Purdue Boilermakers

By · Last updated

Purdue Boilermakers is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -3.0. Purdue Boilermakers enters the season with a power rating of -3.0, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Purdue Boilermakers host Wake Forest next in Week 2. In 2025, Purdue Boilermakers went 2-10 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 4-8 on totals.

Conference: Big Ten Conference
Stadium: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
Power Rating (most current): -3.0
HFA Rating:1.9 pts
2026 Win Total:3.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 0-1
2026 O/U: 1-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Purdue Boilermakers Power Rating of -3.0 is 3.0 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Purdue Boilermakers have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,321 miles, ranking 100th heaviest in the FBS.

Purdue Boilermakers Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachBarry Odom
Tenure1 season
Record at school2-10
Career record46-43 (7 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorJosh Henson
Defensive coordinatorKevin Kane

Offense

Ryan Browne QB, George Burhenn TE, Joey Tanona OL, Fame Ijeboi RB, Jerrick Gibson RB, Travis Terrell Jr. WR

Defense

Charles Correa LB, Hudauri Hines CB, Don Saunders CB, Elo Modozie EDGE, Jeremy Lewis EDGE, TJ Lindsey DL, Ian Jeffries DL

2025 Season in Review

Record2-10 ATS5-7 O/U4-8
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 22-01-10-2
Week 32-12-10-3
Week 42-22-21-3
Week 62-32-32-3
Week 72-43-32-4
Week 82-53-42-5
Week 92-63-52-6
Week 102-74-52-7
Week 112-85-52-8
Week 122-95-63-8
Week 142-105-74-8

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -5.1 in the preseason and finished -3.0 after week 2, a move of +2.0 points. High -3.0 (week 2), low -5.1 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from -5.1 to -3.0.

PreW2

Purdue Boilermakers SP+ Profile

Offence+23.886 of 138higher is better
Defence+27.480 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.611 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±4.0 pts
HFA measured+0.5 pts
HFA applied+1.9 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +0.5 is regressed to +1.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.4 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Indiana State22-02-0
Notre Dame30-30-3
Illinois107-36-3-1
Minnesota93-65-4
Washington10-10-1
Penn State40-41-3
Maryland32-12-1
Iowa84-44-3-1
Wisconsin80-82-6
Indiana95-47-2

No meeting on record since 2016: Wake Forest, UCLA.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home27-3625-37-1 ATS · 63 games
On the road16-3327-21-1 ATS · 49 games
Neutral site3-44-3 ATS · 7 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,321 miles - ranked 100th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,321 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,321 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Indiana StateHome0 mi
Week 2Wake ForestHome0 mi
Week 3UCLA1,765 mi3,530 mi
Week 4Notre DameHome3,530 mi
Week 5Illinois73 mi3,677 mi
Week 6MinnesotaHome3,677 mi
Week 7WashingtonHome3,677 mi
Week 8-Bye
Week 9Penn State477 mi4,631 mi
Week 10MarylandHome4,631 mi
Week 11Iowa256 mi5,143 mi
Week 12WisconsinHome5,143 mi
Week 13Indiana89 mi5,321 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Purdue Boilermakers Season Outlook

A Promising Start, But Red Zone Woes Linger

Purdue opened the season with a 44-19 win over Indiana State, but the final score flatters a performance that was uneven for much of the first half. Quarterback Ryan Browne threw for a career-high 317 yards and three touchdowns, completing 23 of 29 passes, and the offense racked up 523 total yards. However, the Boilermakers stalled inside the opponent's 25-yard line three times in the opening half, settling for field goals instead of touchdowns. Freshman kicker Jacobo Echeverria Lozano converted all three attempts, but Browne acknowledged the need to be better in the red zone. The slow start is a concern for a team that has struggled to score consistently in recent years, and it will need to be cleaned up before facing tougher competition.

New Faces Provide Immediate Impact

The influx of transfer talent was on full display in the opener. Wide receiver Asaad Waseem, a Florida Atlantic transfer, caught six passes for 107 yards in his Purdue debut, while running back Fame Ijeboi, a Minnesota transfer, rushed for 87 yards and a touchdown. Ijeboi also had a 63-yard touchdown run nullified by penalty, suggesting his production could have been even greater. Cornerback Don Saunders, a Utah transfer, made a highlight-reel play with a 35-yard interception return for a touchdown in the fourth quarter. These early contributions validate the coaching staff's decision to bring in 29 portal players and four junior college transfers, though the team's overall depth and chemistry will be tested as the season progresses.

Defense Shows Signs of Life, But Questions Remain

Purdue's defense, which has allowed at least 30 points per game in each of the last three seasons, showed improvement in the opener by holding Indiana State to 19 points, though the Sycamores did score two fourth-quarter touchdowns after the game was decided. The unit forced a key turnover with Saunders' interception return, and the pass rush, led by Georgia transfer Elo Modozie and junior college transfer Jeremy Lewis, had a soft landing against an FCS opponent. However, Indiana State still managed 284 total yards, and the secondary, which features six portal additions, remains unproven. The real test will come against Big Ten offenses, and defensive coordinator Kevin Kane, who is under pressure after a disastrous tenure under the previous coach, will need to see more consistent pressure and coverage.

The Streak and the Road Ahead

Purdue's 18-game Big Ten losing streak and 3-21 overall record over the past two seasons are a heavy burden, but the non-conference win over Indiana State provides a small measure of relief. The Boilermakers have not beaten a Power 4 opponent in two years, and their next game against Wake Forest will be a sterner test. Head coach Barry Odom has set a goal of bowl eligibility, and the schedule is considered easier than last year's, but the team must prove it can compete against higher-level competition. The offensive line, which added six portal linemen and a new coach, will be key, as will the development of a consistent receiving threat. The psychological weight of ending the Big Ten skid looms, and a strong showing in the coming weeks could build momentum for a program desperate for a turnaround.

Special Teams and Discipline Need Refinement

While the kicking game was a bright spot with Lozano making all three field goals, the Boilermakers were penalized nine times for 85 yards, a sign of sloppiness that could prove costly in closer games. The return game, expected to be boosted by Jackson State transfer Travis Terrell Jr., did not produce any game-breaking plays in the opener. Special teams coach James Shibest is expected to provide a schematic edge, but the unit is still sorting out its kicker and punter roles. Purdue's ability to limit penalties and make plays in the return game will be crucial as the competition stiffens, especially in Big Ten play where margins are often thin.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Purdue Boilermakers's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Purdue Boilermakers is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.

What is Purdue Boilermakers's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Purdue Boilermakers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -3.0, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Purdue Boilermakers's home field advantage rating?

Purdue Boilermakers's home field advantage rating is 1.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Purdue Boilermakers's 2026 win total?

Purdue Boilermakers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 3.5 wins, priced at +110 over and -140 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Purdue Boilermakers travel in 2026?

Purdue Boilermakers travels 5,321 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 100th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Purdue Boilermakers: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating -3.0 (2026 records).