Purdue Boilermakers

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Purdue Boilermakers is 3-4 on the season, 3-3-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +2.5. Purdue Boilermakers's games are going over the total at 86% this season (6-1), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Purdue Boilermakers head to Penn State next in Week 9.

Conference: Big Ten Conference
Stadium: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
Power Rating (most current): +2.5
HFA Rating:1.9 pts
2026 Win Total:3.5
2026 Record: 3-4
2026 ATS: 3-3-1
2026 O/U: 6-1

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Purdue Boilermakers Power Rating of +2.5 is 2.5 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Purdue Boilermakers have logged 3,677 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,321 miles, ranking 100th heaviest in the FBS.

Purdue Boilermakers Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachBarry Odom
Tenure1 season
Record at school2-10
Career record46-43 (7 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorJosh Henson
Defensive coordinatorKevin Kane

Offense

Ryan Browne QB, George Burhenn TE, Joey Tanona OL, Fame Ijeboi RB, Jerrick Gibson RB, Travis Terrell Jr. WR

Defense

Charles Correa LB, Hudauri Hines CB, Don Saunders CB, Elo Modozie EDGE, Jeremy Lewis EDGE, TJ Lindsey DL, Ian Jeffries DL

2025 Season in Review

Record2-10 ATS5-7 O/U4-8
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 22-01-10-2
Week 32-12-10-3
Week 42-22-21-3
Week 62-32-32-3
Week 72-43-32-4
Week 82-53-42-5
Week 92-63-52-6
Week 102-74-52-7
Week 112-85-52-8
Week 122-95-63-8
Week 142-105-74-8

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -5.1 in the preseason and finished +2.5 after week 8, a move of +7.6 points. High +4.2 (week 7), low -5.1 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -5.1 to +2.5.

PreW8

Purdue Boilermakers SP+ Profile

Offence+23.886 of 138higher is better
Defence+27.480 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.611 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±4.0 pts
HFA measured+0.5 pts
HFA applied+1.9 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +0.5 is regressed to +1.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.4 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Indiana State22-02-0
Notre Dame30-30-3
Illinois107-36-3-1
Minnesota93-65-4
Washington10-10-1
Penn State40-41-3
Maryland32-12-1
Iowa84-44-3-1
Wisconsin80-82-6
Indiana95-47-2

No meeting on record since 2016: Wake Forest, UCLA.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home27-3625-37-1 ATS · 63 games
On the road16-3327-21-1 ATS · 49 games
Neutral site3-44-3 ATS · 7 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,321 miles - ranked 100th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,321 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,321 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Indiana StateHome0 mi
Week 2Wake ForestHome0 mi
Week 3UCLA1,765 mi3,530 mi
Week 4Notre DameHome3,530 mi
Week 5Illinois73 mi3,677 mi
Week 6MinnesotaHome3,677 mi
Week 7WashingtonHome3,677 mi
Week 8-Bye
Week 9Penn State477 mi4,631 mi
Week 10MarylandHome4,631 mi
Week 11Iowa256 mi5,143 mi
Week 12WisconsinHome5,143 mi
Week 13Indiana89 mi5,321 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Purdue Boilermakers Season Outlook

Bowl Hopes Alive After Streak-Snapping Wins

Purdue sits at 3-3 after six games, already matching its win total from a 2-10 campaign in 2025. The Boilermakers snapped a 19-game Big Ten losing streak with a 24-17 road win at Illinois in Week 5, then followed it with a 41-13 home rout of Minnesota in Week 6. Those two victories have put Purdue in position to compete for a bowl berth, a goal head coach Barry Odom set in the preseason. The schedule ahead includes winnable games, and the team's confidence is clearly rising.

Fame Ijeboi Powers the Offense

Minnesota transfer running back Fame Ijeboi has been the engine of Purdue's offense. He ran for 114 yards and three touchdowns in the double-overtime loss to Wake Forest, then exploded for a career-high 195 yards and three more scores in the win over Minnesota. Ijeboi's vision and balance have been on display all season, and he credited the offensive line for his success. With a beefed-up line that added six portal transfers and a new position coach, the Boilermakers have a reliable red-zone identity: hand the ball to Ijeboi.

Ryan Browne's Year 2 Leap

Quarterback Ryan Browne has taken a significant step forward in his second year as the starter. He set a career high with 317 passing yards in the opener against Indiana State, then broke it with 329 yards against Wake Forest. Browne has thrown for multiple touchdowns in several games and has largely avoided turnovers. He also adds value as a runner, as shown by his 81 rushing yards and a touchdown against Minnesota. The preseason concerns about drops and a lack of an alpha receiver have been mitigated by the emergence of Asaad Waseem and De'Nylon Morrissette.

Defense Shows Signs of Life After Early Struggles

Purdue's defense was historically bad through the first four games, allowing 38 points to Wake Forest, 52 to UCLA, and 49 to Notre Dame. However, the unit turned a corner in the last two weeks. Against Illinois, the Boilermakers stopped the Illini on a missed field goal and a fourth-down pass in the red zone, key plays in a 24-17 win. Then against Minnesota, Purdue limited the Gophers to 13 points and just 25 rushing yards. The return of linebacker Charles Correa and improved play from the secondary have been crucial. If this trend continues, Purdue can compete in the Big Ten.

Special Teams and Kicking Game a Strength

Freshman kicker Jacobo Echeverria Lozano has been a revelation, making 11 of 12 field goals this season, including three in the win over Illinois. His consistency has provided points in an area that was a question mark in the preseason. The return game, led by diminutive transfer Travis Terrell Jr., has also shown flashes. Special teams coach James Shibest's unit has provided a schematic edge, and in the win over Minnesota, a muffed punt set up a short touchdown. Continued strong play in this phase will be vital in close games down the stretch.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Purdue Boilermakers's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Purdue Boilermakers is 3-3-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.

What is Purdue Boilermakers's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Purdue Boilermakers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +2.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Purdue Boilermakers's home field advantage rating?

Purdue Boilermakers's home field advantage rating is 1.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Purdue Boilermakers's 2026 win total?

Purdue Boilermakers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 3.5 wins, priced at +110 over and -140 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Purdue Boilermakers travel in 2026?

Purdue Boilermakers travels 5,321 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 100th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Purdue Boilermakers: 3-4 overall, 3-3-1 ATS, power rating +2.5 (2026 records).