and in overcast, 32°F conditions should benefit the Ducks, who are accustomed to the Pacific Northwest climate. Boise State, traveling from a warmer environment, may struggle to adapt, giving Oregon an edge in the trenches and on special teams.

Boise State's lack of game film creates scouting challenge

With no prior games this season, Oregon's coaching staff has limited recent tape on Boise State's personnel and schemes. This uncertainty could lead to conservative play-calling early on, as the Ducks try to establish their own rhythm while adjusting to the Broncos' game plan on the fly.

What do the matchup numbers say?

UCLA travels 731 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

How do UCLA and Oregon compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Oregon (28.5) over UCLA (1.4) by 27.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Oregon brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates Oregon as the stronger team by 27.1 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.