USC Trojans

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USC Trojans is 2-0 on the season, 1-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +17.4. USC Trojans enters the season with a power rating of +17.4, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The USC Trojans host Louisiana next in Week 2. In 2025, USC Trojans went 9-4 overall, 5-8 against the spread, and 7-6 on totals.

Conference: Big Ten Conference
Stadium: Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
Power Rating (most current): +17.4
HFA Rating:3.1 pts
2026 Win Total:8.5
2026 Record: 2-0
2026 ATS: 1-1
2026 O/U: 1-1

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the USC Trojans Power Rating of +17.4 is 17.4 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. USC Trojans have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 16,323 miles, ranking 8th heaviest in the FBS.

USC Trojans Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachLincoln Riley
Tenure4 seasons
Record at school35-18
Career record90-28 (9 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorLuke Huard
Defensive coordinatorGary Patterson

Offense

Jayden Maiava QB, Waymond Jordan RB, King Miller RB, Elijah Paige OL, Justin Tauanuu OL, Tanook Hines WR, Terrell Anderson WR, Boobie Feaster WR, Mark Bowman TE, Trent Mosley WR

Defense

Braylan Shelby EDGE, Kameryn Crawford EDGE, Jide Abasiri DL, Jahkeem Stewart DL, Zuriah Fisher EDGE, Marcelles Williams CB, Prophet Brown CB, Chasen Johnson CB, Jontez Williams CB, Christian Pierce S, Alex Graham CB

Special teams

Ryon Sayeri K, Lachlan Carrigan P

2025 Season in Review

Record9-4 ATS5-8 O/U7-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-01-0
Week 22-02-02-0
Week 33-02-12-1
Week 44-02-23-1
Week 54-12-34-1
Week 75-13-34-2
Week 85-24-34-3
Week 106-24-44-4
Week 117-25-45-4
Week 128-25-55-5
Week 138-35-66-5
Week 149-35-76-6
Postseason9-45-87-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +16.8 in the preseason and finished +17.4 after week 2, a move of +0.6 points. High +17.4 (week 2), low +16.2 (week 1).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from +16.8 to +17.4.

PreW2

USC Trojans SP+ Profile

Offence+37.76 of 138higher is better
Defence+20.529 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.392 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±1.8 pts
HFA measured+4.0 pts
HFA applied+3.1 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.9 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
San José State22-01-1
Fresno State22-01-1
Rutgers11-01-0
Oregon51-42-3
Washington41-31-3
Penn State21-11-1
Wisconsin11-01-0
Ohio State10-10-1
Maryland10-10-1
UCLA107-35-5

No meeting on record since 2016: Louisiana, Indiana.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home47-1532-29-1 ATS · 62 games
On the road26-2419-30-1 ATS · 50 games
Neutral site5-63-8 ATS · 11 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

16,323 miles - ranked 8th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 16,323 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 016,323 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0San José StateHome0 mi
Week 1Fresno StateHome0 mi
Week 2LouisianaHome0 mi
Week 3Rutgers2,431 mi4,862 mi
Week 4OregonHome4,862 mi
Week 5WashingtonHome4,862 mi
Week 6Penn State2,252 mi9,367 mi
Week 7-Bye
Week 8Wisconsin1,674 mi12,714 mi
Week 9Ohio StateHome12,714 mi
Week 10-Bye
Week 11Indiana1,792 mi16,298 mi
Week 12MarylandHome16,298 mi
Week 13UCLA12 mi16,323 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

USC Trojans Season Outlook

Maiava and the passing game are humming

Jayden Maiava has been nearly flawless through two games, completing 48 of 54 passes for 635 yards and five touchdowns with no interceptions. His accuracy and ability to throw on the run have made the offense explosive, and he has already built strong chemistry with freshman receiver Trent Mosley, who has 11 catches for 222 yards and three scores. Kayden Dixon-Wyatt has also emerged as a reliable target with 102 yards on six catches in Week 1. The receiving corps was a question mark after losing top targets, but the new group has answered early, even with Tanook Hines and Terrell Anderson missing time due to injury.

Defense shows promise under Patterson

Gary Patterson's defense has looked much improved after a shaky fourth quarter in the opener. Against Fresno State, the Trojans allowed just 116 total yards, recorded two safeties, forced two turnovers, and held the Bulldogs to 2.6 yards per play. Kennedy Urlacher, a Notre Dame transfer, had two sacks and a safety, while Prophet Brown, returning from injury, grabbed his first career interception. The unit has depth up front with players like Braylan Shelby and Jide Abasiri, and the secondary has held up well. The late-game lapses against San Jose State were against backups, but the starters have set a high standard.

Run game and offensive line provide a steady base

The offensive line, with all five starters returning, has controlled the line of scrimmage in both games. Waymond Jordan and King Miller have combined for over 200 rushing yards and three touchdowns, averaging more than five yards per carry. This ground game has allowed USC to build leads and protect Maiava, and it will be crucial in tougher Big Ten matchups later in the season. The line's experience and depth are a major strength, and Lincoln Riley has emphasized that closing out tough games will depend on this group.

Injuries and depth are a concern

USC has been without several key contributors early, including defensive tackle Jahkeem Stewart and receivers Tanook Hines and Terrell Anderson. Their absence has not hurt against weaker opponents, but their return is important for the schedule ahead. The fourth-quarter defensive collapse against San Jose State exposed some depth issues, as backups struggled to maintain the standard set by the starters. The Trojans will need those injured players back and the young reserves to develop quickly before facing tougher competition.

Schedule sets up for a defining stretch

USC has opened with two comfortable home wins, but the real tests begin soon. After hosting Louisiana, the Trojans face No. 2 Oregon on Sept. 26, which will be their first true measuring stick. The team has playoff aspirations, and the early performance suggests they have the talent to compete, but the defense's ability to hold up against elite offenses and the receiving corps' consistency against better secondaries will be key. The next few weeks will determine if USC is a legitimate contender or just a good team that beats up on lesser opponents.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is USC Trojans's against-the-spread record in 2026?

USC Trojans is 1-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.

What is USC Trojans's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

USC Trojans holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +17.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is USC Trojans's home field advantage rating?

USC Trojans's home field advantage rating is 3.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is USC Trojans's 2026 win total?

USC Trojans's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 8.5 wins, priced at -115 over and -115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does USC Trojans travel in 2026?

USC Trojans travels 16,323 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 8th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

USC Trojans: 2-0 overall, 1-1 ATS, power rating +17.4 (2026 records).