26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
@
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
@
17
Final
34
@
@
@
@
Iowa Hawkeyes is 5-2 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +14.5. Iowa Hawkeyes is covering the spread at 65% since the start of last season (13-7), well above the FBS average. The Iowa Hawkeyes host Wisconsin next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Iowa Hawkeyes Power Rating of +14.5 is 14.5 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Iowa Hawkeyes have logged 4,415 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,226 miles, ranking 102nd heaviest in the FBS.
Jeremy Hecklinski QB, Hank Brown QB, DJ Vonnahme TE, Kamari Moulton RB
Tyler Brown S, Zach Lutmer S
Eli Ozick K, Boston Everitt P, Tanner Philpott P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Week 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Week 8 | 5-2 | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Week 9 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Week 11 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 4-4 |
| Week 12 | 6-4 | 7-3 | 4-5 |
| Week 13 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 4-6 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 8-4 | 5-6 |
| Postseason | 9-4 | 9-4 | 6-6 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +14.7 in the preseason and finished +14.5 after week 8, a move of -0.2 points. High +16.1 (week 2), low +12.8 (week 6).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.9 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Iowa State | 9 | 6-3 | 4-5 |
| Northern Iowa | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Michigan | 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Ohio State | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Washington | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Minnesota | 10 | 9-1 | 8-1-1 |
| Wisconsin | 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Northwestern | 9 | 5-4 | 3-6 |
| Purdue | 8 | 4-4 | 3-4-1 |
| Illinois | 8 | 7-1 | 4-3-1 |
| Nebraska | 10 | 9-1 | 5-4-1 |
Week 05,226 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Northern Illinois | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Iowa State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | Northern Iowa | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 4 | Michigan | 404 mi | 808 mi |
| Week 5 | Ohio State | Home | 808 mi |
| Week 6 | Washington | 1,560 mi | 3,927 mi |
| Week 7 | - | Bye | |
| Week 8 | Minnesota | 244 mi | 4,415 mi |
| Week 9 | Wisconsin | Home | 4,415 mi |
| Week 10 | Northwestern | 201 mi | 4,817 mi |
| Week 11 | Purdue | Home | 4,817 mi |
| Week 12 | Illinois | 204 mi | 5,226 mi |
| Week 13 | Nebraska | Home | 5,226 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Phil Parker's unit had to replace eight starters, including the entire defensive line, but has been the team's constant. Through six games, Iowa has allowed 87 points (14.5 per game), with two shutouts (Northern Illinois, Northern Iowa) and a 16-13 win over Iowa State. The Hawkeyes held Northern Illinois to 120 total yards and no first downs until the third quarter, and limited Washington to minus-3 rushing yards in a 41-24 road win. The secondary, led by Zach Lutmer and transfer Tyler Brown, has limited big plays, and the pass rush produced six sacks in the opener and six more at Washington. Even in a 31-14 loss to Ohio State, the defense kept the Buckeyes to 31 points, below their season average. This unit will need to continue carrying the load as the offense finds its footing.
The preseason battle between Hank Brown and Jeremy Hecklinski lingered into the season, with both playing in the opener. Brown started the first five games and completed all 12 of his passes for 153 yards and two touchdowns against Northern Iowa, but he was injured before the Washington game. Hecklinski stepped in and threw for 202 yards and three touchdowns on 14-of-19 passing in a 41-24 win. Brown had been efficient but not explosive, while Hecklinski showed big-play ability. With Brown's status uncertain, Iowa may need both quarterbacks, but Hecklinski's performance gives the offense a higher ceiling if he can build on it.
Kamari Moulton has been the workhorse, rushing for 183 yards and two touchdowns in the opener and a career-high 208 yards and two scores at Washington. He has shown improved vision and burst, averaging 8 yards per carry against the Huskies. Behind him, Xavier Williams, Nathan McNeil, and Braeden Jackson each rushed for over 100 yards in a 55-0 win over Northern Iowa, demonstrating remarkable depth. The offensive line, which replaced three first-team All-Big Ten starters including Rimington winner Logan Jones, has opened holes for a rushing attack that piled up 422 yards against Northern Iowa. This group will remain the offense's identity and most reliable weapon.
Iowa has scored 40, 16, 55, 20, 14, and 41 points in its six games. The Hawkeyes managed only 16 against Iowa State, 20 at Michigan, and 14 against Ohio State, struggling to sustain drives against quality defenses. The passing game has been inconsistent, and the offense has been too conservative at times, settling for field goals instead of touchdowns. Against Ohio State, Iowa answered Buckeye touchdowns with field goals, which proved costly. The return of a healthy Brown or continued development from Hecklinski will be key, but the offense must find a way to score more consistently against Big Ten defenses.
Iowa lost All-America returner Kaden Wetjen, its kicker, and punter, and has a new special teams coordinator. Transfer kicker Eli Ozick and punters Boston Everitt and Tanner Philpott have been adequate but unproven. The return game has not yet produced a touchdown, though Evan James had a 77-yard punt return for a score in the opener. The schedule ahead includes a trip to Minnesota after a bye, then winnable games against Purdue, Wisconsin, and Nebraska. With a 5-1 record and a defense that keeps them in every game, the Hawkeyes are positioned for a strong finish if the offense can improve and special teams avoid costly mistakes.
Iowa Hawkeyes is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.
Iowa Hawkeyes holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +14.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Iowa Hawkeyes's home field advantage rating is 2.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Iowa Hawkeyes's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -140 over and +110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Iowa Hawkeyes travels 5,226 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 102nd heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Iowa Hawkeyes: 5-2 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating +14.5 (2026 records).