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Rutgers Scarlet Knights is 2-4 on the season, 3-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -6.3. Rutgers Scarlet Knights's games are going over the total at 83% this season (5-1), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights head to Northwestern next in Week 8.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Rutgers Scarlet Knights Power Rating of -6.3 is 6.3 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Rutgers Scarlet Knights have logged 763 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 4,095 miles, ranking 116th heaviest in the FBS.
AJ Surace QB, Dylan Lonergan QB, Antwan Raymond RB, KJ Duff WR, Kwabena Asamoah OL, Michael O'Connor OL
Doug Blue-Eli DL
Jai Patel K, Jakob Anderson P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 4-0 |
| Week 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 5-1 |
| Week 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 6-1 |
| Week 9 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 6-2 |
| Week 10 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 6-3 |
| Week 11 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Week 13 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Week 14 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 7-5 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -0.5 in the preseason and finished -6.3 after week 8, a move of -5.8 points. High +0.9 (week 1), low -8.1 (week 7).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +0.2 is regressed to +1.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.7 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Boston College | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| USC | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Howard | 2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Indiana | 8 | 3-5 | 5-3 |
| Maryland | 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Northwestern | 3 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Michigan | 8 | 0-8 | 4-3-1 |
| Wisconsin | 4 | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Nebraska | 4 | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Penn State | 9 | 0-9 | 4-5 |
| Michigan State | 9 | 3-6 | 4-5 |
Week 04,095 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Massachusetts | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Boston College | 212 mi | 425 mi |
| Week 3 | USC | Home | 425 mi |
| Week 4 | Howard | Home | 425 mi |
| Week 5 | Indiana | Home | 425 mi |
| Week 6 | - | Bye | |
| Week 7 | Maryland | 169 mi | 763 mi |
| Week 8 | Northwestern | 696 mi | 2,155 mi |
| Week 9 | Michigan | Home | 2,155 mi |
| Week 10 | Wisconsin | 791 mi | 3,736 mi |
| Week 11 | Nebraska | Home | 3,736 mi |
| Week 12 | Penn State | 179 mi | 4,095 mi |
| Week 13 | Michigan State | Home | 4,095 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Rutgers opened 2026 with a stunning 37-21 home loss to UMass, a team that had lost 16 straight. The Scarlet Knights turned the ball over five times (four interceptions, one fumble) and allowed 397 yards. The turnover problem persisted: through three games, Rutgers had a -7 turnover margin and had thrown nine interceptions combined from Dylan Lonergan and AJ Surace. The 0-3 start was the program's first since 2008, and the defense allowed at least 35 points in each of the first three games.
Wide receiver KJ Duff has been spectacular, posting nine catches for 196 yards and three touchdowns against UMass, adding two more scores at Boston College, and catching five passes for 131 yards and a touchdown versus Howard. He became the first player in program history to catch a touchdown in five straight games and reached 2,000 career receiving yards. Running back Antwan Raymond also eclipsed 2,000 career rushing yards and ran for 140 yards and three touchdowns in the Howard win. The duo gives Rutgers two of the Big Ten's most productive skill players.
After allowing 37, 28, and 42 points in the first three games, the defense finally had a competent outing in the 58-7 rout of Howard, recording four sacks, two interceptions, and a fumble recovery while giving up just one play over 20 yards. However, that performance came against an FCS opponent. Against Indiana, the unit was shredded for 593 total yards in a 47-15 loss. The Scarlet Knights started 10 new players on defense and are still searching for consistency under first-year coordinator Travis Johansen.
The competition between Dylan Lonergan and AJ Surace has been a season-long storyline. Lonergan threw four interceptions and lost a fumble in the opener before being lifted with an injury. Surace made his first start at Boston College and threw four picks of his own, though he also had three touchdowns. Lonergan had a breakout game against Howard (214 yards, two TDs in three quarters) but left the Indiana game with an injury. The inconsistency at quarterback has hampered the offense and contributed to the turnover problems.
At 2-4, Rutgers needs four wins in its final six games to become bowl eligible. The schedule remains challenging, with a road trip to Northwestern next, followed by games against Michigan and Wisconsin. The offense has shown an upward trajectory, scoring 58 against Howard and 37 against Maryland in a 37-30 road win. However, the defense must build on its Howard performance and the quarterbacks must protect the ball. The return of a healthy Lonergan and continued production from Duff and Raymond are critical. The Scarlet Knights have the talent to compete, but their margin for error is slim.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights is 3-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -6.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights's home field advantage rating is 1.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -145 over and +120 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights travels 4,095 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 116th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights: 2-4 overall, 3-3 ATS, power rating -6.3 (2026 records).