Maryland Terrapins

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Maryland Terrapins is 2-5 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -3.5. Maryland Terrapins's games are going over the total at 100% this season (7-0), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Maryland Terrapins host Illinois next in Week 9.

Conference: Big Ten Conference
Stadium: SECU Stadium, College Park, MD
Power Rating (most current): -3.5
HFA Rating:2.3 pts
2026 Win Total:4.5
2026 Record: 2-5
2026 ATS: 3-4
2026 O/U: 7-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Maryland Terrapins Power Rating of -3.5 is 3.5 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Maryland Terrapins have logged 3,369 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 9,064 miles, ranking 40th heaviest in the FBS.

Maryland Terrapins Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachMike Locksley
Tenure7+ seasons
Record at school37-49
Career record39-75 (9+ seasons)
Offensive coordinatorClint Trickett
Defensive coordinatorTed Monachino

Offense

Malik Washington QB, DeJuan Williams RB, Michael Hershey OL, Rahtrel Perry OL, Isaiah Wright OL, Kaleb Webb WR, Dorian Fleming TE, Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding WR, Chris Durr Jr. WR

Defense

Sidney Stewart DL, Zahir Mathis DL, Zion Elee EDGE, Lavon Johnson DL, Eyan Thomas DL, Daniel Wingate LB, Trey Reddick LB, Dontay Joyner CB, Jamare Glasker CB, Amari Jackson CB, Lavain Scruggs S, Messiah Delhomme S, Darrell Carey S

Special teams

Sean O'Haire K, Bryce McFerson P

2025 Season in Review

Record4-8 ATS5-7 O/U5-7
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 22-01-10-2
Week 33-01-21-2
Week 44-02-21-3
Week 64-13-21-4
Week 74-24-22-4
Week 84-35-22-5
Week 104-45-33-5
Week 114-55-43-6
Week 124-65-53-7
Week 134-75-64-7
Week 144-85-75-7

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +1.7 in the preseason and finished -3.5 after week 8, a move of -5.2 points. High +4.8 (week 4), low -3.5 (week 8).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +1.7 to -3.5.

PreW8

Maryland Terrapins SP+ Profile

Offence+26.165 of 138higher is better
Defence+22.744 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.347 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±3.9 pts
HFA measured+1.6 pts
HFA applied+2.3 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.6 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
UConn11-01-0
Virginia Tech11-01-0
UCLA10-11-0
Nebraska41-32-2
Ohio State70-72-4-1
Rutgers106-46-4
Illinois42-21-3
Purdue31-21-2
Wisconsin31-21-2
USC11-01-0
Penn State91-81-8

No meeting on record since 2016: Hampton.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home31-3028-33 ATS · 61 games
On the road16-3418-31-1 ATS · 50 games
Neutral site4-24-2 ATS · 6 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

9,064 miles - ranked 40th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 9,064 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 09,064 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1HamptonHome0 mi
Week 2UConn298 mi595 mi
Week 3Virginia TechHome595 mi
Week 4UCLAHome595 mi
Week 5Nebraska1,055 mi2,706 mi
Week 6Ohio State332 mi3,369 mi
Week 7RutgersHome3,369 mi
Week 8-Bye
Week 9IllinoisHome3,369 mi
Week 10Purdue540 mi4,450 mi
Week 11WisconsinHome4,450 mi
Week 12USC2,307 mi9,064 mi
Week 13Penn StateHome9,064 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Maryland Terrapins Season Outlook

A 2-0 start built on an FCS blowout and a road win

Maryland opened 2026 with a 62-0 home rout of Hampton, piling up 646 yards while holding the Pirates to 85. DeJuan Williams broke a 94-yard touchdown run, the second-longest in program history, and the Terps scored six times on the ground. The defense added five sacks and three interceptions. A week later the Terps won 38-14 at UConn behind Malik Washington's 34-of-41, 347-yard, two-touchdown day; he completed 18 straight passes at one point and hit eight different receivers, with Chris Durr Jr. (10 catches, 103 yards) and Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding (8 for 130) both producing. Those two wins extended Maryland's nonconference winning streak to 20 games, the longest active run in the FBS.

The bottom fell out once the schedule turned to power-conference opponents

Virginia Tech ended the nonconference streak with a 35-26 win in College Park, scoring on five of its first six possessions and leading 35-14 into the fourth quarter. UCLA then hammered Maryland 54-3 at home, and Nebraska won 48-23 in Lincoln after Dwayne McDougle III returned an interception 81 yards for a touchdown. Ohio State followed with a 45-16 win in Columbus. Maryland has now dropped four straight and been outscored 147-42 over its last three games, falling to 0-3 in Big Ten play and 2-4 overall. The Terps are 18-20 in their last 38 Big Ten games, and the pressure on eighth-year coach Mike Locksley keeps building.

The run game never traveled, and the offense has become one-dimensional

The 646-yard rushing outburst against Hampton was an FCS mirage. Against UConn the Terps managed just 48 rushing yards from Harry Dalton III, and DeJuan Williams' 94-yard run in Week 1 remains the outlier rather than the norm. Last season Maryland averaged 104.3 rushing yards per game, near the bottom of the Big Ten, and the offensive line anchored by center Michael Hershey and tackles Rahtrel Perry and Isaiah Wright has not opened holes against power-conference fronts. The result is an offense that leans almost entirely on Malik Washington's arm. He has been productive (359 yards and three touchdowns against Virginia Tech, 254 yards and a score at Nebraska), but he has also thrown six interceptions over the last two games, including three pick-sixes in four quarters, and the Terps were 1 of 14 on third downs at Nebraska and a combined 2 of 30 over the last two games.

The defense has not generated pressure against anyone who can block

The preseason hype around a unit with eight returning starters, ends Sidney Stewart and Zahir Mathis, elite recruit Zion Elee, tackles Lavon Johnson and Eyan Thomas, and corners Dontay Joyner and Jamare Glasker has not held up. The five sacks and three interceptions against Hampton and the 67-yard rushing day against UConn were artifacts of inferior competition. Virginia Tech put 35 on the Terps at home, UCLA hung 54 in College Park, and Nebraska rolled up 48 in Lincoln. There have been flashes: Daniel Wingate returned an interception 51 yards for a touchdown at Ohio State to briefly pull Maryland within 31-16. But the front has not pressured power-conference quarterbacks, and the secondary has been picked apart. Until that changes, the Terps will struggle to get off the field.

What to watch the rest of the way

Maryland hosts Rutgers next, a 1-4 team with a power rating well below the Terps, and the market has installed Maryland as a six-point favorite with a 68 percent win probability. That is the most winnable game left on the schedule and a chance to stop the four-game slide. Beyond that, the questions are bigger than one result. Can Washington cut down on the interceptions that have defined the last two games? Can the run game find any traction against a Big Ten front? Can the defense generate pressure without blitzing? And can Locksley, now 38-48 in his eighth season, steady a team that has been outscored by 105 points over its last three games? The special teams pairing of kicker Sean O'Haire (first-team All-Big Ten, 87.5 percent on field goals) and punter Bryce McFerson (44.2-yard average, second in the conference) remains a genuine edge, but it cannot cover for the gaps that have shown up everywhere else.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Maryland Terrapins's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Maryland Terrapins is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.

What is Maryland Terrapins's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Maryland Terrapins holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -3.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Maryland Terrapins's home field advantage rating?

Maryland Terrapins's home field advantage rating is 2.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Maryland Terrapins's 2026 win total?

Maryland Terrapins's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -200 over and +150 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Maryland Terrapins travel in 2026?

Maryland Terrapins travels 9,064 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 40th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Maryland Terrapins: 2-5 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating -3.5 (2026 records).