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Wisconsin Badgers is 4-2 on the season, 3-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +10.9. Wisconsin Badgers holds a power rating of +10.9, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Wisconsin Badgers host USC next in Week 8.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Wisconsin Badgers Power Rating of +10.9 is 10.9 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Wisconsin Badgers have logged 4,795 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,951 miles, ranking 71st heaviest in the FBS.
Colton Joseph QB, Abu Sama III RB, Bryan Jackson II RB
Cooper Catalano LB, Mason Posa LB, Cai Bates CB, Eric Fletcher Jr. CB, Javan Robinson CB, Bryce West CB, Marvin Burks Jr. S, Nicolas Clayton EDGE, Jaylen Williams EDGE, Sebastian Cheeks LB
Gavin Lahm K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2-6 |
| Week 11 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 2-7 |
| Week 12 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Week 13 | 4-7 | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Week 14 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 2-10 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +4.7 in the preseason and finished +10.9 after week 8, a move of +6.2 points. High +12.2 (week 6), low +4.1 (week 3).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +0.3 is regressed to +2.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.7 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Eastern Michigan | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Penn State | 4 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Michigan State | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| USC | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Iowa | 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Rutgers | 4 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Maryland | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Purdue | 8 | 8-0 | 6-2 |
| Minnesota | 10 | 5-5 | 3-6-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Western Illinois, UCLA.
Week 06,951 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Notre Dame | 120 mi | 239 mi |
| Week 2 | Western Illinois | Home | 239 mi |
| Week 3 | Eastern Michigan | Home | 239 mi |
| Week 4 | Penn State | 615 mi | 1,469 mi |
| Week 5 | Michigan State | Home | 1,469 mi |
| Week 6 | - | Bye | |
| Week 7 | UCLA | 1,663 mi | 4,795 mi |
| Week 8 | USC | Home | 4,795 mi |
| Week 9 | Iowa | 147 mi | 5,088 mi |
| Week 10 | Rutgers | Home | 5,088 mi |
| Week 11 | Maryland | 709 mi | 6,505 mi |
| Week 12 | Purdue | 223 mi | 6,951 mi |
| Week 13 | Minnesota | Home | 6,951 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Wisconsin entered 2026 with a new quarterback (Colton Joseph) and a rebuilt offensive line, and the early returns have been promising. Joseph has accounted for 11 total touchdowns (7 passing, 4 rushing) and has shown dual-threat ability that was missing last season. The offensive line, maligned in 2025, has paved the way for a rushing attack that averages 4.8 yards per carry. The Badgers have already surpassed their 2025 win total and are bowl eligible.
The Badgers' defense has been the team's backbone, allowing just 19.3 points per game (26th nationally). Linebackers Cooper Catalano and Mason Posa have been playmakers, combining for 5.5 tackles for loss and 3 takeaways. The secondary, led by transfers Cai Bates and Eric Fletcher Jr., has been solid. Special teams have been a genuine edge: Wisconsin has blocked three punts (Liam Danitz, Carson Van Dinter) and kicker Gavin Lahm has been reliable, hitting 8 of 10 field goals, including a 51-yarder.
Despite the improvements, the offense has been inconsistent, particularly against Power 4 competition. In the two games against ranked opponents (Notre Dame, Penn State), Wisconsin averaged just 18.5 points and turned the ball over five times. Quarterback Colton Joseph has shown a tendency to force throws, throwing five interceptions in those two games. The running game, while improved, has been streaky; Abu Sama III has been limited by injuries, and the Badgers managed just 117 rushing yards against Eastern Michigan without him.
Wisconsin is 1-1 on the road this season, but the loss at UCLA exposed familiar problems: penalties and situational football. The Badgers committed 10 penalties for 102 yards against the Bruins and were just 1 of 6 on third down in the first half. Head coach Luke Fickell acknowledged the lack of discipline, and it's a trend that must be corrected for Wisconsin to contend in the Big Ten. The Badgers are 3-3 against the spread, failing to cover as a favorite in two of their three wins.
Wisconsin has already navigated the toughest part of its schedule, with road games at Penn State and UCLA behind them. The remaining slate includes home games against USC, Minnesota, and Illinois, and a road trip to Iowa. The Badgers are 2-1 in Big Ten play and control their destiny in the West division. With a defense that keeps them in games and an offense that has shown flashes, Wisconsin has a realistic path to eight or nine wins and a solid bowl game. However, the margin for error is thin, and the team must clean up its mistakes to reach that ceiling.
Wisconsin Badgers is 3-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.
Wisconsin Badgers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +10.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Wisconsin Badgers's home field advantage rating is 2.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Wisconsin Badgers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Wisconsin Badgers travels 6,951 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 71st heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Wisconsin Badgers: 4-2 overall, 3-3 ATS, power rating +10.9 (2026 records).