Purdue Boilermakers is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -3.0. Purdue Boilermakers enters the season with a power rating of -3.0, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Purdue Boilermakers host Wake Forest next in Week 2. In 2025, Purdue Boilermakers went 2-10 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 4-8 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Purdue Boilermakers Power Rating of -3.0 is 3.0 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Purdue Boilermakers have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,321 miles, ranking 100th heaviest in the FBS.
Ryan Browne QB, George Burhenn TE, Joey Tanona OL, Fame Ijeboi RB, Jerrick Gibson RB, Travis Terrell Jr. WR
Charles Correa LB, Hudauri Hines CB, Don Saunders CB, Elo Modozie EDGE, Jeremy Lewis EDGE, TJ Lindsey DL, Ian Jeffries DL
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Week 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2-6 |
| Week 10 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 2-7 |
| Week 11 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Week 12 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Week 14 | 2-10 | 5-7 | 4-8 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -5.1 in the preseason and finished -3.0 after week 2, a move of +2.0 points. High -3.0 (week 2), low -5.1 (the preseason).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +0.5 is regressed to +1.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.4 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana State | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Notre Dame | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Illinois | 10 | 7-3 | 6-3-1 |
| Minnesota | 9 | 3-6 | 5-4 |
| Washington | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Penn State | 4 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Maryland | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Iowa | 8 | 4-4 | 4-3-1 |
| Wisconsin | 8 | 0-8 | 2-6 |
| Indiana | 9 | 5-4 | 7-2 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Wake Forest, UCLA.
Week 05,321 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Indiana State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Wake Forest | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | UCLA | 1,765 mi | 3,530 mi |
| Week 4 | Notre Dame | Home | 3,530 mi |
| Week 5 | Illinois | 73 mi | 3,677 mi |
| Week 6 | Minnesota | Home | 3,677 mi |
| Week 7 | Washington | Home | 3,677 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | Penn State | 477 mi | 4,631 mi |
| Week 10 | Maryland | Home | 4,631 mi |
| Week 11 | Iowa | 256 mi | 5,143 mi |
| Week 12 | Wisconsin | Home | 5,143 mi |
| Week 13 | Indiana | 89 mi | 5,321 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Purdue opened the season with a 44-19 win over Indiana State, but the final score flatters a performance that was uneven for much of the first half. Quarterback Ryan Browne threw for a career-high 317 yards and three touchdowns, completing 23 of 29 passes, and the offense racked up 523 total yards. However, the Boilermakers stalled inside the opponent's 25-yard line three times in the opening half, settling for field goals instead of touchdowns. Freshman kicker Jacobo Echeverria Lozano converted all three attempts, but Browne acknowledged the need to be better in the red zone. The slow start is a concern for a team that has struggled to score consistently in recent years, and it will need to be cleaned up before facing tougher competition.
The influx of transfer talent was on full display in the opener. Wide receiver Asaad Waseem, a Florida Atlantic transfer, caught six passes for 107 yards in his Purdue debut, while running back Fame Ijeboi, a Minnesota transfer, rushed for 87 yards and a touchdown. Ijeboi also had a 63-yard touchdown run nullified by penalty, suggesting his production could have been even greater. Cornerback Don Saunders, a Utah transfer, made a highlight-reel play with a 35-yard interception return for a touchdown in the fourth quarter. These early contributions validate the coaching staff's decision to bring in 29 portal players and four junior college transfers, though the team's overall depth and chemistry will be tested as the season progresses.
Purdue's defense, which has allowed at least 30 points per game in each of the last three seasons, showed improvement in the opener by holding Indiana State to 19 points, though the Sycamores did score two fourth-quarter touchdowns after the game was decided. The unit forced a key turnover with Saunders' interception return, and the pass rush, led by Georgia transfer Elo Modozie and junior college transfer Jeremy Lewis, had a soft landing against an FCS opponent. However, Indiana State still managed 284 total yards, and the secondary, which features six portal additions, remains unproven. The real test will come against Big Ten offenses, and defensive coordinator Kevin Kane, who is under pressure after a disastrous tenure under the previous coach, will need to see more consistent pressure and coverage.
Purdue's 18-game Big Ten losing streak and 3-21 overall record over the past two seasons are a heavy burden, but the non-conference win over Indiana State provides a small measure of relief. The Boilermakers have not beaten a Power 4 opponent in two years, and their next game against Wake Forest will be a sterner test. Head coach Barry Odom has set a goal of bowl eligibility, and the schedule is considered easier than last year's, but the team must prove it can compete against higher-level competition. The offensive line, which added six portal linemen and a new coach, will be key, as will the development of a consistent receiving threat. The psychological weight of ending the Big Ten skid looms, and a strong showing in the coming weeks could build momentum for a program desperate for a turnaround.
While the kicking game was a bright spot with Lozano making all three field goals, the Boilermakers were penalized nine times for 85 yards, a sign of sloppiness that could prove costly in closer games. The return game, expected to be boosted by Jackson State transfer Travis Terrell Jr., did not produce any game-breaking plays in the opener. Special teams coach James Shibest is expected to provide a schematic edge, but the unit is still sorting out its kicker and punter roles. Purdue's ability to limit penalties and make plays in the return game will be crucial as the competition stiffens, especially in Big Ten play where margins are often thin.
Purdue Boilermakers is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Purdue Boilermakers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -3.0, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Purdue Boilermakers's home field advantage rating is 1.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Purdue Boilermakers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 3.5 wins, priced at +110 over and -140 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Purdue Boilermakers travels 5,321 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 100th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Purdue Boilermakers: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating -3.0 (2026 records).