Maryland Terrapins is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +2.7. Maryland Terrapins enters the season with a power rating of +2.7, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Maryland Terrapins head to UConn next in Week 2. In 2025, Maryland Terrapins went 4-8 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 5-7 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Maryland Terrapins Power Rating of +2.7 is 2.7 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Maryland Terrapins have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 9,064 miles, ranking 40th heaviest in the FBS.
Malik Washington QB, DeJuan Williams RB, Michael Hershey OL, Rahtrel Perry OL, Isaiah Wright OL, Kaleb Webb WR, Dorian Fleming TE, Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding WR, Chris Durr Jr. WR
Sidney Stewart DL, Zahir Mathis DL, Zion Elee EDGE, Lavon Johnson DL, Eyan Thomas DL, Daniel Wingate LB, Trey Reddick LB, Dontay Joyner CB, Jamare Glasker CB, Amari Jackson CB, Lavain Scruggs S, Messiah Delhomme S, Darrell Carey S
Sean O'Haire K, Bryce McFerson P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 2-5 |
| Week 10 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 3-5 |
| Week 11 | 4-5 | 5-4 | 3-6 |
| Week 12 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Week 13 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 5-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +0.8 in the preseason and finished +5.0 after the postseason, a move of +4.2 points. High +6.1 (week 15), low +0.8 (the preseason).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.6 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| UConn | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Virginia Tech | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| UCLA | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Nebraska | 4 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Ohio State | 7 | 0-7 | 2-4-1 |
| Rutgers | 10 | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Illinois | 4 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Purdue | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Wisconsin | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| USC | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Penn State | 9 | 1-8 | 1-8 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Hampton.
Week 09,064 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Hampton | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | UConn | 298 mi | 595 mi |
| Week 3 | Virginia Tech | Home | 595 mi |
| Week 4 | UCLA | Home | 595 mi |
| Week 5 | Nebraska | 1,055 mi | 2,706 mi |
| Week 6 | Ohio State | 332 mi | 3,369 mi |
| Week 7 | Rutgers | Home | 3,369 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | Illinois | Home | 3,369 mi |
| Week 10 | Purdue | 540 mi | 4,450 mi |
| Week 11 | Wisconsin | Home | 4,450 mi |
| Week 12 | USC | 2,307 mi | 9,064 mi |
| Week 13 | Penn State | Home | 9,064 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Maryland brings back 71% of its 2025 statistical production, the second-highest rate in the nation behind only Notre Dame. That experience is spread across the roster, with eight defensive starters returning and key offensive pieces like quarterback Malik Washington, running back DeJuan Williams, and offensive linemen Michael Hershey, Rahtrel Perry, and Isaiah Wright all back. The Terrapins also added impact transfers in wide receivers Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding and Chris Durr Jr., plus cornerback Amari Jackson from Boston College. This is the most veteran group head coach Mike Locksley has had in his tenure, and the expectation is that maturity translates into more consistent play.
Washington set freshman school records for completions and yards last season, and he showed toughness that impressed opposing coaches, who noted he took hits without being rattled. New offensive coordinator Clint Trickett wants Washington to run more and operate a faster, more motion-heavy offense with more snaps. But Washington can't do it alone: Maryland ranked next-to-last in the Big Ten in rushing at 104.3 yards per game, and the wide receiver group was among the national leaders in drops. Williams (45 catches) and tight end Dorian Fleming (40) were actually more reliable targets than any wideout, as Kaleb Webb led the returning receivers with just 22 catches. The offensive line, which allowed the fifth-fewest sacks per game nationally, should give Washington time, but the running game and pass-catching consistency need to improve for the offense to take a real step forward.
The defensive front has a chance to be the team's most disruptive unit. Sidney Stewart and Zahir Mathis were Freshman All-America ends last year, and they're joined by Zion Elee, arguably the most highly touted recruit in Maryland history. Returning 300-pounders Lavon Johnson and Eyan Thomas give the Terrapins size in the middle, and the coaching staff has talked up the depth across the line. That group should help a defense that has veteran playmakers behind it, including two-year starting linebacker Daniel Wingate, his running mate Trey Reddick, and cornerbacks Dontay Joyner and Jamare Glasker, both of whom are considered draft prospects. If the front can generate consistent pressure, the secondary could thrive.
Maryland has one of the best kicking tandems in the Big Ten. Sean O'Haire was a first-team All-Big Ten kicker, leading the conference with 1.75 made field goals per game and posting the second-most accurate season in school history at 87.5%. Punter Bryce McFerson averaged 44.2 yards per punt, second in the league, and earned second-team All-Big Ten honors. That combination gives the Terrapins a consistent scoring threat and a field position advantage in what could be several close conference games.
Despite the returning talent, Maryland is coming off a season in which they lost eight straight games, and head coach Mike Locksley is entering his eighth year with a 37-49 record at the school. The roster is more experienced and physically stronger, but the program hasn't yet turned that into consistent wins. One opposing Big Ten assistant noted that people around the program want Locksley to succeed, but the clock is ticking. The season opener against Hampton is a chance to build confidence, but the real test will come in Big Ten play, where the Terrapins need to show they can close out games and avoid another late-season collapse.
Maryland Terrapins is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Maryland Terrapins holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +2.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Maryland Terrapins's home field advantage rating is 2.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Maryland Terrapins's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -200 over and +150 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Maryland Terrapins travels 9,064 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 40th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Maryland Terrapins: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +2.7 (2026 records).