Utah State Aggies is 0-1 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -9.9. Utah State Aggies enters the season with a power rating of -9.9, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Utah State Aggies head to Washington next in Week 2. In 2025, Utah State Aggies went 6-7 overall, 10-3 against the spread, and 6-7 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Utah State Aggies Power Rating of -9.9 is 9.9 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Utah State Aggies have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,808 miles, ranking 73rd heaviest in the FBS.
McCae Hillstead QB, Anthony Garcia WR, Eli Wood WR, Javon Robinson WR, Javen Jacobs RB, Hyrum Hatch OL
Brevin Hamblin S, Bronson Olevao Jr. LB, Tyree Morris DL, Carson Tujague DL, Chris Joe LB, Chapman Lewis S, Antonio Bluiett CB
Kian Afrookhteh K, Landon Rehkow P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Week 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 6-1 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 4-4 |
| Week 11 | 5-4 | 7-2 | 5-4 |
| Week 12 | 5-5 | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 6-5 | 9-2 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 6-6 | 10-2 | 5-7 |
| Postseason | 6-7 | 10-3 | 6-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -6.3 in the preseason and finished -9.9 after week 2, a move of -3.7 points. High -6.3 (the preseason), low -9.9 (week 2).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +4.0 is regressed to +2.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Utah | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Boise State | 10 | 0-10 | 2-8 |
| Washington State | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Colorado State | 8 | 5-3 | 2-5-1 |
| Fresno State | 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| San Diego State | 6 | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Oregon State | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Washington, Troy, Texas State.
Week 06,808 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Idaho State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Washington | 657 mi | 1,314 mi |
| Week 3 | Utah | 68 mi | 1,451 mi |
| Week 4 | Troy | Home | 1,451 mi |
| Week 5 | Boise State | 257 mi | 1,965 mi |
| Week 6 | Washington State | Home | 1,965 mi |
| Week 7 | - | Bye | |
| Week 8 | Texas State | 1,127 mi | 4,219 mi |
| Week 9 | Colorado State | Home | 4,219 mi |
| Week 10 | Fresno State | Home | 4,219 mi |
| Week 11 | San Diego State | 684 mi | 5,586 mi |
| Week 12 | Oregon State | 611 mi | 6,808 mi |
| Week 13 | - | Bye | |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Utah State opened the season with a 29-17 loss to Idaho State, an FCS team that entered as a 15.5-point underdog. The Aggies gave up five field goals and four interceptions, with quarterback McCae Hillstead throwing three picks and backup Grady Brosterhous adding another. The loss, which came at home with no travel and a comfortable setup, is a major red flag for a team that was expected to compete for a bowl berth. It also marks the first time in recent memory that the Aggies have fallen to an FCS opponent, and it puts the team in an early hole with a brutal schedule ahead.
McCae Hillstead, who transferred back from BYU after two seasons, threw for 178 yards and two touchdowns but also tossed three interceptions. His fourth-quarter pick helped seal the loss. The Aggies also got a late appearance from Grady Brosterhous, who threw an interception of his own. Hillstead showed flashes, including a 4-yard touchdown pass to Demick Starling that gave Utah State a 17-16 lead in the third quarter, but his decision-making was poor under pressure. With a new receiving corps that includes Anthony Garcia, Eli Wood, and Javon Robinson, the offense needs Hillstead to be more careful with the football, especially against tougher defenses like Washington and Utah.
The Aggies allowed 440.1 yards per game last season, worst in the Mountain West, and the 3-3-5 scheme was a point of concern entering the year. Against Idaho State, the defense gave up 29 points and could not stop the Bengals' field goal drives, as Mason Lindberg converted five attempts. The unit did force a few stops, but it also allowed an 8-yard touchdown pass in the fourth quarter that put the game out of reach. With only three returning starters on the defensive line and linebacker corps, plus new transfers like safety Chapman Lewis and cornerback Antonio Bluiett, the Aggies have yet to show they can consistently get off the field. The upcoming road game at Washington will be a much sterner test.
Punter Landon Rehkow averaged 42.9 yards per punt last season and is back, while long-snapper Hyrum Hatch returns as a former freshman All-American. New kicker Kian Afrookhteh, who was honorable mention All-Sun Belt at Coastal Carolina, did not attempt a field goal in the opener, so his reliability is still unknown. The Aggies did not have any special teams breakdowns against Idaho State, but they also did not get a boost from returns, despite Javen Jacobs being a weapon in that area. With a defense that may struggle, field position and kicking will be critical in close games, and the Aggies need Afrookhteh to be steady.
Utah State now travels to No. 17 Washington as a 26.5-point underdog, with the prediction market giving them just a 4% chance to win. The Aggies also face Utah later in the season, and they may have to play Boise State twice. Last year, Utah State went 6-7 and beat only one bowl team, and this year's schedule includes multiple power-conference opponents on the road. After losing to an FCS team, the Aggies need to find answers quickly, or they risk a losing record and missing a bowl for the second straight year under head coach Bronco Mendenhall. The continuity on offense and the return of key players like running back Javen Jacobs, who had 1,058 all-purpose yards and eight touchdowns last year, offer some hope, but the margin for error is now razor thin.
Utah State Aggies is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Utah State Aggies holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -9.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Utah State Aggies's home field advantage rating is 2.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Utah State Aggies's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -160 over and +125 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Utah State Aggies travels 6,808 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 73rd heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Utah State Aggies: 0-1 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating -9.9 (2026 records).