Wisconsin Badgers

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Wisconsin Badgers is 0-1 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +4.4. Wisconsin Badgers enters the season with a power rating of +4.4, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Wisconsin Badgers host Western Illinois next in Week 2. In 2025, Wisconsin Badgers went 4-8 overall, 6-6 against the spread, and 2-10 on totals.

Conference: Big Ten Conference
Stadium: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
Power Rating (most current): +4.4
HFA Rating:2.0 pts
2026 Win Total:6.5
2026 Record: 0-1
2026 ATS: 0-1
2026 O/U: 1-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Wisconsin Badgers Power Rating of +4.4 is 4.4 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Wisconsin Badgers have logged 239 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,951 miles, ranking 71st heaviest in the FBS.

Wisconsin Badgers Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachLuke Fickell
Tenure3+ seasons
Record at school17-21
Career record80-46 (10+ seasons)
Offensive coordinatorJeff Grimes
Defensive coordinatorMike Tressel

Offense

Colton Joseph QB, Abu Sama III RB, Bryan Jackson II RB

Defense

Cooper Catalano LB, Mason Posa LB, Cai Bates CB, Eric Fletcher Jr. CB, Javan Robinson CB, Bryce West CB, Marvin Burks Jr. S, Nicolas Clayton EDGE, Jaylen Williams EDGE, Sebastian Cheeks LB

Special teams

Gavin Lahm K

2025 Season in Review

Record4-8 ATS6-6 O/U2-10
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-10-1
Week 22-01-11-1
Week 32-11-22-1
Week 42-21-32-2
Week 62-32-32-3
Week 72-42-42-4
Week 82-52-52-5
Week 92-63-52-6
Week 113-64-52-7
Week 123-75-52-8
Week 134-76-52-9
Week 144-86-62-10

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +4.7 in the preseason and finished +4.4 after week 2, a move of -0.4 points. High +6.6 (week 1), low +4.4 (week 2).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from +4.7 to +4.4.

PreW2

Wisconsin Badgers SP+ Profile

Offence+20.6105 of 138higher is better
Defence+18.522 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.397 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±4.8 pts
HFA measured+0.3 pts
HFA applied+2.0 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +0.3 is regressed to +2.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.7 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Notre Dame10-10-1
Eastern Michigan11-01-0
Penn State40-40-4
Michigan State32-12-1
USC10-10-1
Iowa105-54-6
Rutgers44-02-2
Maryland32-12-1
Purdue88-06-2
Minnesota105-53-6-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Western Illinois, UCLA.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home46-1928-36-1 ATS · 65 games
On the road25-2227-20 ATS · 47 games
Neutral site7-68-5 ATS · 13 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

6,951 miles - ranked 71st heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 6,951 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 06,951 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Notre Dame120 mi239 mi
Week 2Western IllinoisHome239 mi
Week 3Eastern MichiganHome239 mi
Week 4Penn State615 mi1,469 mi
Week 5Michigan StateHome1,469 mi
Week 6-Bye
Week 7UCLA1,663 mi4,795 mi
Week 8USCHome4,795 mi
Week 9Iowa147 mi5,088 mi
Week 10RutgersHome5,088 mi
Week 11Maryland709 mi6,505 mi
Week 12Purdue223 mi6,951 mi
Week 13MinnesotaHome6,951 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Wisconsin Badgers Season Outlook

A Rebuilt Roster Shows Promise but Not Yet Results

Wisconsin entered 2026 with a roster transformed by 34 transfers, including quarterback Colton Joseph from Old Dominion, running backs Abu Sama III and Bryan Jackson II, and a revamped secondary. The season opener against Notre Dame at Lambeau Field showed the Badgers are more competitive than in recent years, as they trailed just 13-10 at halftime. However, the final 41-13 loss exposed the gap between potential and execution, especially in the second half when Notre Dame scored touchdowns on all three of its possessions. The Badgers' two turnovers directly led to Irish scores, underscoring the need for mistake-free play against elite competition.

Colton Joseph Brings Mobility but Faces a Steep Learning Curve

Joseph, the Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year at Old Dominion, was brought in to fix a passing attack that ranked last in the Power 4 in 2025. His rushing ability is a clear upgrade, as he had more runs of 10-plus yards last season than the entire Wisconsin team. But against Notre Dame, he struggled to find consistency, throwing an interception that was returned for a touchdown. The rebuilt offensive line, which failed to establish a rhythm against a top-tier Irish front, remains a major concern. Joseph's dual-threat skills could keep drives alive, but he must protect the ball and adapt to facing defenses far stronger than those in the Sun Belt.

Defense Has Talent but Needs to Create More Impact Plays

The Badgers' defense was expected to be a strength, with returning freshmen standouts Cooper Catalano and Mason Posa at linebacker, plus a deep transfer cornerback group featuring Cai Bates, Eric Fletcher Jr., Javan Robinson, and Bryce West. In the opener, the unit held Notre Dame to just 13 points in the first half, but they could not sustain that pressure after halftime. The pass rush, led by homegrown edges Nicolas Clayton and Jaylen Williams, failed to generate consistent heat on Irish quarterback CJ Carr. To compete in the Big Ten, this defense must force turnovers and get off the field on third downs, areas that were lacking against Notre Dame.

Special Teams Show Signs of Life, but Punt Returns Remain a Weakness

Kicker Gavin Lahm, who redshirted last season, made two field goals in the opener, providing a reliable scoring option that Wisconsin lacked in 2025. The addition of a full-time special teams coordinator, Bob Ligashesky, has already shown dividends in the kicking game. However, the Badgers still need to improve their punt return unit, which averaged just 7.8 yards per return last season and often opted for fair catches. Against Notre Dame, the Badgers did not generate any explosive returns, and field position was a factor in the second-half collapse. Better returns could give the offense shorter fields and ease the burden on a still-developing unit.

The Road Ahead: A Favorable Schedule Offers a Chance to Rebuild Confidence

After the tough opener, Wisconsin faces Western Illinois at home, a game where they are heavy favorites and should have a chance to iron out offensive issues. The rest of the schedule is more favorable than last year, but the Badgers still have to prove they can beat quality Big Ten opponents. The key will be whether the offensive line can gel, Joseph can limit turnovers, and the defense can maintain its first-half intensity for full games. If those pieces come together, Wisconsin could exceed expectations and post a winning record, but they are not yet contenders for the Big Ten title. The next few weeks will be critical for building momentum and confidence.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Wisconsin Badgers's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Wisconsin Badgers is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.

What is Wisconsin Badgers's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Wisconsin Badgers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +4.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Wisconsin Badgers's home field advantage rating?

Wisconsin Badgers's home field advantage rating is 2.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Wisconsin Badgers's 2026 win total?

Wisconsin Badgers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Wisconsin Badgers travel in 2026?

Wisconsin Badgers travels 6,951 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 71st heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Wisconsin Badgers: 0-1 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +4.4 (2026 records).