Iowa Hawkeyes

By · Last updated

Iowa Hawkeyes is 5-2 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +14.5. Iowa Hawkeyes is covering the spread at 65% since the start of last season (13-7), well above the FBS average. The Iowa Hawkeyes host Wisconsin next in Week 9.

Conference: Big Ten Conference
Stadium: Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA
Power Rating (most current): +14.5
HFA Rating:2.1 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 5-2
2026 ATS: 4-3
2026 O/U: 3-4

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Iowa Hawkeyes Power Rating of +14.5 is 14.5 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Iowa Hawkeyes have logged 4,415 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,226 miles, ranking 102nd heaviest in the FBS.

Iowa Hawkeyes Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachKirk Ferentz
Tenure27 seasons
Record at school213-128
Career record225-149 (30 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorTim Lester
Defensive coordinatorPhil Parker

Offense

Jeremy Hecklinski QB, Hank Brown QB, DJ Vonnahme TE, Kamari Moulton RB

Defense

Tyler Brown S, Zach Lutmer S

Special teams

Eli Ozick K, Boston Everitt P, Tanner Philpott P

2025 Season in Review

Record9-4 ATS9-4 O/U6-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-10-1
Week 21-10-20-1
Week 32-11-21-1
Week 43-12-22-1
Week 53-23-22-2
Week 74-24-22-3
Week 85-24-33-3
Week 96-25-34-3
Week 116-36-34-4
Week 126-47-34-5
Week 137-47-44-6
Week 148-48-45-6
Postseason9-49-46-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +14.7 in the preseason and finished +14.5 after week 8, a move of -0.2 points. High +16.1 (week 2), low +12.8 (week 6).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +14.7 to +14.5.

PreW8

Iowa Hawkeyes SP+ Profile

Offence+30.338 of 138higher is better
Defence+17.317 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.64 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.5 pts
HFA measured+1.2 pts
HFA applied+2.1 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.9 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Northern Illinois11-01-0
Iowa State96-34-5
Northern Iowa11-01-0
Michigan51-41-4
Ohio State31-21-2
Washington11-01-0
Minnesota109-18-1-1
Wisconsin105-56-4
Northwestern95-43-6
Purdue84-43-4-1
Illinois87-14-3-1
Nebraska109-15-4-1

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home50-1732-32-3 ATS · 67 games
On the road30-1827-19-2 ATS · 48 games
Neutral site6-65-6-1 ATS · 12 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,226 miles - ranked 102nd heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,226 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,226 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Northern IllinoisHome0 mi
Week 2Iowa StateHome0 mi
Week 3Northern IowaHome0 mi
Week 4Michigan404 mi808 mi
Week 5Ohio StateHome808 mi
Week 6Washington1,560 mi3,927 mi
Week 7-Bye
Week 8Minnesota244 mi4,415 mi
Week 9WisconsinHome4,415 mi
Week 10Northwestern201 mi4,817 mi
Week 11PurdueHome4,817 mi
Week 12Illinois204 mi5,226 mi
Week 13NebraskaHome5,226 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Iowa Hawkeyes Season Outlook

Defense remains the backbone despite heavy turnover

Phil Parker's unit had to replace eight starters, including the entire defensive line, but has been the team's constant. Through six games, Iowa has allowed 87 points (14.5 per game), with two shutouts (Northern Illinois, Northern Iowa) and a 16-13 win over Iowa State. The Hawkeyes held Northern Illinois to 120 total yards and no first downs until the third quarter, and limited Washington to minus-3 rushing yards in a 41-24 road win. The secondary, led by Zach Lutmer and transfer Tyler Brown, has limited big plays, and the pass rush produced six sacks in the opener and six more at Washington. Even in a 31-14 loss to Ohio State, the defense kept the Buckeyes to 31 points, below their season average. This unit will need to continue carrying the load as the offense finds its footing.

Quarterback situation stabilizes with Brown, but Hecklinski provides a spark

The preseason battle between Hank Brown and Jeremy Hecklinski lingered into the season, with both playing in the opener. Brown started the first five games and completed all 12 of his passes for 153 yards and two touchdowns against Northern Iowa, but he was injured before the Washington game. Hecklinski stepped in and threw for 202 yards and three touchdowns on 14-of-19 passing in a 41-24 win. Brown had been efficient but not explosive, while Hecklinski showed big-play ability. With Brown's status uncertain, Iowa may need both quarterbacks, but Hecklinski's performance gives the offense a higher ceiling if he can build on it.

Running game is deep and explosive, led by Moulton

Kamari Moulton has been the workhorse, rushing for 183 yards and two touchdowns in the opener and a career-high 208 yards and two scores at Washington. He has shown improved vision and burst, averaging 8 yards per carry against the Huskies. Behind him, Xavier Williams, Nathan McNeil, and Braeden Jackson each rushed for over 100 yards in a 55-0 win over Northern Iowa, demonstrating remarkable depth. The offensive line, which replaced three first-team All-Big Ten starters including Rimington winner Logan Jones, has opened holes for a rushing attack that piled up 422 yards against Northern Iowa. This group will remain the offense's identity and most reliable weapon.

Offensive consistency is the biggest question mark

Iowa has scored 40, 16, 55, 20, 14, and 41 points in its six games. The Hawkeyes managed only 16 against Iowa State, 20 at Michigan, and 14 against Ohio State, struggling to sustain drives against quality defenses. The passing game has been inconsistent, and the offense has been too conservative at times, settling for field goals instead of touchdowns. Against Ohio State, Iowa answered Buckeye touchdowns with field goals, which proved costly. The return of a healthy Brown or continued development from Hecklinski will be key, but the offense must find a way to score more consistently against Big Ten defenses.

Special teams and schedule present challenges and opportunities

Iowa lost All-America returner Kaden Wetjen, its kicker, and punter, and has a new special teams coordinator. Transfer kicker Eli Ozick and punters Boston Everitt and Tanner Philpott have been adequate but unproven. The return game has not yet produced a touchdown, though Evan James had a 77-yard punt return for a score in the opener. The schedule ahead includes a trip to Minnesota after a bye, then winnable games against Purdue, Wisconsin, and Nebraska. With a 5-1 record and a defense that keeps them in every game, the Hawkeyes are positioned for a strong finish if the offense can improve and special teams avoid costly mistakes.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Iowa Hawkeyes's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Iowa Hawkeyes is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.

What is Iowa Hawkeyes's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Iowa Hawkeyes holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +14.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Iowa Hawkeyes's home field advantage rating?

Iowa Hawkeyes's home field advantage rating is 2.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Iowa Hawkeyes's 2026 win total?

Iowa Hawkeyes's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -140 over and +110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Iowa Hawkeyes travel in 2026?

Iowa Hawkeyes travels 5,226 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 102nd heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Iowa Hawkeyes: 5-2 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating +14.5 (2026 records).