26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
3
Final
39
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
27
Final
34
17
Final
34
31
Final
30
42
Final
19
16
Final
21
13
Final
21
Michigan Wolverines is 4-3 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +10.5. Michigan Wolverines is covering at just 35% since the start of last season (7-13), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The Michigan Wolverines head to Rutgers next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Michigan Wolverines Power Rating of +10.5 is 10.5 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Michigan Wolverines have logged 1,021 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,280 miles, ranking 83rd heaviest in the FBS.
Bryce Underwood QB, Jordan Marshall RB, Savion Hiter RB, Andrew Marsh WR, JJ Buchanan WR, Jaime Ffrench WR, Salesi Moa WR
John Henry Daley EDGE, Trey Pierce DL, Enow Etta DL, Jyaire Hill CB, Zeke Berry CB, Rod Moore S, Smith Snowden CB, Chris Bracy S
Cameron Brown P, Trey Butkowski K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 5-2 | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 6-2 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Week 10 | 7-2 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Week 12 | 8-2 | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 9-2 | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 9-3 | 4-8 | 5-7 |
| Postseason | 9-4 | 4-9 | 6-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +17.2 in the preseason and finished +10.5 after week 8, a move of -6.7 points. High +18.3 (week 1), low +10.3 (week 6).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +0.5 is regressed to +1.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.4 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Oklahoma | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Iowa | 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Minnesota | 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Penn State | 8 | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Indiana | 9 | 7-2 | 4-4-1 |
| Rutgers | 8 | 8-0 | 3-4-1 |
| Michigan State | 10 | 7-3 | 4-5-1 |
| Oregon | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ohio State | 9 | 4-5 | 6-3 |
No meeting on record since 2016: UTEP, UCLA.
Week 06,280 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Western Michigan | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Oklahoma | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | UTEP | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 4 | Iowa | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 5 | Minnesota | 510 mi | 1,021 mi |
| Week 6 | - | Bye | |
| Week 7 | Penn State | Home | 1,021 mi |
| Week 8 | Indiana | Home | 1,021 mi |
| Week 9 | Rutgers | 497 mi | 2,015 mi |
| Week 10 | Michigan State | Home | 2,015 mi |
| Week 11 | Oregon | 1,972 mi | 5,959 mi |
| Week 12 | UCLA | Home | 5,959 mi |
| Week 13 | Ohio State | 161 mi | 6,280 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Kyle Whittingham's first season in Ann Arbor has been a rollercoaster, but the identity is clear: Michigan wins with defense and special teams while the offense searches for consistency. The Wolverines are 4-2, with both losses coming by a combined four points (20-19 to Iowa, 20-14 at Minnesota). The defense, coordinated by Jay Hill, has been the backbone, holding Oklahoma to 10 points, Western Michigan to four field goals, and Iowa to 20. The offense, however, has been a work in progress, ranking among the nation's most inconsistent units. The season began with a controversial 13-12 escape over Western Michigan that required a second-chance Hail Mary, and the offense has yet to find a reliable rhythm against Power-conference competition.
Bryce Underwood, the highly touted sophomore, has struggled with turnovers and consistency. He threw two interceptions in the first half against Penn State, prompting Whittingham to bench him in favor of Tommy Carr, the grandson of legendary coach Lloyd Carr. Carr provided an immediate spark, leading Michigan to a 21-18 win over Penn State with a 12-yard touchdown run and efficient play. Underwood's season has been rocky: he has six interceptions to five passing touchdowns and lost key fumbles. Whittingham has not named a starter for the upcoming game against Indiana, leaving the position in flux. The development of either quarterback is critical for Michigan's offense to reach its potential.
Despite the offensive inconsistencies, Michigan's defense has been elite for most of the season. Edge rusher John Henry Daley anchors a disruptive front, and the secondary, featuring Jyaire Hill, Zeke Berry, Rod Moore, and transfers Smith Snowden and Chris Bracy, has made key plays. The unit forced a late interception against Oklahoma that set up the go-ahead score and held Penn State to 18 points. Special teams have also been a strength: kicker Trey Butkowski is reliable, and returner Andrew Marsh is a threat. However, the defense has shown vulnerability against mobile quarterbacks and in the red zone, and the linebacker corps remains thin. For Michigan to contend, the defense must continue to dominate and create turnovers.
Michigan's biggest vulnerability has been self-inflicted mistakes. The Wolverines have fumbled six times in three games (losing four) and have committed double-digit penalties in multiple games, including 11 for 90 yards against Oklahoma. These errors have kept lesser opponents within reach and stalled offensive drives. Against Iowa, a costly unnecessary roughness penalty on third down extended the Hawkeyes' game-winning drive. Whittingham has called the turnover issue a 'big concern,' and it remains the top priority to fix. If Michigan can clean up its ball security and discipline, its talent and defense could lead to a strong finish. If not, the Wolverines will continue to play close games against inferior teams.
At 4-2, Michigan has already navigated a challenging early slate that included Oklahoma, Iowa, and Minnesota. The remaining schedule features home games against Indiana, Wisconsin, and Ohio State, plus road trips to Michigan State and Maryland. The Wolverines' defense gives them a chance in every game, but the offense must improve to compete with the likes of Indiana and Ohio State. The quarterback situation is the biggest question mark; whether Underwood regains his form or Carr takes over, Michigan needs more production through the air. With a bye week already used, the team has time to regroup. A 9-3 or 10-2 season is still within reach, but it will require cleaner play and better quarterback decisions. The ceiling remains high, but the margin for error is slim.
Michigan Wolverines is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.
Michigan Wolverines holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +10.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Michigan Wolverines's home field advantage rating is 1.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Michigan Wolverines's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 8.5 wins, priced at +135 over and -170 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Michigan Wolverines travels 6,280 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 83rd heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Michigan Wolverines: 4-3 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating +10.5 (2026 records).