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Purdue Boilermakers is 3-4 on the season, 3-3-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +2.5. Purdue Boilermakers's games are going over the total at 86% this season (6-1), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Purdue Boilermakers head to Penn State next in Week 9.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Purdue Boilermakers Power Rating of +2.5 is 2.5 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Purdue Boilermakers have logged 3,677 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,321 miles, ranking 100th heaviest in the FBS.
Ryan Browne QB, George Burhenn TE, Joey Tanona OL, Fame Ijeboi RB, Jerrick Gibson RB, Travis Terrell Jr. WR
Charles Correa LB, Hudauri Hines CB, Don Saunders CB, Elo Modozie EDGE, Jeremy Lewis EDGE, TJ Lindsey DL, Ian Jeffries DL
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Week 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2-6 |
| Week 10 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 2-7 |
| Week 11 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Week 12 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Week 14 | 2-10 | 5-7 | 4-8 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -5.1 in the preseason and finished +2.5 after week 8, a move of +7.6 points. High +4.2 (week 7), low -5.1 (the preseason).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +0.5 is regressed to +1.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.4 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana State | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Notre Dame | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Illinois | 10 | 7-3 | 6-3-1 |
| Minnesota | 9 | 3-6 | 5-4 |
| Washington | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Penn State | 4 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Maryland | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Iowa | 8 | 4-4 | 4-3-1 |
| Wisconsin | 8 | 0-8 | 2-6 |
| Indiana | 9 | 5-4 | 7-2 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Wake Forest, UCLA.
Week 05,321 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Indiana State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Wake Forest | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | UCLA | 1,765 mi | 3,530 mi |
| Week 4 | Notre Dame | Home | 3,530 mi |
| Week 5 | Illinois | 73 mi | 3,677 mi |
| Week 6 | Minnesota | Home | 3,677 mi |
| Week 7 | Washington | Home | 3,677 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | Penn State | 477 mi | 4,631 mi |
| Week 10 | Maryland | Home | 4,631 mi |
| Week 11 | Iowa | 256 mi | 5,143 mi |
| Week 12 | Wisconsin | Home | 5,143 mi |
| Week 13 | Indiana | 89 mi | 5,321 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Purdue sits at 3-3 after six games, already matching its win total from a 2-10 campaign in 2025. The Boilermakers snapped a 19-game Big Ten losing streak with a 24-17 road win at Illinois in Week 5, then followed it with a 41-13 home rout of Minnesota in Week 6. Those two victories have put Purdue in position to compete for a bowl berth, a goal head coach Barry Odom set in the preseason. The schedule ahead includes winnable games, and the team's confidence is clearly rising.
Minnesota transfer running back Fame Ijeboi has been the engine of Purdue's offense. He ran for 114 yards and three touchdowns in the double-overtime loss to Wake Forest, then exploded for a career-high 195 yards and three more scores in the win over Minnesota. Ijeboi's vision and balance have been on display all season, and he credited the offensive line for his success. With a beefed-up line that added six portal transfers and a new position coach, the Boilermakers have a reliable red-zone identity: hand the ball to Ijeboi.
Quarterback Ryan Browne has taken a significant step forward in his second year as the starter. He set a career high with 317 passing yards in the opener against Indiana State, then broke it with 329 yards against Wake Forest. Browne has thrown for multiple touchdowns in several games and has largely avoided turnovers. He also adds value as a runner, as shown by his 81 rushing yards and a touchdown against Minnesota. The preseason concerns about drops and a lack of an alpha receiver have been mitigated by the emergence of Asaad Waseem and De'Nylon Morrissette.
Purdue's defense was historically bad through the first four games, allowing 38 points to Wake Forest, 52 to UCLA, and 49 to Notre Dame. However, the unit turned a corner in the last two weeks. Against Illinois, the Boilermakers stopped the Illini on a missed field goal and a fourth-down pass in the red zone, key plays in a 24-17 win. Then against Minnesota, Purdue limited the Gophers to 13 points and just 25 rushing yards. The return of linebacker Charles Correa and improved play from the secondary have been crucial. If this trend continues, Purdue can compete in the Big Ten.
Freshman kicker Jacobo Echeverria Lozano has been a revelation, making 11 of 12 field goals this season, including three in the win over Illinois. His consistency has provided points in an area that was a question mark in the preseason. The return game, led by diminutive transfer Travis Terrell Jr., has also shown flashes. Special teams coach James Shibest's unit has provided a schematic edge, and in the win over Minnesota, a muffed punt set up a short touchdown. Continued strong play in this phase will be vital in close games down the stretch.
Purdue Boilermakers is 3-3-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.
Purdue Boilermakers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +2.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Purdue Boilermakers's home field advantage rating is 1.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Purdue Boilermakers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 3.5 wins, priced at +110 over and -140 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Purdue Boilermakers travels 5,321 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 100th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Purdue Boilermakers: 3-4 overall, 3-3-1 ATS, power rating +2.5 (2026 records).