Utah State Aggies is 2-5 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -9.4. Utah State Aggies is covering the spread at 70% since the start of last season (14-6), well above the FBS average. The Utah State Aggies host Colorado State next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Utah State Aggies Power Rating of -9.4 is 9.4 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Utah State Aggies have logged 4,219 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,808 miles, ranking 73rd heaviest in the FBS.
McCae Hillstead QB, Anthony Garcia WR, Eli Wood WR, Javon Robinson WR, Javen Jacobs RB, Hyrum Hatch OL
Brevin Hamblin S, Bronson Olevao Jr. LB, Tyree Morris DL, Carson Tujague DL, Chris Joe LB, Chapman Lewis S, Antonio Bluiett CB
Kian Afrookhteh K, Landon Rehkow P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Week 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 6-1 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 4-4 |
| Week 11 | 5-4 | 7-2 | 5-4 |
| Week 12 | 5-5 | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 6-5 | 9-2 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 6-6 | 10-2 | 5-7 |
| Postseason | 6-7 | 10-3 | 6-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -6.3 in the preseason and finished -9.4 after week 8, a move of -3.1 points. High -6.3 (the preseason), low -9.9 (week 2).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +4.0 is regressed to +2.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Utah | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Boise State | 10 | 0-10 | 2-8 |
| Washington State | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Colorado State | 8 | 5-3 | 2-5-1 |
| Fresno State | 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| San Diego State | 6 | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Oregon State | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Washington, Troy, Texas State.
Week 06,808 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Idaho State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Washington | 657 mi | 1,314 mi |
| Week 3 | Utah | 68 mi | 1,451 mi |
| Week 4 | Troy | Home | 1,451 mi |
| Week 5 | Boise State | 257 mi | 1,965 mi |
| Week 6 | Washington State | Home | 1,965 mi |
| Week 7 | - | Bye | |
| Week 8 | Texas State | 1,127 mi | 4,219 mi |
| Week 9 | Colorado State | Home | 4,219 mi |
| Week 10 | Fresno State | Home | 4,219 mi |
| Week 11 | San Diego State | 684 mi | 5,586 mi |
| Week 12 | Oregon State | 611 mi | 6,808 mi |
| Week 13 | - | Bye | |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Utah State opened 2026 with a stunning home loss to FCS Idaho State, then fell at Washington and Utah to start 0-3. But the Aggies have since won two of three, including a 21-10 victory over Troy and a 17-16 comeback win against Washington State. At 2-4, they are 3-3 against the spread and have been more competitive as an underdog, covering at Washington and Boise State. The team is trending up after a disastrous first month.
After McCae Hillstead threw three interceptions in the opener, Virginia transfer Grady Brosterhous took over and has provided a dual-threat spark. He threw for 196 yards and ran for 81 at Washington, then led wins over Troy (242 passing, 89 rushing) and Washington State (150 passing, one touchdown). The offense still struggles to score consistently (17.8 points per game over the last four), but Brosterhous has cut down turnovers and given the Aggies a chance.
The 3-3-5 scheme that was supposed to be a strength has been a liability. Utah State allowed 29 points to an FCS team, 33 to Utah, and 37 to Boise State. The run defense has been particularly porous, and the pass rush is inconsistent. The unit did show improvement in the second half against Washington State, holding the Cougars to 64 yards after halftime, but overall the Aggies rank near the bottom nationally in yards allowed. Fixing this side of the ball is critical for any turnaround.
Kicker Kian Afrookhteh has been reliable, hitting a 48-yard field goal against Washington State and a 28-yarder at Boise State. Punter Landon Rehkow continues to flip field position. The defense has also generated timely turnovers, with three interceptions against Troy and two fumble recoveries against Washington State that led to 14 points. These hidden yards and extra possessions have kept Utah State competitive in close games.
Utah State has a bye before traveling to Texas State on Oct. 24, then faces a manageable stretch against conference foes. With a 1-1 Pac-12 record, the Aggies are still in the mix for a bowl game if they can clean up their defense and continue to get efficient quarterback play from Brosterhous. The schedule lightens up after the Texas State trip, but the Aggies must prove they can win as favorites, something they failed to do against Idaho State and nearly did against Troy. The rest of the season is about building consistency and avoiding the slow starts that plagued them early.
Utah State Aggies is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.
Utah State Aggies holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -9.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Utah State Aggies's home field advantage rating is 2.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Utah State Aggies's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -160 over and +125 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Utah State Aggies travels 6,808 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 73rd heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Utah State Aggies: 2-5 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating -9.4 (2026 records).
