Eastern Michigan Eagles is 4-5 on the season, 4-5 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -16.7. Eastern Michigan Eagles holds a power rating of -16.7, placing them in the weaker tier of the FBS and typically entering games as a significant underdog. The Eastern Michigan Eagles host Central Michigan next in Week 10.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Eastern Michigan Eagles Power Rating of -16.7 is 16.7 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Eastern Michigan Eagles have logged 2,554 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 2,818 miles, ranking 136th heaviest in the FBS.
Noah Kim QB, Joshua Long TE, Nick Devereaux WR, Harold Mack WR, Braydon Bennett RB, Nicholas Gallegos OL
Bryce Llewellyn S, Barry Manning LB, Caleb Coley CB, Zach Mowchan LB, Carter Evans EDGE, Jefferson Adam DL
Rudy Kessinger K, Daniel Hull P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Week 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Week 6 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Week 7 | 2-5 | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Week 8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Week 9 | 2-7 | 5-4 | 5-4 |
| Week 11 | 3-7 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Week 12 | 4-7 | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 4-8 | 7-4-1 | 6-6 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -16.5 in the preseason and finished -16.7 after week 8, a move of -0.1 points. High -14.1 (week 1), low -19.9 (week 4).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of -0.5 is regressed to +1.5 before it is applied, a difference of 2.0 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| San José State | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Wisconsin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Massachusetts | 4 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Akron | 5 | 4-1 | 2-2-1 |
| Toledo | 9 | 2-7 | 6-3 |
| Ohio | 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Central Michigan | 10 | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Western Michigan | 10 | 4-6 | 6-3-1 |
| Kent State | 6 | 4-2 | 4-2 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Sacramento State, Michigan State, Lindenwood.
Week 02,818 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | Sacramento State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 1 | San José State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Michigan State | 54 mi | 107 mi |
| Week 3 | Wisconsin | 299 mi | 705 mi |
| Week 4 | Lindenwood | Home | 705 mi |
| Week 5 | Massachusetts | 569 mi | 1,843 mi |
| Week 6 | Akron | 138 mi | 2,118 mi |
| Week 7 | Toledo | Home | 2,118 mi |
| Week 8 | Ohio | 218 mi | 2,554 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | Central Michigan | 31 mi | 2,617 mi |
| Week 11 | - | Bye | |
| Week 12 | Western Michigan | 100 mi | 2,818 mi |
| Week 13 | Kent State | Home | 2,818 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Eastern Michigan sits at 4-4 overall but 3-1 in MAC play, a stark contrast to its 1-3 non-conference record. The Eagles were outscored 116-38 in three straight losses to San Jose State, Michigan State, and Wisconsin, but have since reeled off three wins in four MAC games, including a 38-14 blowout at UMass and a 25-23 comeback at Akron. The offense has found its rhythm against conference foes, scoring 29, 38, and 25 points in the three MAC victories, while the defense has held opponents to 23 points or fewer in three of four league games. The challenge now is proving that success translates against the upper tier of the MAC, starting with a road trip to Ohio.
Quarterback Noah Kim has been a barometer for the Eagles' offense. Against Sacramento State and in MAC play, he has been sharp: 279 yards and three total touchdowns in the opener, 219 yards and two scores without an interception at UMass, and 277 yards and a touchdown at Akron. But against Power 4 opponents and San Jose State, his numbers plummeted: 174 yards with a pick against the Spartans, 118 yards at Michigan State, and 140 yards with two interceptions and a fumble at Wisconsin. Kim's ability to protect the ball and distribute to reliable targets like Joshua Long (nine catches, 114 yards at Akron) and Harold Mack will determine whether EMU can compete with the MAC's best. The upcoming game at Ohio, which boasts a top-40 power rating, will be a litmus test for whether Kim's MAC success is sustainable.
Eastern Michigan's run defense was a preseason concern after allowing a league-high 232.1 yards per game last season, and it has been exposed repeatedly. San Jose State's Jabari Bates ran for 119 yards, Michigan State's Cam Edwards gashed the Eagles for 152 yards and two scores (part of 258 team rushing yards), and Wisconsin controlled the ground game in a 54-10 rout. Even in MAC play, Akron's Jordan Gant managed 117 yards. The front seven, led by Carter Evans and Jefferson Adam, has shown improvement against lesser opponents like Lindenwood (191 total yards) and UMass (which managed only 14 points), but the consistency is not there. Against a Toledo team that features a balanced attack, the Eagles allowed 34 points and 104 rushing yards to Autavius Ison. Until the run defense proves it can hold up against quality backs, it will remain a liability.
Kicker Rudy Kessinger has been a bright spot, particularly in close games. He made four field goals at Akron, including the game-winning 48-yarder with 1:50 remaining, and earlier drilled a career-long 51-yarder against Lindenwood. Kessinger's leg gives the Eagles a safety net in the red zone, but it also highlights an offense that has struggled to finish drives against tougher defenses. In the three non-conference losses, EMU scored just three offensive touchdowns total. If the Eagles are to pull an upset at Ohio or contend for a bowl, they will need to convert more red-zone opportunities into touchdowns rather than settling for field goals.
With four games remaining, Eastern Michigan needs two more wins to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2019. The schedule offers opportunities: after Ohio, the Eagles host a struggling Ball State team, travel to Kent State, and close at home against Western Michigan. But the margin for error is thin. The Eagles have already matched their win total from last season (4-8 in 2025) and have shown they can beat teams at or below their level. However, they have yet to defeat a team with a winning record, and their three MAC wins have come against UMass (4-2), Akron (1-6), and Lindenwood (1-4). The upcoming game at Ohio (5-2) will be a measuring stick. If the Eagles can steal a win or at least compete, it would signal real progress. If not, they may need to sweep the final three to secure a postseason berth.
Eastern Michigan Eagles is 4-5 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 44% of games.
Eastern Michigan Eagles holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -16.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Eastern Michigan Eagles's home field advantage rating is 1.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Eastern Michigan Eagles's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -170 over and +135 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Eastern Michigan Eagles travels 2,818 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 136th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Eastern Michigan Eagles: 4-5 overall, 4-5 ATS, power rating -16.7 (2026 records).
