Boise State Broncos

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Boise State Broncos is 0-0 on the season, 0-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +5.4. Boise State Broncos enters the season with a power rating of +5.4, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Boise State Broncos head to Oregon next in Week 1. In 2025, Boise State Broncos went 9-4 overall, 8-4-1 against the spread, and 6-7 on totals.

Conference: Pac-12 Conference
Stadium: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Power Rating: +5.4
HFA Rating:2.9 pts
Record: 0-0
ATS: 0-0
O/U: 0-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 0 of 2026 the Boise State Broncos Power Rating of +5.4 is 5.2 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Boise State Broncos have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,447 miles, ranking 81th heaviest in the FBS.

2026 Season Travel Profile

6,447 miles - ranked 81th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0Bye
Week 1Oregon345 mi690 mi
Week 2MemphisHome690 mi
Week 3South DakotaHome690 mi
Week 4Western Michigan1,545 mi3,780 mi
Week 5Utah StateHome3,780 mi
Week 6Fresno State505 mi4,790 mi
Week 7Bye
Week 8Washington State221 mi5,232 mi
Week 9Texas StateHome5,232 mi
Week 10Colorado State608 mi6,447 mi
Week 11Oregon StateHome6,447 mi
Week 12San Diego StateHome6,447 mi
Week 13Bye
Week 14Bye
Week 15Bye
Week 16Bye

Boise State Broncos Season Outlook

Quarterback Experience and Passing Game Growth

Maddux Madsen enters his third season as the starter, and the preseason outlook highlighted his 0-4 record against Power 4 opponents. The Broncos lost their top four pass-catchers from 2025, but junior wide receiver Cameron Bates and tight end Matt Wagner are expected to step up. The passing game's development will be critical, especially after a tough Week 1 test at Oregon, where the Broncos were 24.5-point underdogs. How Madsen and his new targets perform against elite competition will define the ceiling of this offense.

Run Game as the Offensive Foundation

Boise State returns its two leading rushers from 2025, Dylan Riley and Sire Gaines, who combined for 1,977 yards last season. The preseason analysis emphasized that consistent run game success is key to opening up the pass for Madsen. The Broncos' ability to control the line of scrimmage and lean on their experienced backfield will be vital, especially in conference play where they are the Pac-12 favorite. The run game's effectiveness against Oregon's front seven will be an early indicator of its reliability.

Defensive Line and Edge Rush Rebound

Sack production dropped from 55 in 2024 to 27 in 2025, but the Broncos return edge rushers Max Stege and Jayden Virgin-Morgan, who led the team in tackles for loss (13) and sacks (6) last season. The preseason outlook expects that number to jump back up. The defensive line's ability to generate pressure without relying on blitzes will be crucial, especially with a rebuilt secondary. The Week 1 matchup against Oregon's offensive line will be an early test of this unit's resurgence.

Rebuilt Secondary and Linebacker Concerns

Boise State lost nearly its entire secondary from 2025, but former Notre Dame transfer Jaden Mickey is expected to lead the defense at cornerback and nickel. The linebacker group is also new, with Boen Phelps providing speed and coverage but potential tackling issues. Missed tackles at the first and second levels were costly in 2025, and the Broncos will need quick improvement from these units to avoid big plays. The Oregon game will expose any early-season vulnerabilities in the back seven.

Special Teams Consistency and Return Game

Placekicker Colton Boomer and punter Oscar Doyle return, providing stability after special teams were a sore point in 2025. Boomer hit all three of his attempts from 50-plus yards and has emphasized accuracy improvements. The main issue last year was a lack of explosiveness in the return game, but speedy receivers Cameron Bates, Quinton Brown, and Terrious Favors are candidates to handle returns. Improved field position and reliable kicking could be a subtle but important edge in close conference games.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Boise State Broncos's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Boise State Broncos is 0-0 against the spread in the 2026 season.

What is Boise State Broncos's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Boise State Broncos holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +5.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Boise State Broncos's home field advantage rating?

Boise State Broncos's home field advantage rating is 2.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

How many miles does Boise State Broncos travel in 2026?

Boise State Broncos travels 6,447 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 81th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Boise State Broncos: 0-0 overall, 0-0 ATS, power rating +5.4.