Wisconsin Badgers is 0-1 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +4.4. Wisconsin Badgers enters the season with a power rating of +4.4, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Wisconsin Badgers host Western Illinois next in Week 2. In 2025, Wisconsin Badgers went 4-8 overall, 6-6 against the spread, and 2-10 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Wisconsin Badgers Power Rating of +4.4 is 4.4 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Wisconsin Badgers have logged 239 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,951 miles, ranking 71st heaviest in the FBS.
Colton Joseph QB, Abu Sama III RB, Bryan Jackson II RB
Cooper Catalano LB, Mason Posa LB, Cai Bates CB, Eric Fletcher Jr. CB, Javan Robinson CB, Bryce West CB, Marvin Burks Jr. S, Nicolas Clayton EDGE, Jaylen Williams EDGE, Sebastian Cheeks LB
Gavin Lahm K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2-6 |
| Week 11 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 2-7 |
| Week 12 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Week 13 | 4-7 | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Week 14 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 2-10 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +4.7 in the preseason and finished +4.4 after week 2, a move of -0.4 points. High +6.6 (week 1), low +4.4 (week 2).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +0.3 is regressed to +2.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.7 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Eastern Michigan | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Penn State | 4 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Michigan State | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| USC | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Iowa | 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Rutgers | 4 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Maryland | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Purdue | 8 | 8-0 | 6-2 |
| Minnesota | 10 | 5-5 | 3-6-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Western Illinois, UCLA.
Week 06,951 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Notre Dame | 120 mi | 239 mi |
| Week 2 | Western Illinois | Home | 239 mi |
| Week 3 | Eastern Michigan | Home | 239 mi |
| Week 4 | Penn State | 615 mi | 1,469 mi |
| Week 5 | Michigan State | Home | 1,469 mi |
| Week 6 | - | Bye | |
| Week 7 | UCLA | 1,663 mi | 4,795 mi |
| Week 8 | USC | Home | 4,795 mi |
| Week 9 | Iowa | 147 mi | 5,088 mi |
| Week 10 | Rutgers | Home | 5,088 mi |
| Week 11 | Maryland | 709 mi | 6,505 mi |
| Week 12 | Purdue | 223 mi | 6,951 mi |
| Week 13 | Minnesota | Home | 6,951 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Wisconsin entered 2026 with a roster transformed by 34 transfers, including quarterback Colton Joseph from Old Dominion, running backs Abu Sama III and Bryan Jackson II, and a revamped secondary. The season opener against Notre Dame at Lambeau Field showed the Badgers are more competitive than in recent years, as they trailed just 13-10 at halftime. However, the final 41-13 loss exposed the gap between potential and execution, especially in the second half when Notre Dame scored touchdowns on all three of its possessions. The Badgers' two turnovers directly led to Irish scores, underscoring the need for mistake-free play against elite competition.
Joseph, the Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year at Old Dominion, was brought in to fix a passing attack that ranked last in the Power 4 in 2025. His rushing ability is a clear upgrade, as he had more runs of 10-plus yards last season than the entire Wisconsin team. But against Notre Dame, he struggled to find consistency, throwing an interception that was returned for a touchdown. The rebuilt offensive line, which failed to establish a rhythm against a top-tier Irish front, remains a major concern. Joseph's dual-threat skills could keep drives alive, but he must protect the ball and adapt to facing defenses far stronger than those in the Sun Belt.
The Badgers' defense was expected to be a strength, with returning freshmen standouts Cooper Catalano and Mason Posa at linebacker, plus a deep transfer cornerback group featuring Cai Bates, Eric Fletcher Jr., Javan Robinson, and Bryce West. In the opener, the unit held Notre Dame to just 13 points in the first half, but they could not sustain that pressure after halftime. The pass rush, led by homegrown edges Nicolas Clayton and Jaylen Williams, failed to generate consistent heat on Irish quarterback CJ Carr. To compete in the Big Ten, this defense must force turnovers and get off the field on third downs, areas that were lacking against Notre Dame.
Kicker Gavin Lahm, who redshirted last season, made two field goals in the opener, providing a reliable scoring option that Wisconsin lacked in 2025. The addition of a full-time special teams coordinator, Bob Ligashesky, has already shown dividends in the kicking game. However, the Badgers still need to improve their punt return unit, which averaged just 7.8 yards per return last season and often opted for fair catches. Against Notre Dame, the Badgers did not generate any explosive returns, and field position was a factor in the second-half collapse. Better returns could give the offense shorter fields and ease the burden on a still-developing unit.
After the tough opener, Wisconsin faces Western Illinois at home, a game where they are heavy favorites and should have a chance to iron out offensive issues. The rest of the schedule is more favorable than last year, but the Badgers still have to prove they can beat quality Big Ten opponents. The key will be whether the offensive line can gel, Joseph can limit turnovers, and the defense can maintain its first-half intensity for full games. If those pieces come together, Wisconsin could exceed expectations and post a winning record, but they are not yet contenders for the Big Ten title. The next few weeks will be critical for building momentum and confidence.
Wisconsin Badgers is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Wisconsin Badgers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +4.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Wisconsin Badgers's home field advantage rating is 2.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Wisconsin Badgers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Wisconsin Badgers travels 6,951 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 71st heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Wisconsin Badgers: 0-1 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +4.4 (2026 records).