Rutgers Scarlet Knights

By · Last updated

Rutgers Scarlet Knights is 2-4 on the season, 3-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -6.3. Rutgers Scarlet Knights's games are going over the total at 83% this season (5-1), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights head to Northwestern next in Week 8.

Conference: Big Ten Conference
Stadium: SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ
Power Rating (most current): -6.3
HFA Rating:1.9 pts
2026 Win Total:4.5
2026 Record: 2-4
2026 ATS: 3-3
2026 O/U: 5-1

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Rutgers Scarlet Knights Power Rating of -6.3 is 6.3 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Rutgers Scarlet Knights have logged 763 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 4,095 miles, ranking 116th heaviest in the FBS.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachGreg Schiano
Tenure17 seasons
Record99-108
Offensive coordinatorKirk Ciarrocca
Defensive coordinatorTravis Johansen

Offense

AJ Surace QB, Dylan Lonergan QB, Antwan Raymond RB, KJ Duff WR, Kwabena Asamoah OL, Michael O'Connor OL

Defense

Doug Blue-Eli DL

Special teams

Jai Patel K, Jakob Anderson P

2025 Season in Review

Record5-7 ATS6-6 O/U7-5
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-11-0
Week 22-01-12-0
Week 33-02-13-0
Week 43-12-24-0
Week 53-23-25-0
Week 73-33-35-1
Week 83-43-46-1
Week 94-44-46-2
Week 104-54-56-3
Week 115-55-56-4
Week 135-65-66-5
Week 145-76-67-5

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -0.5 in the preseason and finished -6.3 after week 8, a move of -5.8 points. High +0.9 (week 1), low -8.1 (week 7).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -0.5 to -6.3.

PreW8

Rutgers Scarlet Knights SP+ Profile

Offence+30.437 of 138higher is better
Defence+28.790 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.163 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.7 pts
HFA measured+0.2 pts
HFA applied+1.9 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +0.2 is regressed to +1.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.7 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Massachusetts11-01-0
Boston College21-11-1
USC10-10-1
Howard22-00-2
Indiana83-55-3
Maryland104-64-6
Northwestern31-22-1
Michigan80-84-3-1
Wisconsin40-42-2
Nebraska40-42-2
Penn State90-94-5
Michigan State93-64-5

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home24-4131-33-1 ATS · 65 games
On the road14-3725-24-2 ATS · 51 games
Neutral site2-23-1 ATS · 4 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

4,095 miles - ranked 116th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 4,095 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 04,095 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1MassachusettsHome0 mi
Week 2Boston College212 mi425 mi
Week 3USCHome425 mi
Week 4HowardHome425 mi
Week 5IndianaHome425 mi
Week 6-Bye
Week 7Maryland169 mi763 mi
Week 8Northwestern696 mi2,155 mi
Week 9MichiganHome2,155 mi
Week 10Wisconsin791 mi3,736 mi
Week 11NebraskaHome3,736 mi
Week 12Penn State179 mi4,095 mi
Week 13Michigan StateHome4,095 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Season Outlook

Slow start and turnover woes define early season

Rutgers opened 2026 with a stunning 37-21 home loss to UMass, a team that had lost 16 straight. The Scarlet Knights turned the ball over five times (four interceptions, one fumble) and allowed 397 yards. The turnover problem persisted: through three games, Rutgers had a -7 turnover margin and had thrown nine interceptions combined from Dylan Lonergan and AJ Surace. The 0-3 start was the program's first since 2008, and the defense allowed at least 35 points in each of the first three games.

KJ Duff and Antwan Raymond are the offense's engine

Wide receiver KJ Duff has been spectacular, posting nine catches for 196 yards and three touchdowns against UMass, adding two more scores at Boston College, and catching five passes for 131 yards and a touchdown versus Howard. He became the first player in program history to catch a touchdown in five straight games and reached 2,000 career receiving yards. Running back Antwan Raymond also eclipsed 2,000 career rushing yards and ran for 140 yards and three touchdowns in the Howard win. The duo gives Rutgers two of the Big Ten's most productive skill players.

Defense shows signs of life but remains a major liability

After allowing 37, 28, and 42 points in the first three games, the defense finally had a competent outing in the 58-7 rout of Howard, recording four sacks, two interceptions, and a fumble recovery while giving up just one play over 20 yards. However, that performance came against an FCS opponent. Against Indiana, the unit was shredded for 593 total yards in a 47-15 loss. The Scarlet Knights started 10 new players on defense and are still searching for consistency under first-year coordinator Travis Johansen.

Quarterback situation remains unsettled

The competition between Dylan Lonergan and AJ Surace has been a season-long storyline. Lonergan threw four interceptions and lost a fumble in the opener before being lifted with an injury. Surace made his first start at Boston College and threw four picks of his own, though he also had three touchdowns. Lonergan had a breakout game against Howard (214 yards, two TDs in three quarters) but left the Indiana game with an injury. The inconsistency at quarterback has hampered the offense and contributed to the turnover problems.

Road ahead: bowl hopes hinge on cleaning up mistakes

At 2-4, Rutgers needs four wins in its final six games to become bowl eligible. The schedule remains challenging, with a road trip to Northwestern next, followed by games against Michigan and Wisconsin. The offense has shown an upward trajectory, scoring 58 against Howard and 37 against Maryland in a 37-30 road win. However, the defense must build on its Howard performance and the quarterbacks must protect the ball. The return of a healthy Lonergan and continued production from Duff and Raymond are critical. The Scarlet Knights have the talent to compete, but their margin for error is slim.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Rutgers Scarlet Knights's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Rutgers Scarlet Knights is 3-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.

What is Rutgers Scarlet Knights's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Rutgers Scarlet Knights holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -6.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Rutgers Scarlet Knights's home field advantage rating?

Rutgers Scarlet Knights's home field advantage rating is 1.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Rutgers Scarlet Knights's 2026 win total?

Rutgers Scarlet Knights's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -145 over and +120 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Rutgers Scarlet Knights travel in 2026?

Rutgers Scarlet Knights travels 4,095 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 116th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights: 2-4 overall, 3-3 ATS, power rating -6.3 (2026 records).