Notre Dame Fighting Irish

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish is 6-1 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +24.9. Notre Dame Fighting Irish holds a power rating of +24.9, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish head to Navy next in Week 9.

Conference: NCAA Division I FBS independent schools
Stadium: Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN
Power Rating (most current): +24.9
HFA Rating:2.2 pts
2026 Win Total:11.5
2026 Record: 6-1
2026 ATS: 4-3
2026 O/U: 5-2

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Notre Dame Fighting Irish Power Rating of +24.9 is 24.9 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Notre Dame Fighting Irish have logged 4,387 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,979 miles, ranking 70th heaviest in the FBS.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachMarcus Freeman
Tenure4+ seasons
Record43-12
Offensive coordinatorMike Denbrock
Defensive coordinatorChris Ash

Offense

CJ Carr QB, Jordan Faison WR, Jaden Greathouse WR, Micah Gilbert WR, Mylan Graham WR, Quincy Porter WR, Guerby Lambert OL, Will Black OL, Anthonie Knapp OL, Ashton Craig OL, Charles Jagusah OL, Aneyas Williams RB, Nolan James Jr. RB

Defense

Drayk Bowen LB, Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa LB, Leonard Moore CB, Adon Shuler S, Brauntae Johnson S, Francis Brewu DL, Tionne Gray DL, Jason Onye DL, Elijah Hughes DL, Boubacar Traore EDGE, Bryce Young EDGE, Keon Keeley EDGE

Special teams

Spencer Porath K, Jasper Scaife P

2025 Season in Review

Record10-2 ATS6-6 O/U6-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-10-10-1
Week 30-20-21-1
Week 41-21-22-1
Week 52-22-23-1
Week 63-22-33-2
Week 74-23-33-3
Week 85-23-43-4
Week 106-23-53-5
Week 117-24-54-5
Week 128-25-54-6
Week 139-26-55-6
Week 1410-26-66-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +26.7 in the preseason and finished +24.9 after week 8, a move of -1.8 points. High +28.0 (week 7), low +24.9 (week 8).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +26.7 to +24.9.

PreW8

Notre Dame Fighting Irish SP+ Profile

Offence+40.23 of 138higher is better
Defence+14.69 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.339 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±1.5 pts
HFA measured+1.4 pts
HFA applied+2.2 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.9 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Wisconsin11-01-0
Michigan State21-11-1
Purdue33-03-0
North Carolina44-04-0
Stanford96-35-4
BYU11-01-0
Navy98-16-2-1
Miami31-21-2
Boston College55-04-1
Syracuse55-04-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Rice, SMU.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home54-1137-28 ATS · 65 games
On the road30-1225-16-1 ATS · 42 games
Neutral site17-617-5-1 ATS · 23 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

6,979 miles - ranked 70th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 6,979 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 06,979 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Wisconsin214 mi429 mi
Week 2RiceHome429 mi
Week 3Michigan StateHome429 mi
Week 4Purdue94 mi617 mi
Week 5North Carolina556 mi1,730 mi
Week 6StanfordHome1,730 mi
Week 7BYU1,328 mi4,387 mi
Week 8-Bye
Week 9Navy771 mi5,930 mi
Week 10MiamiHome5,930 mi
Week 11Boston CollegeHome5,930 mi
Week 12SMUHome5,930 mi
Week 13Syracuse525 mi6,979 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Season Outlook

Unbeaten and Unbothered

Notre Dame sits at 6-0, with every win coming by double digits, extending a streak that now stands at 16 games dating back to last season. That run is the second-longest of its kind in program history, trailing only Army's 21-game stretch from 1944 to 1946. The Irish have matched and surpassed Knute Rockne's 12-game double-digit win streak from 1921-22, and they are doing it with a balanced attack that has scored 41, 52, 27, 49, 37, and 58 points. The defense has been equally dominant, ranking No. 1 nationally in total defense for much of the year and posting a shutout against Rice. This is a team that has answered every test so far, but the schedule is about to stiffen with a trip to BYU.

Carr's Command

Quarterback CJ Carr has been the engine of the offense, throwing for 1,378 yards and 17 touchdowns against just one interception through six games. His efficiency has been remarkable: he completed 16 of 20 passes for 253 yards and four scores against Rice, and he has consistently made the right decisions in the run-pass option game. Carr's ability to distribute to a deep receiving corps, including Jordan Faison (who had eight catches for 132 yards and two scores at North Carolina), Micah Gilbert (eight catches for 170 yards against Michigan State), and Jaden Greathouse, has made the Irish passing attack nearly impossible to defend. The preseason scouting report noted that opponents would have to choose between stopping the run and defending isolation routes, and Carr has made them pay for either choice.

Ground Game Finds Its Footing

After losing first-round picks Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price, there were questions about whether Notre Dame could run the ball effectively. Early on, those questions lingered: the Irish managed just 111 yards on 32 carries against Wisconsin. But the running game has since found its rhythm, culminating in a season-high 241 yards at North Carolina and a 181-yard outburst from freshman Jonaz Walton against Stanford, including a 97-yard touchdown run that was the third-longest play in Notre Dame Stadium history. Walton's performance was a program record for a true freshman, and he joins Aneyas Williams and Nolan James Jr. to give the Irish a three-headed backfield that can wear down defenses. The offensive line, led by tackles Guerby Lambert and Will Black and guard Anthonie Knapp, has been the catalyst, and the return of center Ashton Craig and guard Charles Jagusah has solidified the front.

Defense Creates Chaos

Notre Dame's defense has been a turnover machine, forcing four fumbles against Rice (turning them into 21 points) and adding two interceptions against Michigan State. The unit has scored defensive touchdowns in multiple games, including a scoop-and-score by Boubacar Traore against Rice and a pick-six by DJ McKinney against Wisconsin. Adon Shuler has been the tone-setter with his physical play, while Drayk Bowen and Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa (when healthy) anchor the linebacker corps. The defensive line, despite losing Jason Onye to injury in the opener, has generated consistent pressure, with Traore emerging as a star. The back seven has dealt with injuries to Brauntae Johnson and Viliamu-Asa, but the depth has held up, limiting opponents to 8.3 points per game through the first four contests before a slightly tougher outing at North Carolina.

What Lies Ahead

The Irish have passed every test so far, but the schedule now presents a significant challenge with a road trip to No. 8 BYU, a game that will serve as a true barometer of Notre Dame's national championship credentials. The Cougars are 5-0 and have covered every spread, and the environment in Provo will be hostile. Beyond that, the Irish still have to navigate the rest of their schedule, but they have positioned themselves as a legitimate contender. The key will be maintaining the defensive dominance and continuing to develop the running game to complement Carr's arm. If they can do that, the talk of a College Football Playoff berth will only grow louder. The preseason goal of leaving no doubt is well within reach.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Notre Dame Fighting Irish's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Notre Dame Fighting Irish is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.

What is Notre Dame Fighting Irish's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Notre Dame Fighting Irish holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +24.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Notre Dame Fighting Irish's home field advantage rating?

Notre Dame Fighting Irish's home field advantage rating is 2.2 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Notre Dame Fighting Irish's 2026 win total?

Notre Dame Fighting Irish's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 11.5 wins, priced at +150 over and -205 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Notre Dame Fighting Irish travel in 2026?

Notre Dame Fighting Irish travels 6,979 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 70th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 6-1 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating +24.9 (2026 records).