Wisconsin Badgers

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Wisconsin Badgers is 4-2 on the season, 3-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +10.9. Wisconsin Badgers holds a power rating of +10.9, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Wisconsin Badgers host USC next in Week 8.

Conference: Big Ten Conference
Stadium: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
Power Rating (most current): +10.9
HFA Rating:2.0 pts
2026 Win Total:6.5
2026 Record: 4-2
2026 ATS: 3-3
2026 O/U: 2-4

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Wisconsin Badgers Power Rating of +10.9 is 10.9 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Wisconsin Badgers have logged 4,795 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,951 miles, ranking 71st heaviest in the FBS.

Wisconsin Badgers Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachLuke Fickell
Tenure3+ seasons
Record at school17-21
Career record80-46 (10+ seasons)
Offensive coordinatorJeff Grimes
Defensive coordinatorMike Tressel

Offense

Colton Joseph QB, Abu Sama III RB, Bryan Jackson II RB

Defense

Cooper Catalano LB, Mason Posa LB, Cai Bates CB, Eric Fletcher Jr. CB, Javan Robinson CB, Bryce West CB, Marvin Burks Jr. S, Nicolas Clayton EDGE, Jaylen Williams EDGE, Sebastian Cheeks LB

Special teams

Gavin Lahm K

2025 Season in Review

Record4-8 ATS6-6 O/U2-10
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-10-1
Week 22-01-11-1
Week 32-11-22-1
Week 42-21-32-2
Week 62-32-32-3
Week 72-42-42-4
Week 82-52-52-5
Week 92-63-52-6
Week 113-64-52-7
Week 123-75-52-8
Week 134-76-52-9
Week 144-86-62-10

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +4.7 in the preseason and finished +10.9 after week 8, a move of +6.2 points. High +12.2 (week 6), low +4.1 (week 3).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +4.7 to +10.9.

PreW8

Wisconsin Badgers SP+ Profile

Offence+20.6105 of 138higher is better
Defence+18.522 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.397 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±4.8 pts
HFA measured+0.3 pts
HFA applied+2.0 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +0.3 is regressed to +2.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.7 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Notre Dame10-10-1
Eastern Michigan11-01-0
Penn State40-40-4
Michigan State32-12-1
USC10-10-1
Iowa105-54-6
Rutgers44-02-2
Maryland32-12-1
Purdue88-06-2
Minnesota105-53-6-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Western Illinois, UCLA.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home46-1928-36-1 ATS · 65 games
On the road25-2227-20 ATS · 47 games
Neutral site7-68-5 ATS · 13 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

6,951 miles - ranked 71st heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 6,951 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 06,951 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Notre Dame120 mi239 mi
Week 2Western IllinoisHome239 mi
Week 3Eastern MichiganHome239 mi
Week 4Penn State615 mi1,469 mi
Week 5Michigan StateHome1,469 mi
Week 6-Bye
Week 7UCLA1,663 mi4,795 mi
Week 8USCHome4,795 mi
Week 9Iowa147 mi5,088 mi
Week 10RutgersHome5,088 mi
Week 11Maryland709 mi6,505 mi
Week 12Purdue223 mi6,951 mi
Week 13MinnesotaHome6,951 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Wisconsin Badgers Season Outlook

Transfer overhaul yields immediate dividends

Wisconsin entered 2026 with a new quarterback (Colton Joseph) and a rebuilt offensive line, and the early returns have been promising. Joseph has accounted for 11 total touchdowns (7 passing, 4 rushing) and has shown dual-threat ability that was missing last season. The offensive line, maligned in 2025, has paved the way for a rushing attack that averages 4.8 yards per carry. The Badgers have already surpassed their 2025 win total and are bowl eligible.

Defense and special teams lead the way

The Badgers' defense has been the team's backbone, allowing just 19.3 points per game (26th nationally). Linebackers Cooper Catalano and Mason Posa have been playmakers, combining for 5.5 tackles for loss and 3 takeaways. The secondary, led by transfers Cai Bates and Eric Fletcher Jr., has been solid. Special teams have been a genuine edge: Wisconsin has blocked three punts (Liam Danitz, Carson Van Dinter) and kicker Gavin Lahm has been reliable, hitting 8 of 10 field goals, including a 51-yarder.

Offensive consistency remains a concern

Despite the improvements, the offense has been inconsistent, particularly against Power 4 competition. In the two games against ranked opponents (Notre Dame, Penn State), Wisconsin averaged just 18.5 points and turned the ball over five times. Quarterback Colton Joseph has shown a tendency to force throws, throwing five interceptions in those two games. The running game, while improved, has been streaky; Abu Sama III has been limited by injuries, and the Badgers managed just 117 rushing yards against Eastern Michigan without him.

Road woes and discipline issues persist

Wisconsin is 1-1 on the road this season, but the loss at UCLA exposed familiar problems: penalties and situational football. The Badgers committed 10 penalties for 102 yards against the Bruins and were just 1 of 6 on third down in the first half. Head coach Luke Fickell acknowledged the lack of discipline, and it's a trend that must be corrected for Wisconsin to contend in the Big Ten. The Badgers are 3-3 against the spread, failing to cover as a favorite in two of their three wins.

Schedule offers opportunities down the stretch

Wisconsin has already navigated the toughest part of its schedule, with road games at Penn State and UCLA behind them. The remaining slate includes home games against USC, Minnesota, and Illinois, and a road trip to Iowa. The Badgers are 2-1 in Big Ten play and control their destiny in the West division. With a defense that keeps them in games and an offense that has shown flashes, Wisconsin has a realistic path to eight or nine wins and a solid bowl game. However, the margin for error is thin, and the team must clean up its mistakes to reach that ceiling.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Wisconsin Badgers's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Wisconsin Badgers is 3-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.

What is Wisconsin Badgers's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Wisconsin Badgers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +10.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Wisconsin Badgers's home field advantage rating?

Wisconsin Badgers's home field advantage rating is 2.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Wisconsin Badgers's 2026 win total?

Wisconsin Badgers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Wisconsin Badgers travel in 2026?

Wisconsin Badgers travels 6,951 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 71st heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Wisconsin Badgers: 4-2 overall, 3-3 ATS, power rating +10.9 (2026 records).